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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Before january there is.........

Before january there is.........

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1Before january there is......... Empty Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:31 am

krishan Aakash


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
before January there can be a bull run in end of December.



Last edited by smallville on Fri Dec 16, 2011 8:56 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : too optimistic on future moves, even it can be tru but dont see a logic in driving members towards a uncertain future...)

2Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:36 am

bePositive

bePositive
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Wishful thinking ? Rolling Eyes

http://www.viabletraffic.com

3Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:44 am

gaya


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Wt is ur expected ASI to pass.. 6000 ? 6300? 6800? 7000? or more than
7000 ?

Further Wt happened to ur HVA prediction 60+++ ??

4Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:45 am

aj


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile

5Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:56 am

raa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Ok there is only one reason that there could be a bull run... Govt funds. So if you hear any news, any rumours floating about regarding this, please do share. I'm not saying it cannot happen...but it will be artificial and temporary.

Reasons why there won't be a real bull run
1) There is no new money.
2) Old money is tied up.
3) Big players are staying away
4) No credit expansion in the share market
5) Margin calls
6) People need money for Christmas i imagine...
7) any SEC directives will only take place from next year

6Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 11:22 am

gaya


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@raa wrote:Ok there is only one reason that there could be a bull run... Govt funds. So if you hear any news, any rumours floating about regarding this, please do share. I'm not saying it cannot happen...but it will be artificial and temporary.

Reasons why there won't be a real bull run
1) There is no new money.
2) Old money is tied up.
3) Big players are staying away
4) No credit expansion in the share market
5) Margin calls
6) People need money for Christmas i imagine...
7) any SEC directives will only take place from next year

malli hari malli.. anyway I think if foreigners comes, everything would be ok.

7Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 11:37 am

Leo

Leo
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Not only end of December. But we waited how many months thinking the market will rise. Crazzzy to be here in the CSE

8Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 1:01 pm

manula


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@gaya wrote:
@raa wrote:Ok there is only one reason that there could be a bull run... Govt funds. So if you hear any news, any rumours floating about regarding this, please do share. I'm not saying it cannot happen...but it will be artificial and temporary.

Reasons why there won't be a real bull run
1) There is no new money.
2) Old money is tied up.
3) Big players are staying away
4) No credit expansion in the share market
5) Margin calls
6) People need money for Christmas i imagine...
7) any SEC directives will only take place from next year

malli hari malli.. anyway I think if foreigners comes, everything would be ok.

yes..raa ..you are correct and same way i dont think foreigners will enter this time due holidays in December (christmas/new year) . Normally end of december market is dull. This is what i have seen ..but if credit expansion to the market announace market will be increase any time.

9Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 1:26 pm

Universalgoal


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
my obiniant is collect as much as possibe in next two weeks so Jan defa market will go up and pass 6300 level

this is viewe

10Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 7:57 pm

sisira.wijeweera


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
MARKET SHOULD UP JANUARY ....I AM ALMOST RS 100,000 LOST INVESTED RS.450,000 Sad ............... Arrow

11Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 9:28 pm

Rajaraam


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@aj wrote:This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile

So you say nobody should buy. Then maarket turnover is zero. Then market will crash coz no buyers.Isn't it?

12Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 9:31 pm

Marketinvest

Marketinvest
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
With due respect for ur thought. I would just say dont be over optimistic on the chicken run.
Ok lets see like this last time the shares were pushed up by EPF buys.
Ok this time who is going to buy big quantity of shares.
Second thing its not a pattern it only happene last year so if we apply the basic theory of probability its not even half.
So beware, Anyway lets hope for the best.

13Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 9:37 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Marketinvest wrote:With due respect for ur thought. I would just say dont be over optimistic on the chicken run.
Ok lets see like this last time the shares were pushed up by EPF buys.
Ok this time who is going to buy big quantity of shares.
Second thing its not a pattern it only happene last year so if we apply the basic theory of probability its not even half.
So beware, Anyway lets hope for the best.
Completely agreed.What I can not understand is why people expects a rally like last year.We can not expect chicken rallies just because this is festival season.

14Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:16 pm

illuminati


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Rajaraam wrote:
@aj wrote:This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile

So you say nobody should buy. Then maarket turnover is zero. Then market will crash coz no buyers.Isn't it?

Yes Mr Raja ! Can't you see there aren't any buyers at present and the market has already crashed and is further crashing due lack of buyers and liquidity.

15Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 11:07 pm

Marketinvest

Marketinvest
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I wouldnt say its because of unavailability of buyers buyers are their currently of 3 types as i see.
1. Bargain hunters this is the reason why the market is still functioning
2. A little amount of new entrants with low capacity who currently see market as really attractive.
3. Buyers who are swapping the whole portfolio which means people who currently sell everything and clean their portfolio and buy at current prices again.

What we are missing now is big time buyers who are actually adopting a wait and see approach. So if we are short of market movers or big buyers the turnover and the buying capacity naturally comes down.
One could argue that a large flock of small buyers can account to big buying pressure but it will work well only in the short term and create huge market panics and bubbles in the long term. Its because simple theory of "TAILGATING" basically which means follow the leader. The leader will be a medium scale buyer ones he start selling all small buyers try to sell at once creating a huge selling pressure.

16Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 11:12 pm

Rajaraam


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@illuminati wrote:
@Rajaraam wrote:
@aj wrote:This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile

So you say nobody should buy. Then maarket turnover is zero. Then market will crash coz no buyers.Isn't it?

Yes Mr Raja ! Can't you see there aren't any buyers at present and the market has already crashed and is further crashing due lack of buyers and liquidity.

Agree. 90% SEC is responsible.

17Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Fri Dec 16, 2011 11:24 pm

bePositive

bePositive
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Even if there is no "chicken" rally this time, I am pretty sure there will be "some" upward movement, so you will not loose. anyway.

http://www.viabletraffic.com

18Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Sat Dec 17, 2011 2:38 pm

manula


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Rajaraam wrote:
@illuminati wrote:
@Rajaraam wrote:
@aj wrote:This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile

So you say nobody should buy. Then maarket turnover is zero. Then market will crash coz no buyers.Isn't it?

Yes Mr Raja ! Can't you see there aren't any buyers at present and the market has already crashed and is further crashing due lack of buyers and liquidity.

Agree. 90% SEC is responsible.

Yes.. I am also agree. 90% SEC is responsible. Because now no buyers due do lack of confidnece for the investors/manipulators/day traders etc due to rules made by SEC... If market boom with out unneassary rules the buying/selling cycle will start. A ---B---c---again to A like

@aj wrote:This could happen everybody buys to sell in January. And then in January they wait to sell at a profit to some sucker. And they wait. And they wait. And they wait...
Then they blame the regulator. Smile
no one will blame the regulator.

19Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Sat Dec 17, 2011 8:02 pm

bakapandithaya

bakapandithaya
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
All r passing da ball. No 1 taking da responsibility Evil or Very Mad

20Before january there is......... Empty Re: Before january there is......... Sat Dec 17, 2011 8:37 pm

krishan Aakash


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
dont worry brov......market will up in next week according to my knowledge.Otherwise no further drop in this market.it could be chicken rally or gradual increment.so hopes about reef , greg , and HVA... keep eye on them. good luck.this is not promoting as well as them other shares also moving up..hear from you soon...

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