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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb

My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb

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1My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Sat Feb 02, 2013 8:53 pm

klpfernando


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Last week as I predicted we so
1. foreign outflow
2.month end settlements
3.profit taking
so market in RED.but i think next week should belongs to GREEN.why
1.foreign inflow
2.side lined investors will come back(because market direction is much clear)
3.good quarterly reports
hope for a better week.thanks

2My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty Re: My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Sat Feb 02, 2013 9:22 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I also predicted a Red week.And Red March and a selling opportunity before March.From the way things happening there may not be a selling opportunity too.Don't buy now.Observe this week with patient.

3My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty Re: My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Sat Feb 02, 2013 10:35 pm

timeout

timeout
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Looking at the multiple negative scenarios central to Sri Lanka unfolding all across the globe, and the current regime finding a new low to sink every passing day, how do you believe Colombo exchange could convince investors to pour money into stocks. Threats of certain conditional embargos could drag Colombo exchange further into red. If the outlook dims too much, then there may not be enough time to unload when the glut hits the market. Health of the market now depends entirely on how effectively the regime handles the curve balls and willingness to be more compromising. February and March should tell a lot on how much they learned from past experiences or otherwise and it should be a great learning opportunity to both investors and Sri Lanka watchers to glance inside the regime heads, to evaluate their reasoning, logic and problem solving capabilities. Should they stand like oaks and risk breaking or behave like willows and learn to sway. Will they take the sentiments head on or play defensive. End result could offer a good looking glass to map out how the Colombo exchange might behave.

4My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty Re: My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Sun Feb 03, 2013 9:21 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
We can't expect major improvement in next week

But there will be some improvement due to reasons given by'klpfernando'

I would like to mention that my prediction for the month of Jan is correct

5My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty Re: My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Sun Feb 03, 2013 11:29 am

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Predictions within +/- tolerance levels produce the good the result but difficult to determine the percentage. As timeout mentioned " multiple negative scenarios" are one of the key factors taken into account by foreign & institutional parties, that retailers do not give heavy weight on. Geo political pressures are put forward in various dimensions at different times in a range of end goals, but high end investors/institutions are still capable of understanding of the credence of such pressure.
Back to the market, the local events being happened almost everyday in tyrannical manner at the expense of the people, hold back many small investors with diminishing cash in hand. So, based on personal view (which could be wrong) the results of this month may be similar to that of previous which disappointed the much expectations placed.


6My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Empty Re: My forecast for 4th to 8th of Feb Fri Feb 08, 2013 11:32 am

klpfernando


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@worthiness wrote:Predictions within +/- tolerance levels produce the good the result but difficult to determine the percentage. As timeout mentioned " multiple negative scenarios" are one of the key factors taken into account by foreign & institutional parties, that retailers do not give heavy weight on. Geo political pressures are put forward in various dimensions at different times in a range of end goals, but high end investors/institutions are still capable of understanding of the credence of such pressure.
Back to the market, the local events being happened almost everyday in tyrannical manner at the expense of the people, hold back many small investors with diminishing cash in hand. So, based on personal view (which could be wrong) the results of this month may be similar to that of previous which disappointed the much expectations placed.


Foreign participation is high and we can see some good quarterly reports so this may be the month which exceed over expectations.

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