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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » What is your market forecast 2013? Pls reply

What is your market forecast 2013? Pls reply

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

cbsl


Stock Trader
What is your market forecast 2013? Pls reply

sahan8896


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@cbsl wrote:What is your market forecast 2013? Pls reply
green,first week may be red after that bull.3 trading days next week and one full week after that is there to buy some shares at discount. Very Happy

klpfernando


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Answer will be depend on whom do you asked.
foreigners-bullish
locales-not sure or clueless.

ranferdi

ranferdi
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Green, provided that Interests rates keeps falling.

http://::::THIS EMAIL DOESNT WORK.. PLEASE CONTACT ME ON FB ACCO

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
On the reasonable assumption that we will make it past Doomsday, here is my market forecast for 2013 -
Open: 5550
High: 6790
Low : 5545
Close: 6370


As is generally the case in a rising market, foreigners will be net sellers - especially after the market crosses 6000.

klpfernando


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:On the reasonable assumption that we will make it past Doomsday, here is my market forecast for 2013 -
Open: 5550
High: 6790
Low : 5545
Close: 6370


As is generally the case in a rising market, foreigners will be net sellers - especially after the market crosses 6000.
[/quote]net buyers-EPF,ETF and NSB. If so Harsha has some thing to talk about.

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Opening forecasting level of 5550 is very encouraging for the future growth in the market. It depends on investors' reaction in few trading days left for the year 2012.

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:On the reasonable assumption that we will make it past Doomsday, here is my market forecast for 2013 -
Open: 5550
High: 6790
Low : 5545
Close: 6370


As is generally the case in a rising market, foreigners will be net sellers - especially after the market crosses 6000.

Would you like to share the base for your calculation?

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
1) It should pass 6500 at least for one day...........

2) With these low transparency level........i have a little hope that it may even record a new high ....????????

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seek wrote:
@Antonym wrote:On the reasonable assumption that we will make it past Doomsday, here is my market forecast for 2013 -
Open: 5550
High: 6790
Low : 5545
Close: 6370


As is generally the case in a rising market, foreigners will be net sellers - especially after the market crosses 6000.

Would you like to share the base for your calculation?
@seek: Nobody can forecast the market accurately, least of all me... Unless you make prophetic statements like: 'Some shares will go up, some shares will go down'! (My prediction was based on a reasonable return of about 15%.)

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:
@seek wrote:
@Antonym wrote:On the reasonable assumption that we will make it past Doomsday, here is my market forecast for 2013 -
Open: 5550
High: 6790
Low : 5545
Close: 6370


As is generally the case in a rising market, foreigners will be net sellers - especially after the market crosses 6000.

Would you like to share the base for your calculation?
@seek: Nobody can forecast the market accurately, least of all me... Unless you make prophetic statements like: 'Some shares will go up, some shares will go down'! (My prediction was based on a reasonable return of about 15%.)

Thanks, we know you are a well reputed member here. Actually, I thought there were some complex calculations.

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
For me 2013 is a time extension for consolidation and rearranging my investments. We have to think sharply and adjust out holdings to suit the future environment of this country. Somehow I am waiting for 2014 to see considerable activity in most stocks.

In 2013, I think some counters will give unexpected returns , even over 50%, while many others maintain at healthy levels to keep us happy. Some sectors may go down due to bad influence from local and world economic conditions.

The main difficulty is to find out what are those stocks/counters - what we should buy or hold and what are the shares we should drop.

In 2009 just after the war, it was much easier to select and predict stocks and the best sectors for next 12-18 months.

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:For me 2013 is a time extension for consolidation and rearranging my investments. We have to think sharply and adjust out holdings to suit the future environment of this country. Somehow I am waiting for 2014 to see considerable activity in most stocks.

In 2013, I think some counters will give unexpected returns , even over 50%, while many others maintain at healthy levels to keep us happy. Some sectors may go down due to bad influence from local and world economic conditions.

The main difficulty is to find out what are those stocks/counters - what we should buy or hold and what are the shares we should drop.

In 2009 just after the war, it was much easier to select and predict stocks and the best sectors for next 12-18 months.

Agree with your comment 100%.

I think we all may need to forget about some of our favourite long term shares and rearrange our investment (not tradings) PFs according to the market.

samcader


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
If interest rates continue to fall it may be healthy for the market Sam

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Govt will be week due to after effects of Impeachment in 2013.This will be a positive factor for majority of Local buyers General economic indicates also may be in satisfactory level

Market will go up in 2013 slightly.

We are loosing golden opportunity created after winning war in 2009 IF the govt
take corrective action it is not too late .Genuine effort should be made in respect of good governance,Rule of law and Economic Management

There are lot of good recommendations in the LLRC Report But govt complicate problems and try manage crisis only ( Management by crisis)
ASPI WII GO ABOVE 7000 in 2013,if GOVT implement above recommendation
But under present circumstances no one can expect govt will do it







Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Fri Dec 21, 2012 5:34 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : to explain more)

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@D.G.Dayaratne wrote:Govt will be week due to after effects of Impeachment in 2013.This will be a positive factor for majority of Local buyers General economic indicates also may be in satisfactory level

Market will go up in 2013 slightly.

We are loosing golden opportunity created after winning war in 2009 IF the govt
take corrective action it is not too late .Genuine effort should be made in respect of good governance,Rule of law and Economic Management

There are lot of good recommendations in the LLRC Report But govt complicate problems and try to manage crisis only ( Management by crisis)
ASPI WII GO ABOVE 7000 in 2013,if GOVT implement above recommendation
But under present circumstances no one can expect govt will do it





Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
CAL Securities expects the ASI to post returns of 20% and close this year at 6770.

They have released an excellent Technical Analysis Report yesterday; see Research section for details.

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I expect 2013 to be a strong bull year. ASI might pass 7000 by Q3... just my gut feel. I have upped investment to pre crisis level.

I am very very bullish on a strong recovery.

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