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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Market in 2013

Market in 2013

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1Market in 2013 Empty Market in 2013 Wed Dec 05, 2012 1:35 am

salt

salt
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Market is heading the consecutive second year of loss dispite that no significant political instability and threat to growth. Yes, growth is lower than expected, interest rates are going up ( at least gone up), credit is scare, exchange rate is devalued. I think all odds are clear by the end of the year. There is uncertainty in the political fronts , but these things are day to day issues rather threatening long term .

If there is a real theft, that's from international community over war crime of whatsoever related to war only.

Even if we expect nominal growth of 15% ( 7+8% of inflation),

Given the troubled history of 2 years and current level of appealing market valuation, market should give decent return in 2013.


( writing something here after April 2012, last post on a disaster is around the corner)

2Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Thu Dec 06, 2012 12:50 am

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Under the scenarios that you have described above why not allocate 5-10% to GOLD.

3Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Thu Dec 06, 2012 11:54 am

kalum


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I somewhat agree with salt.
However if we look invest n a FD or gold or some other investment seems to be profitable than invest in the market.
but, with experience with markets, i still love to invest in the market (even after some certain unrealized losses) . Reason i strongly believe w.r..t the current situation market should have to have it's positive growth in near future.
when market started to move, it will give decent returns as slat mentioned.
for some of the stocks i would expect 300%,400% return in mid term. Keep such targets is always a huge risk because of many factors that will likely to be happened during the time period. The above assumed there will be no such effects and SriLanka continue it's steady growth for consecutive years. Smile

4Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Thu Dec 06, 2012 12:49 pm

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
What is the real reasons for the negative sentiment ?
I have read so many "Factors" related to the Down and or Up trends and all were found to be short lived.
Manipulation to a certain degree and FD is another I agree but I wonder whether are there any other significant FACTORS that we have not discussed here ? Very Happy

5Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Thu Dec 06, 2012 1:55 pm

salt

salt
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Tiger wrote:Under the scenarios that you have described above why not allocate 5-10% to GOLD.

I don't think global picture does support gold any longer. we might see flat year for gold ( USD terms)
FD is giving 15%-16% is much better option now, but on long term basis , I believe level of valuation is attractive for equity.

6Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Thu Dec 06, 2012 6:22 pm

klpfernando


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
spot on salt.
past-GOLD
present-FD
future -EQUITY
If foreign buying dominates the market for few more months it should stimulate local institutes,fund managers and HNWIs to move to equity.
will hope for the best.

7Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:41 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
market will outperform all asset classes,its the reality in last decades and centuries and will be in future...

so im with it Smile

8Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:43 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Looking at the present situation I have to agree.



@klpfernando wrote:spot on salt.
past-GOLD
present-FD
future -EQUITY
If foreign buying dominates the market for few more months it should stimulate local institutes,fund managers and HNWIs to move to equity.
will hope for the best.

9Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Fri Dec 07, 2012 5:17 pm

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:market will outperform all asset classes,its the reality in last decades and centuries and will be in future...

so im with it Smile

True...

10Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Sat Dec 08, 2012 8:26 am

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin
@seek wrote:
@mark wrote:market will outperform all asset classes,its the reality in last decades and centuries and will be in future...

so im with it Smile

True...

Its very true.

However, the real issue here is, most of us do not have the insight and the right mentality required to cope-up with the volatality of the bourse.

A very few have their targets set and can withstand the preassure for long term gains. Others who do not have any targets, either long term or short term, and follow the crowd cry foul when some thing unforeseen happens short term. One should be clear of his targets before investing/trading. Happy trading 2013 Very Happy

11Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Sat Dec 08, 2012 8:56 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Spot on.

@K.Haputantri wrote:

However, the real issue here is, most of us do not have the insight and the right mentality required to cope-up with the volatality of the bourse.

A very few have their targets set and can withstand the preassure for long term gains. Others who do not have any targets, either long term or short term, and follow the crowd cry foul when some thing unforeseen happens short term. One should be clear of his targets before investing/trading. Happy trading 2013 Very Happy

12Market in 2013 Empty Re: Market in 2013 Sat Dec 08, 2012 2:03 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Market will go up in 2013. under normal circumstances

Another new factor will be week govt and strong opposition due to after effects of the impeachment

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