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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Banking Sector Valuation Guide

Banking Sector Valuation Guide

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1Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 3:39 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Some people are complaining about market is overvalued. But look at the actual facts. Colombo average PE is 12.75, bellow most developed markets. Our GDP growth is above 8, most developed countries GDP is below 1.5.
What we lack right now is only sentiments. Most shares are trading at all-time low valuations.

While making most of the trading opportunities, pick some valued shares for portfolio building.

* Seylan Bank NV is trading far below the asset value.
* Sampath bank is trading at PE of 6.5X lowest valuations in recent years
* Union Bank will make huge capital gain on part disposal of The Finance and Guarantee shares. (They are gaining a 500% return within just five months.)
* IFC & Commercial Bank structured a landmark US$ 65 mn. (Rs.7.5 bn) facility for financing SMEs in Sri Lanka.
* Within next two weeks two more commercial banks will announce similar facilities with several middle east funds.

IF WE ARE NOT INVESTING NOW, WHEN?

2Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 3:50 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin
Very interesting.
Good work.
Really appreciate.
Thanks for sharing.

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

3Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 4:05 pm

Trader


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
THank you.

4Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 4:06 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Very good work.
thank you.

5Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 4:31 pm

deep


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Need big inflows to buy Samp,comb,lfin,plc...
But problem who buys ??

6Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 4:33 pm

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
well done brother

7Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 5:28 pm

monash

monash
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thank you! Appreciate your effort.. Keep up your good work!
one of the best article i recently seen that make sense. I fed up seen junk and promotion posts which spam the market talk section these days.

Yes, as one member mentioned, problem is who buys?
what happened at CSE on past few years was people blindly chase behind the HNWI and buys whatever crap they buy which killed most of the fundamentally sound stocks such as NTB, SAMP, COMB etc. you mentioned. I hope this bad trend will change some day on future. it might be only a dream in this mafia trading era at CSE. but i love that dream Smile

8Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 6:13 pm

pathfinder

pathfinder
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
A very good work keep it up!!!

9Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 6:46 pm

Rapaport

Rapaport
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I appreciate your positive attitude towards the market and Sri Lankan economic growth.

Even i feel there is a high possibility of a Banks and Finance rally.

-The country is growing at 7-8%.
-Banks are going to bring in foreign money to support economic growth.
-Market valuations have improved and become attractive.
-FDI set to increase next year, with stabilisation of inflation, currency and interest rates.
-Tourists likely to exceed 1 million arrivals next year.
-More hotels opening up, Hambantota harbour beginning to move.
-Broker credit is likely to get extended, with removal of price bands, banks lending more for stocks, revamp of the SEC due soon. (Will dissipate the panic and fear to an extent)
-Infrastructure projects started years ago starting to become reality. eg: Expressway, Hambantota harbour, Katunayake expressway, Colombo harbour expansion, etc..
-Stable political environment.
-Etc Etc..

There are many more positive reasons, other than the SEC and broker issues, for our stocks to start the climb sooner or later. I too believe more correction may occur but this will not last long. One may miss the opportunity. Next few months will show us a direction.

I have posted more reasons for a brighter outlook at the following links if anyone is interested:

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t13602-what-is-the-prevailing-market-pe-ratio

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t13593-good-time-to-keep-an-eye-on-the-market

Cheers!

10Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 7:36 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Good work friend, recently i am buying the banking shares from the persons who are willing to sell at the price i wanted and i see there are lot of sellers thanks to them as well

11Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 8:24 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Good work.Thanks.
If SAMP trade at atleast minimum expected value I will be a winner.

12Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 8:29 pm

sas

sas
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@hariesha,
Thanks mate, you r really a time saver Smile

13Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Tue Dec 06, 2011 9:40 pm

light

light
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Bump cheers

14Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 7:19 am

thilankad

thilankad
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
thanking you

Surprised Surprised Surprised Surprised Surprised Surprised Surprised

http://thilankadinush.blogspot.com/

15Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 7:58 am

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thanks hariesha

Well done mate..This is really helpful to everyone.

16Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 10:02 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Really good effort Hareisha..

Thank you! and I highly appreciate your effort.. Keep it up..

The BFI sector run is a long due one.. I'm just finding it difficult to cope with the emotions on what to buy Wink

An analysis like this no wonder put the basket on the table to make the decision.. thanks again..

17Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 12:48 pm

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Well done.
Thanks harisha.
Very good analysis in the banking sector.
Deserve to be appreciated.
Hope we can expect on other sectors also in near future.
Advanced wishes.


Note:
Sorry to say about - most of the forum members.
It is shame usually around 390 visitors are visiting this forum.
Only 95 downloaded the files to study the analysis.
Less than 12 appreciation to harisha.
(which he deserves a lot)
Where are this forum members going towards?
Are most of them looking for gossip in this forum?
Wasting the time on gossip threads.
We need to appreciate and encourage these type of threads.

18Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 2:07 pm

Hawk Eye

Hawk Eye
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Keep it up. Thanks for the good work

19Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 2:24 pm

yoyo

yoyo
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Well done Hariesha....Nice Work..Keep it up ...

20Banking Sector Valuation Guide Empty Re: Banking Sector Valuation Guide Wed Dec 07, 2011 2:39 pm

kuma


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Well done Hariesha. Can you up load the unlocked file. So then we can use this sheet to analyse other shares as well. Very Happy

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