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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » NAMAL Fund #NAVF.U good to buy under 100/= or 102/= level

NAMAL Fund #NAVF.U good to buy under 100/= or 102/= level

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advisor


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

NAMAL Fund #NAVF.U good to buy under 100/= or 102/= level Namal also good to buy now. its NAV 1/02/11 109.97 (110) now its trading @ 97 level... Last time 01/01/2011 its NAV 103.30 but before end of january its highest price 110/ because high expectation about New NAV because market continuosly up. This time also market went up and up so CTHR only up by 23/= and KGAL , COMB.X , JKH ..like most of the stock went up .. and ACME also will move then NAMAL'S NAV will be increase.. Last time I also expect it will pass 110/= or 115/= but this time my idea is diffrent.. first we need to collect under 100/= level then before end of this month we need to escape with some profit.. My expectation NAVF may pass 110= before end of this month ( if it is not market in RED .. At least not in red what ever their portfolio)/ so WE can buy now under 100/= Any comments???

DK


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Advisor,
I'm not an expert on the matter but I did a valuation based on their last quarterly report.

Share # Price Total
COMB.X 589200 165 97218000
HNB.X 413300 214 88446200
CFIN.N 1000 915 915000
CTC.N 90000 357 32130000
CHMX.N 400000 150 60000000
SPEN.N 496700 169 83942300
CTHR.N 1273800 216 275140800
JKH.N 250000 292 73000000
CHL.X 900000 85 76500000
AHUN.N 1400000 99.5 139300000
SERV.N 1650000 25.3 41745000
ACME.N 1500000 23.3 34950000
ACL.N 500000 94 47000000
KGAL.N 100000 226 22600000
LGL.N 20900 51.3 1072170


Equity Holding 90.96%
Total Val 1073959470
Mgt Fee 10%
Portfolio val 966563523
Units 10751200
Unit Val 89.90285019


The prices are today's last traded prices. So in my opinion, it might be a bit risky to get into this. But we don't know how the portfolio looks now and the above calculation does not take into accounts any dividends declared (if any either).

Interestingly enough, I've been trying to analyse how NAVF performed in relation to ASI and MPI. It appears from last Feb-2010 to Jan-2011, NAVF has given a better return than ASI only 4 times and than MPI 7 times. The total return from Feb-2010 to Jan-2011 on NAVF is 83.62%, ASI 97.3% and MPI 70.63%



Last edited by DK on Wed Feb 23, 2011 11:09 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : reformatted data)

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