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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Does the Impeachment Glitch the Market Advance?

Does the Impeachment Glitch the Market Advance?

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worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

One adviser from a leading broker firm pointed me out today the expected market advancement is hindered by the uprising of people with different voices.

Media exhibits many confrontational rallies & controversial arguments that would aggravate the present situation.

What is your unbiased opinion?

bullrun

bullrun
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
For few days only. After the departure of CJ others will find something else to hang. Market will be started slowly.

notme

notme
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
bull run will not be started very soon , as lot of bulls are acting on this deceptive play. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

timeout

timeout
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
If the impeachment process continues, then there is a likelihood Sri Lanka receiving a downgrade from the three rating firms. Bonds will be more expensive, investment and risk insurance premiums will deter investors and default swaps and disastrous hedging agreements will find its way back to Colombo.
If the judiciary has no power to stop or interpret bills passed by the legislative assembly and the sitting govt. refuses to accept supreme court decisions, then investors has very few options for arbitration or to find justice for their grievances. What expropriation bill started, impeachment process will solidify.
From an economic standpoint, it’s hard to say what the final cost of the decision would be, but a conservative estimate would be in mid single digit billions of dollars. From the diplomatic standpoint, fallout from grace with the commonwealth judicial office, US state dept., UN and world courts would be very serious to both the economy and the people. Most nations might start to look at Sri Lanka with the same pair of eyes they use for Somalia, North Korea and Iran. From an investor’s viewpoint, would you invest in a country that just decided not to listen to the highest court in the land and impeached and kicked out the chief justice from office?

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@worthiness wrote:
One adviser from a leading broker firm pointed me out today the expected market advancement is hindered by the uprising of people with different voices.

Media exhibits many confrontational rallies & controversial arguments that would aggravate the present situation.

What is your unbiased opinion?
The protest rallies prove that democracy is still alive, but only just.
Typically, none of the branches of government (legislative, executive or judicial) is supposed to be superior to the other two... That is not the case in certain countries.

A decisive end to this tussle would be desirable for the market. The rule of law must prevail, so that economic activity can go on unhindered.

6Does the Impeachment Glitch the Market Advance? Empty Well reasoned comment Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:24 pm

kukumarx


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@timeout wrote:If the impeachment process continues, then there is a likelihood Sri Lanka receiving a downgrade from the three rating firms. Bonds will be more expensive, investment and risk insurance premiums will deter investors and default swaps and disastrous hedging agreements will find its way back to Colombo.
If the judiciary has no power to stop or interpret bills passed by the legislative assembly and the sitting govt. refuses to accept supreme court decisions, then investors has very few options for arbitration or to find justice for their grievances. What expropriation bill started, impeachment process will solidify.
From an economic standpoint, it’s hard to say what the final cost of the decision would be, but a conservative estimate would be in mid single digit billions of dollars. From the diplomatic standpoint, fallout from grace with the commonwealth judicial office, US state dept., UN and world courts would be very serious to both the economy and the people. Most nations might start to look at Sri Lanka with the same pair of eyes they use for Somalia, North Korea and Iran. From an investor’s viewpoint, would you invest in a country that just decided not to listen to the highest court in the land and impeached and kicked out the chief justice from office?

Thank you for the well reasoned comment!

Whitebull


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@timeout wrote:If the impeachment process continues, then there is a likelihood Sri Lanka receiving a downgrade from the three rating firms. Bonds will be more expensive, investment and risk insurance premiums will deter investors and default swaps and disastrous hedging agreements will find its way back to Colombo.
If the judiciary has no power to stop or interpret bills passed by the legislative assembly and the sitting govt. refuses to accept supreme court decisions, then investors has very few options for arbitration or to find justice for their grievances. What expropriation bill started, impeachment process will solidify.
From an economic standpoint, it’s hard to say what the final cost of the decision would be, but a conservative estimate would be in mid single digit billions of dollars. From the diplomatic standpoint, fallout from grace with the commonwealth judicial office, US state dept., UN and world courts would be very serious to both the economy and the people. Most nations might start to look at Sri Lanka with the same pair of eyes they use for Somalia, North Korea and Iran. From an investor’s viewpoint, would you invest in a country that just decided not to listen to the highest court in the land and impeached and kicked out the chief justice from office?
Another GONIBILLA sayings.When we tried to defeat LTTE terrorists you buggers people told the simillar thing.You buggers people do not know our CONSTITUTION or even the basics of democracy.

dsam

dsam
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@timeout wrote:If the impeachment process continues, then there is a likelihood Sri Lanka receiving a downgrade from the three rating firms. Bonds will be more expensive, investment and risk insurance premiums will deter investors and default swaps and disastrous hedging agreements will find its way back to Colombo.
If the judiciary has no power to stop or interpret bills passed by the legislative assembly and the sitting govt. refuses to accept supreme court decisions, then investors has very few options for arbitration or to find justice for their grievances. What expropriation bill started, impeachment process will solidify.
From an economic standpoint, it’s hard to say what the final cost of the decision would be, but a conservative estimate would be in mid single digit billions of dollars. From the diplomatic standpoint, fallout from grace with the commonwealth judicial office, US state dept., UN and world courts would be very serious to both the economy and the people. Most nations might start to look at Sri Lanka with the same pair of eyes they use for Somalia, North Korea and Iran. From an investor’s viewpoint, would you invest in a country that just decided not to listen to the highest court in the land and impeached and kicked out the chief justice from office?

Another lap dog

timeout

timeout
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Learn to disconnect your overburdened emotions from holding your good senses back. Prudent capitalists hardly have any emotions overcome their investment decisions. They care neither the actors nor the outcome, but only of the macro and micro economic changes and the resulting investment environs. Care not who triumphs or who loses, but only what impacts the investments. Regimes come and regimes go and many more will follow in the decades to come. One can make the choice to be one of the emotionally charged faceless millions or a handful of few looking for that perfect opportunity. Blind yourself to the realities, and you will surrender years of patient investments to others. My grad school finance prof's first advice, "Nothing is easier than robbing an emotional fool of his gold, so go forth and rob the fools because they don't deserve to keep the gold."
Kind of poetic for this day and age

sahan8896


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
When UN resolution was their similar talks were here merely to buy some shares later.This issue is more internal thing while UN resolution was external.Remember??This will explain that we don't need to worry about CSE because of impeachment.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t16994-so-we-lost-un-resolution-what-is-impact-on-cse-and-country-now?highlight=resolution
Read this.As usual most of Sri Lankans have forgotten the UN resolution.

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Taking one step back ( not two steps indicated by a senior minister) legislature & judiciary can amicably reconcile the differences for the sake of country.

Next step will be, fixing the loose-ends of the constitutions that may not arise such events hereinafter.

Also, it is the responsibility of parliamentarians who represent the people, should not take any political advantages stepping over judiciary.

My personal view is that this is damaging every segment of economy & international image as well as long as the parties attempt to possess so called supremacy.

Whitebull


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Now the matter is on hands of representatives of people.As a democratic country all should respect their decision.
Democracy :-
«Government of the people, by the people, for the people»
-Abraham Lincoln

wiki


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Whitebull wrote:Now the matter is on hands of representatives of people .As a democratic country all should respect their decision.
Democracy :-
«Government of the people, by the people, for the people»
-Abraham Lincoln

Person I voted crossed over.. He is no more representing me Evil or Very Mad

Whitebull


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@wiki wrote:
@Whitebull wrote:Now the matter is on hands of representatives of people .As a democratic country all should respect their decision.
Democracy :-
«Government of the people, by the people, for the people»
-Abraham Lincoln

Person I voted crossed over.. He is no more representing me Evil or Very Mad
That is a short coming of representative system.We can not go for elections for each and every matter.So even this has the shortcomings it is by far the best practical system we got.Till we find a better system we have to use this.

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

True as long as they are behaving honorably in the best interest of the country . Bot on personal gain or agenda. From what I read and heard Abe was a pretty decent guy who made decsiion for his country and not for himself.

@Whitebull wrote:Now the matter is on hands of representatives of people.As a democratic country all should respect their decision.
Democracy :-
«Government of the people, by the people, for the people»
-Abraham Lincoln

Whitebull


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@slstock wrote:
True as long as they are behaving honorably in the best interest of the country . Bot on personal gain or agenda. From what I read and heard Abe was a pretty decent guy who made decsiion for his country and not for himself.

@Whitebull wrote:Now the matter is on hands of representatives of people.As a democratic country all should respect their decision.
Democracy :-
«Government of the people, by the people, for the people»
-Abraham Lincoln
Problem is do we have a option....a better option than this representative system ?

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