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Sanasa Development Bank (SDB) - What do u think?

+2
K.Haputantri
smallville
6 posters

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smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

Sanasa Development Bank (SDB) - A financial analysis

Just had a look at it due to the interest after 5 rupee dividend.
On financial grounds;
Looking at their June Qtr results, PAT has declined compared to last year..

I see the fact is due to increase in several expense criteria;
1. Other operating expenses up to 343 mil in 2012 from 274 Mil in 2011.
2. Interest expenses have gone up which resulted in a marginally improved interest income of 879 Mil.
3. Personal costs have also gone up by 28% in 2012 to 220 Mil compared to 172 Mil in 2011.

Therefore PBT was declined to 229 Mil in 2012 compared to 322 Mil in 2011.

Further, I see the profit decline of 26% YOY due to the above highlighted issues.
SDB recorded a PAT of 111.6Mil in 2012 compared to 150.2 Mil in 2011. In EPS wise its 4.43 in 2012 where as it was 5.96.

Other than that total deposits see abt a 15% improvement YOY.

It has to be emphasized that have lost heavily on trading securities. It was astonishing to see a 246 Mil trading security value in 2011 has decreased by 88% to a mere 29 Mil in 2012.

Return on Equity (After Taxes) = 7% (13.4% in 2011.)

Top 20 shareholders
Sanasa holds 13.73% thru various accounts.
Other shareholders - 71.29%

The important note is the percentage of public holding as at 30-06-2012 = 99.98%

T Karunasena, deputy Chairman, has collected abt 2638 shares from June - Sep in range 75-96.

Well its a bit of interesting after the PBV calculation..

Net Asset Value (NAV) = 3,156,395,000
NAVPS = 125.37
Total No. of Shares = 25, 175,322
Last Traded Price (Rs.) = 93.00
PBV = 0.74
Since a financial institute trades at 1.5-2.0 X PBV, on PBV basis SDB is heavily undervalued. The fair value imo would be around 187.5/- (1.5X PBV)


I've not looked at the share trading but since it attracted interest among crowd after div announcement I gave a shot.. Found some interesting facts on trading..
WTD Share Volume 171,615
MTD Share Volume 246,218
YTD Share Volume: 373,464

See the above figures.. Entire years trading is 373K but 246K is done in this month.

This has started trading in 770s while dropped to 70s in end of August. But gradually came up to 93s now..

On the date of div announcement: - 26.Sep.2012 , it has risen to 98 from 70 and closed at 92. 168013 shares traded on that date.
Yesterday also 74097 shares traded.
However their div is great.. 5 rupee for a share under 100 is really good.

I cannot comment on the further price actions without checking charts.. But the irony is; for a 5 rupee dividend this has appreciated more than 20 rupees. So after XD of 5th Oct, 2012, the price may re-adjust to 70-80s level.
On the other hand looking at PBV of 0.74, this looks way undervalued in Financial sector.
So if you wanna invest, this can become a good pick.. However time must the story since SDB has to prove their stability thru their earnings in coming qtrs..

BTW.. Isn't a hostile take over possible due to the 99.98% public holding??

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

Thanks small for your analysis. You have seen what we do not see.

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

"BTW.. Isn't a hostile take over possible due to the 99.98% public holding??"

Smallville, this is how it happens.

They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan. Some rural customers do not know what it is and they dispose them at the market price when the security is released bringing the share value to lower levels.

Release of security is staggerred and hence, spread over a long period of time through out the year. Hence, if one needs to take over the bank, he has to buy in small quantiies over a long period of time.

4Sanasa Development Bank (SDB) - What do u think? Empty WHY TWOD STILL SILENT Fri Sep 28, 2012 2:30 pm

Basnayake

Basnayake
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

what a beauty 5 million big hope wow



Last edited by Basnayake on Fri Sep 28, 2012 2:32 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : change topic)

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

K.Haputantri wrote:
They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan.
Can you explain little more of this Please?
Sanasa has unlimited number of shares or what ?

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

Kithsiri wrote:
K.Haputantri wrote:
They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan.
Can you explain little more of this Please?
Sanasa has unlimited number of shares or what ?
This is what my investment advisor told me. I think the client has to buy from the secondary market at present. I must check with him for the details.

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

K.Haputantri wrote:"BTW.. Isn't a hostile take over possible due to the 99.98% public holding??"

Smallville, this is how it happens.

They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan. Some rural customers do not know what it is and they dispose them at the market price when the security is released bringing the share value to lower levels.

Release of security is staggerred and hence, spread over a long period of time through out the year. Hence, if one needs to take over the bank, he has to buy in small quantiies over a long period of time.

Is the banks allowed to lend loan against their own shares as security?

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Gaja wrote:
K.Haputantri wrote:"BTW.. Isn't a hostile take over possible due to the 99.98% public holding??"

Smallville, this is how it happens.

They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan. Some rural customers do not know what it is and they dispose them at the market price when the security is released bringing the share value to lower levels.

Release of security is staggerred and hence, spread over a long period of time through out the year. Hence, if one needs to take over the bank, he has to buy in small quantiies over a long period of time.

Is the banks allowed to lend loan against their own shares as security?

I have not come accross any regulatory bar for this. But I can say for sure that it is considered unacceptable.

Staff of the company (in this case SDB) are privy to the price sensitive information about company shares and there is a chance of that getting out through the borrowers against co.'s own shares.

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

K.Haputantri wrote:
Kithsiri wrote:
K.Haputantri wrote:
They have broad based their share-holding by mandating their customers to buy Sanasa shares when-ever a loan is given and they keep the shares as part of the security for the loan.
Can you explain little more of this Please?
Sanasa has unlimited number of shares or what ?
This is what my investment advisor told me. I think the client has to buy from the secondary market at present. I must check with him for the details.

Checked with my investment advisor today. This has happenned prior to the introduction of the share under private placements.

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

K.Haputantri wrote:Checked with my investment advisor today. This has happenned prior to the introduction of the share under private placements.
Thanks Hapu.

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