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$100 to $1 in one quarter, $2 the next quarter does not mean 100% growth

+3
hawklk
opfdo
hasi17
7 posters

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hasi17


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

There was this cartoon on stock market somewhere. It goes like something like this.
Share price or company profits or company growth goes down from $100 to $1 in a quarter. Time passes. People forget about it. In another quarter it goes to $2. So compared to the last quarter the share price or profits has doubled. Profits are 100% up! Marvelous isn't it? But what really has happened is that the $100 price/profit is now just only $2. Keep that in mind when comparing profits. Mind the history. Mind what was it like previously. Mind what happened last time.

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

thank you for your advise. but most of are doing well & not under your categary

hasi17 wrote:There was this cartoon on stock market somewhere. It goes like something like this.
Share price or company profits or company growth goes down from $100 to $1 in a quarter. Time passes. People forget about it. In another quarter it goes to $2. So compared to the last quarter the share price or profits has doubled. Profits are 100% up! Marvelous isn't it? But what really has happened is that the $100 price/profit is now just only $2. Keep that in mind when comparing profits. Mind the history. Mind what was it like previously. Mind what happened last time.

hawklk


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

This is why in my opinion, and in my analysis, I take six year financial data to analyze a company.
This way, it some what shows where the company was and where it will go.

Fresher


Moderator
Moderator

in the same way,
$10 to $20 in one quarter, $15 in the next does not mean 25% decrease Smile
if people get over excited about abnormal growth, then that is wrong as well

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

hawklk wrote:This is why in my opinion, and in my analysis, I take six year financial data to analyze a company.
This way, it some what shows where the company was and where it will go.

Can you depict from your six year analysis, the companies where profits came down from in the ratio of 100 to 1 and then doubled to 2. Forget about the big ratio, at least 5:1:2.

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator

hasi17 wrote:There was this cartoon on stock market somewhere. It goes like something like this.
Share price or company profits or company growth goes down from $100 to $1 in a quarter. Time passes. People forget about it. In another quarter it goes to $2. So compared to the last quarter the share price or profits has doubled. Profits are 100% up! Marvelous isn't it? But what really has happened is that the $100 price/profit is now just only $2. Keep that in mind when comparing profits. Mind the history. Mind what was it like previously. Mind what happened last time.

But the skillful trader would have sold close to $100 bought at 1$ and sold again at $2
Wink

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Company dashboard, where you highlight certain key performance indicators (KPIs) based on the industry involved, incline to use the trailing accounts. Basically this is for internal purpose.
Investors prefer to compare the accumulated numbers ( 6 or 9 months ended) as some companies are accruing income with seasonal products. Growth rate is further cleaned up by excluding the non-recurring income earned & reported during the period considered.

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