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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » When Not To Invest in Share Market

When Not To Invest in Share Market

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1When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty When Not To Invest in Share Market Wed Nov 30, 2011 3:09 am

SRIAS


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Here are three reasons you shouldn't invest in shares for starters:

Your debt

Debt is a virulent disease. It spreads. Many credit cards charge 20% interest or more. The chances that you will do better than this as a novice investor are between slim and none. To put the figures into some perspective, Warren Buffett -- arguably the world's greatest investor -- has managed an average annual return of around 22% over the last forty years.

True, some people pay only 0% rates on their cards as a result of balance transfer deals. These deals are a good idea whilst you reduce your debt. But a credit card balance is still a short-term debt, whatever the rate.

So, pay off all your debts first. However, there is no reason why you should not learn about investing in shares before you get out of debt. The extra practice could come in very handy.

There is arguably one thing worse than investing in shares while in debt, and that's actually taking out debt specifically in order to buy shares. This is just about the most un-Foolish thing you can do, as the value of your shares could easily drop. Your investing decisions would then by governed by your debts and the wishes of your creditors. That way disaster lies!

Your savings

It is often said you should only invest money you can afford to lose. A more constructive way to consider it is: "if I lost this money, would it affect my day-to-day life or expenditure?". You also need some money for the proverbial 'rainy day'. A sensible rule of thumb is to set aside enough money for six months' expenditure in a high-interest savings account. But you may feel happier setting aside more money if, for example, you have a number of dependants, although you should probably be looking at some sort of income protection insurance for such situations.

If you need all your money for a specific purpose, like a deposit on a house or a tax bill, then buying shares is not for you either. It makes more sense to stick your money is in a high-interest savings account as well.

Your timeframe

Historically, the long-term rate of return from the stock market has been significantly greater than that which is generated from cash saved in a banks. But it has also been more volatile. For periods of just one year, the stock market has historically only beaten cash 60% of the time. Not great odds. Not much better than a coin toss, in fact.

However, over longer periods the chances of shares beating cash are much higher. Five years is often used as a benchmark for the minimum period you should consider investing. Over this length of time, the stock market has historically beaten the returns from cash 80% of the time. Invest for as long as twenty years, and shares have won 98% of the time. Now that's more like it. So, the longer you are prepared to invest for, the better.

2When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Wed Nov 30, 2011 9:40 am

Soundchips


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I think now it is the time for share trading....

3When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Wed Nov 30, 2011 9:42 am

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Soundchips wrote:I think now it is the time for share trading....
If I may add a little, Yes for those who have Time & Money in their hands.
Happy collecting for rain days Very Happy

4When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:16 pm

greedy007


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Soundchips wrote:I think now it is the time for share trading....

I m agree with u Soundchips.

5When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:18 pm

SL.Market

SL.Market
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Now

6When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:36 pm

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
SRIAS, you said it timely.

Actually people get stuck and get losses unexpectedly because many new investors and traders have low knowledge, sometimes they don't know anything (ex:what is CSE) when enter this field and they also don't have any future plan according to W5 concept and other basic things. Their portfolios often run by their investment advisers and they don't even check what has been done by him. Their closed eyes are opened automatically at last when lost their all hard earned money. This is a normal situation in Sri Lanka continually.

7When Not To Invest in Share Market Empty Re: When Not To Invest in Share Market Sun Jan 29, 2012 8:48 am

cseguide

cseguide
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Soundchips wrote:I think now it is the time for share trading....
yes, but most persons hand no money is left to invest now

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