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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » This is one hell of a scary time for investors.

This is one hell of a scary time for investors.

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Asoka Samarakone


Expert
Expert
This is one hell of a scary time for investors.
Fascinating, isn't it, this stock market of ours, with its unpredictability, promise, and unscripted daily drama. But individual investors are even more interesting. We've become the product of a media driven culture that must have reasons, predictability, blame, scapegoats, and even that four-letter word, certainty.
This is one hell of a scary time for investors. On any day, we could wake up to the headline we all fear. But there is nothing we can do about it... but be prepared.

Colombo Bourse is facing its biggest crisis marred by allegations and counter allegations on manipulation, overregulation, and influence of high net worth investors and plight of small investors
To get through the storm, it will take multiple points of view. There is no magic bullet. And there certainly is no government solution.
It tends to result in some market participants feeling like the market is uninvestable,

Many professional money managers and financial advisors shy away from stock trading, arguing that in most cases the reward does not justify the risk.

Fear is a powerful motivator. It makes investors dash for the exits, dumping their stocks as they flee in sheer terror. That is why stocks tend to plunge much faster than they rise.
The truth is, we are teetering on the edge of depression caused by a series of trigger events that are now converging to create one of the worst "bubbles" we've seen in our lifetimes.
Investors are slowly coming to the realization that the crisis will not take days, weeks or months to unwind... but years.
Some experts say it could take as many as five years to recover. Do you have five years to sit and wait and watch as your hard-earned money evaporates into thin air?
Asoka Samarakone

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Good companies will recover regardless of the environment. This is an exciting time for those who have deep pockets. At the end of this down turn, regardless of how long it would take, we will see the rise of Titans from ashes.

Rapaport

Rapaport
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Say even if the market reaches 7500 points from here this year, its a significant gain. (Just assuming)

Greed will take over eventually and the story of 5 years is not likely, seeing Lanka's future ahead.

We have started this year by being the worst performing market in Asia so far but i doubt we will be holding this title end of the year!

Cheers!

Light of Hope


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
good points, i feel it will take about 2-3 years. it would take atleast another six months for the market to bottom out...

raa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
This doom and gloom will not last... The majority of last year was characterised by shock and the fact that many people could not get their head around "a correction". This was made worse by the fact that most people who had a hard time understanding the workings of a stock market were the educated investors, and brokers and people the less priveleged entrust their money to. That is how the panic set in.

Regardless of what you might think, I am of the opinion that the investor population lead by the brokers and "experts" have to a larger extent become a lot more knowledgeable and realistic. A large part of the problem was that we as a community tried to fight it which made it a lot more painful through regulations, and rules, and looking for people to come in and save us.

It's only when we let the market run its full course (in either direction) can we be in a position to "re-introduce" fundamentals into the market, and talk about positive opportunities. One point of encouragement on this forum is that people are bitching less and talking more about coping with the bear market. Talking about re-addressing and re-aligning their portfolios in the current situation. Talking about where exactly would be good re-entry points in the market and opportunities such as swing trading.

This is a great improvement if you compare the situation on the forum a few months ago.

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I'm contradicting on this phrase.
This is one hell of a scary time for investors.

This is the best time for the investors to invest.
So many counters are at bargain. ( You belive it or not)
If we go through the last 100 years of investment history (any where in the world) bearish period gave much return to the intelligent investors.

BTW the so called scary time was made by our so called traders and investors between 2009 -2011. ( This is similar to enjoying while drinking alcohol and suffering later).
This is my personal view.

Hawk Eye

Hawk Eye
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Worst things to come yet

Follow Benjamin

pushpakumara


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
in most cases the reward does not justify the risk.
. True that I believe this is one of the reasons for existing investors to keep away from CSE.

[quote]
Some experts say it could take as many as five years to recover. Do you have five years to sit and wait and watch as your hard-earned money evaporates into thin air?


I do not know about the time frame quoted by Mr. Samarakoon but how long do we have to wait to see some sustainable growth in the CSE?. My thinking is this is another factor for investors to do away with CSE as they probably have opted for other investment instruments until they see some improvement in the stock market. How come then we can expect new investments in CSE at this juncture?. This is where expertise of the gentlemen who are running the show should come in to play. For sure it is not easy but they have to do that because we contribute to their higher perks expecting a good return from them for what we pay for them.

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