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SEMB FAMILY

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1SEMB FAMILY Empty SEMB FAMILY Fri Mar 04, 2011 4:56 pm

SmartMoney

SmartMoney
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

-Right now SEMB family looks very attractive to me .

-What many of the investors don't understand about SEMB family is all the plus factors which comes with the low price of the share .
-It is affordable for all the investors in cse, anybody would be able to buy & sell this, therefore it's highly liquid .
-For all the shares at CSE including those trading above Rs. 1000 minimum increment is 10 cents.
-Eventhough it is a negligible amount for high priced stocks it is a big deal for low priced shares .
-For example 10 cents increment in SEMB X is a 10 % gain within a day, but most of the liquid shares at cse would take at least a few days to reach a 10% gain.
-In reality 10 cents increment in SEMB X would be equivalent to Rs. 40 increment in HNB , Rs. 30 increment in JKH or Rs. 40 increment in BFL .
-But strangely people would be more thrilled to see a Rs. 10 increment in JKH,HNB or BFL than to see a 10 cents increment in SEMB X.
-Let's have a look at 2 of the most discounted shares in the SEMB family .

SEMB N

*Towards the end of today's market it showed some very strong bull signs .
*It even went up to 2.40 level before closing at 2.20 which recorded 10% gain for the day .
*Even now if you look at the order book you would see more buyers (7.8 M) than sellers (4.6 M) .
*We all could see it went up to even Rs. 3.00 few months back .
*I believe there are a lot of people who purchased this share in the 2.50 - 3.00 range & still holding onto their shares.
*These people won't be willing to dump their lot at a lower price which would be ultimately result in decrease in the number of sellers and increase in the share price .
*With these factors I expect SEMB N to climb up to at least 2.60 - 2.70 within coming days & weeks .
*That would be a 20% - 25% gain.

SEMB X

*For me this the most attractive share out of all SEMB family shares .
*I think it is one of the most discounted shares in the CSE .
*You would observe that almost all non-voting shares are trading above 50% of the normal share .
*In fact most of the non-voting shares are trading around 70% - 80 % value of the normal share .
*Please refer these 2 graphs,
-http://www.slstock.com/stock/MainPage.jsp?1299235226477
-http://www.slstock.com/stock/MainPage.jsp?1297445036699
*There you can see when SEMB N was trading at 3.00 at end of last August SEMB X was trading at 2.60 .
*Then it came down with SEMB N and it didn't go up much when SEMB N went up again & neither did it fall much when SEMB N fell from 3.00 to 2.00 .
*When SEMB N went up by 10% today SEMB X stayed unchanged at the end of the day, so it is expected that on Monday SEMB X would start trading with a gain of 10 - 20 cents .
*With above mentioned factors I expect SEMB X to reach at least 1.70 - 1.80 as SEMB N rises up , within this month .
*That would be a 70% - 80% gain.

-This is my personal point of view based on the statistics & market behaviour.
-You are welcome to share your ideas & knowledge.
Thanks

2SEMB FAMILY Empty Re: SEMB FAMILY Fri Mar 04, 2011 8:20 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

the problem in SEMB X is the MASSIVE LIQUIDITY...........that's a reason for slow moving................
i think it may better to buy SEMB W15 when comparing to it's past price levels..........(@1-1.3 levels)
i may be wrong.......... Smile Smile Smile Smile

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