FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Dear Reader,

Registration with the Sri Lanka FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️ would enable you to enjoy an array of other services such as Member Rankings, User Groups, Own Posts & Profile, Exclusive Research, Live Chat Box etc..

All information contained in this forum is subject to Disclaimer Notice published.


Thank You
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️
www.srilankachronicle.com


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Dear Reader,

Registration with the Sri Lanka FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️ would enable you to enjoy an array of other services such as Member Rankings, User Groups, Own Posts & Profile, Exclusive Research, Live Chat Box etc..

All information contained in this forum is subject to Disclaimer Notice published.


Thank You
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️
www.srilankachronicle.com
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Encyclopedia of Latest news, reviews, discussions and analysis of stock market and investment opportunities in Sri Lanka


Submit PostSubmit Post
ශ්‍රී ලංකා මූල්‍ය වංශකථාව - සිංහල
Submit Post



Latest topics

» UNHCR එකේ ලොකූ ටෝක දැම්මට සමහර ඔස්තාර් ලා කියන ආර්තික සම්භාදක අරවා මේවා මුකුත් එන්නේ නැ
by Promoney Today at 2:35 pm

» පෙබරවාරි මාසේ කොළඹ කොටස් වලට මොකක්ද වුනේ - බැසුවාද ? බැස්සාද ?
by xhunter Today at 12:24 pm

» BROWNS INVESTMENTS PLC (BIL.N0000)
by samaritan Today at 9:45 am

» DFCC will be receiving Rs.594,538,285.50
by KavinduTM Today at 9:29 am

» GLAS will be winner with Super Gain.
by Eranga87 Today at 2:00 am

» If you are one of those people who can sleep at night while someone else is in control of your destiny, then my advice would be to only invest in stocks
by Asoka Samarakone Yesterday at 9:58 pm

» NATIONS TRUST BANK PLC (NTB.N0000)
by chathura123 Yesterday at 8:52 pm

» Price prediction on GRAN and TAFL
by Bakkabwoi Yesterday at 6:22 pm

» SEMB SEMB
by stockchaser Yesterday at 2:57 pm

» EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000)
by Vishwanarth Yesterday at 2:54 pm

» Bullish sentiment returns with market regulator's assurance
by Vishwanarth Yesterday at 2:52 pm

» SOFTLOGIC HOLDINGS PLC (SHL.N0000)
by suku502 Yesterday at 1:32 pm

» DIPD/HAYC/HAYL
by Wickyz Yesterday at 1:19 pm

» Chart 25.02.2021
by stockback Yesterday at 12:41 pm

» is it a good time to sell expo shares
by Kipling Yesterday at 8:39 am

» Current 2021 Februray Unit Trust/Unit Fund Per Annum percentages
by agentnrox Yesterday at 8:13 am

» Leading brokers causing market downturn
by Mithooshan Yesterday at 7:40 am

» Must watch this video - unnecessary panic
by Jana Yesterday at 1:03 am

» LOLC HOLDINGS PLC (LOLC.N0000)
by learningthemarket Yesterday at 12:03 am

» Daily Foreign Transactions
by Mr. X Wed Feb 24, 2021 11:28 pm

EXPERT CHRONICLE™

ECONOMIC CHRONICLE

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)


CHRONICLE™ YouTube

CHRONICLE™ NEWS PRODUCTS

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™

Views & Reviews, Analysis, Evaluations, Discussions, Gossip and Hot Tips relating to Sri Lankan companies listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE)
Contribute




DAILY CHRONICLE™

Latest news and articles published in Newspapers, Websites, Blogs and other online news sites relating to business and investments in Sri Lanka
Contribute



ECONOMIC CHRONICLE™

This is a section that provide news, views, analysis, predications relating to Political and Socio-Economic factors and how such activities affect the Stock Market and other economic activity of the Country.

Contribute




EXPERT CHRONICLE™

This is an exclusive section for Expert Articles which will help member to share knowledge through comments and responses of the members. All members are allowed to reply and make comments to these articles.

Contribute


Submit Post


CHRONICLE™ YouTube

Youtube Videos and other visual presentations relating Stock market and other investment advise submitted by members or other contributors.

Contribute


Submit Post


කොළඔ කොටස් වෙළඳපොළේ වංශකථාව
කොළඔ කොටස් වෙළඳපොළේ ලැයිස්තුගත සමාගම් කොටස් ගැන තොරතුරු¸විශ්ලේෂණ¸සාකච්ඡා¸ කටකතා¸රසකතා යන සියල්ල අපේම සිංහලෙන් කතා කළ හැකි ‘කතා මණ්ඩපය’

Contribute

Twitter Feeds
POPULAR COMPANIES
A

ABANS ELECTRICALS PLC

ACCESS ENGINEERING PLC Hot

ACL CABLES PLC

ACL PLASTICS PLC

ACME PRINTING & PACKAGING PLC

AGSTAR PLC

AITKEN SPENCE HOTEL HOLDINGS PLC

AITKEN SPENCE PLC

ANILANA HOTELS AND PROPERTIES PLC

ARPICO INSURANCE PLC

ASIA ASSET FINANCE PLC

ASIA CAPITAL PLC

B

BAIRAHA FARMS PLC

BALANGODA PLANTATIONS PLC

BIMPUTH FINANCE PLC

BLUE DIAMONDS JEWELLERY WORLDWIDE PLC

B P P L HOLDINGS PLC

BROWNS BEACH HOTELS PLC

BROWNS INVESTMENTS PLC

C

CARGO BOAT DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC

CENTRAL INDUSTRIES PLC

CEYLON COLD STORES PLC

CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC Hot

CEYLON TEA BROKERS PLC

CEYLON TOBACCO COMPANY PLC

CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC

COLOMBO FORT LAND & BUILDING PLC

COMMERCIAL BANK OF CEYLON PLC

CITRUS LEISURE PLC Hot

COMMERCIAL CREDIT AND FINANCE PLC

D

DANKOTUWA PORCELAIN PLC

DFCC BANK PLC

DIALOG AXIATA PLC

DIALOG FINANCE PLC

DIPPED PRODUCTS PLC

DISTILLERIES COMPANY OF SRI LANKA PLC

DUNAMIS CAPITAL PLC

E

EAST WEST PROPERTIES PLC Hot

EASTERN MERCHANTS PLC

EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC

E-CHANNELLING PLC

F

FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC

G

GALADARI HOTELS (LANKA) PLC

GUARDIAN CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC

H

HATTON NATIONAL BANK PLC

HAYLEYS PLC

HAYLEYS FABRIC PLC

HAYLEYS FIBRE PLC Hot

HEMAS HOLDINGS PLC

HIKKADUWA BEACH RESORT PLC

HNB ASSURANCE PLC

HVA FOODS PLC

J

JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC

JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS PLC Hot

JOHN KEELLS HOTELS PLC

L

LANKA ASHOK LEYLAND PLC

LANKA IOC PLC

LANKEM CEYLON PLC

LANKEM DEVELOPMENTS PLC

LAUGFS GAS PLC

LAUGFS POWER LIMITED

LOLC FINANCE PLC

LOLC HOLDINGS PLC

LUCKY LANKA MILK PROCESSING COMPANY PLC

M

MELSTACORP PLC

N

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK PLC

NATION LANKA FINANCE PLC

NESTLE LANKA PLC

O

ORIENT FINANCE PLC

OVERSEAS REALTY (CEYLON) PLC

P

PANASIAN POWER PLC

PEOPLE'S LEASING & FINANCE PLC

PIRAMAL GLASS CEYLON PLC

PRIME FINANCE PLC

R

RAIGAM WAYAMBA SALTERNS PLC

RENUKA AGRI FOODS PLC

RENUKA CAPITAL PLC

RENUKA HOLDINGS PLC

RICHARD PIERIS AND COMPANY PLC

RICHARD PIERIS EXPORTS PLC Hot

ROYAL CERAMICS PLC

S

SAMPATH BANK PLC

SEYLAN BANK PLC

SIERRA CABLES PLC

SINGHE HOSPITALS PLC Hot

SMB LEASING PLC

SOFTLOGIC HOLDINGS PLC

SOFTLOGIC LIFE INSURANCE PLC

SRI LANKA TELECOM PLC

SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC Hot

T

TEEJAY LANKA PLC

TESS AGRO PLC

THREE ACRE FARMS PLC

TOKYO CEMENT COMPANY (LANKA) PLC Hot

U

UNION BANK OF COLOMBO PLC

V

VALLIBEL FINANCE PLC

VALLIBEL ONE PLC Hot

VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC

W

WASKADUWA BEACH RESORT PLC


You are not connected. Please login or register

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » Public concern about the economy Growing

Public concern about the economy Growing

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1Public concern about the economy Growing Empty Public concern about the economy Growing Thu Mar 21, 2013 12:22 am

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator
* Pathfinder Economic Flash

The latest LMD/Nielsen Business Confidence Survey shows that the percentage of people concerned about the economy more than doubled in 4th quarter 2012. The proportion of people indicating that the economy was their biggest or second biggest concern increased from 22% to 46 %. This sharp deterioration in public sentiment reflects the slowing down of the economy that has taken place following the implementation of the necessary stabilization measures that were introduced a year ago to address the overheating of the economy. That overheating was due to a combination of misaligned domestic macroeconomic policies in the wake of the euphoria associated with the war victory and adverse developments in the world economy.

The challenge now is to break out of the stop-go economic cycle that has characterized the Sri Lankan economy for many years. It tends to overheat whenever there is an acceleration in the growth rate, similar to that experienced in 2010 and 2011. However, other countries in Asia have been able to sustain accelerated growth rates for decades. In Sri Lanka, the combined effects of the structural budget and current account (BoP) deficits; low productivity/competitiveness; and uncertain investment climate mean that growth can only be pumped-up by artificially manipulating macroeconomic policy instruments. This is not sustainable as it leads inevitably to an overheating of the economy. The natural consequence of this is recourse to repeated cycles of stop-go policies. However, the dangers of continuing on this path has increased exponentially with the loss of access to foreign aid that has come with graduation to a lower-middle-income country. The risks associated with both the budget and balance of payments have risen with increasing dependence on foreign commercial borrowing—sovereign, state bank and corporate.

The shift in public sentiment reflected in the Nielsen survey is an indication of the need to address these fundamental issues. In this connection, the recent moves to adjust fuel and energy prices is very much a step in the right direction as they are designed to place public finances and the balance sheets of the state banks on a sounder footing.

However, increased energy prices will have a major impact on the competitiveness of domestic businesses, particularly industrial production. This will inevitably dampen economic activity at a time when growth impulses in the economy are already very subdued. Rising energy prices on top of high nominal interest rates and an overvalued real effective exchange rate will hollow-out productive capacity in the economy, particularly in the tradables sector.

In the past, the authorities have compensated for high nominal interest rates and an overvalued (uncompetitive) real effective exchange rate through tax and other concessions. However, the combined effects of a poor revenue performance and the ineligibility for foreign aid/much higher dependence on foreign commercial borrowings now mean that such an option is no longer viable without undermining fiscal stability and increasing the already elevated risks associated with the economy.

The challenge is to create conditions for improved economic fundamentals resulting in lower interest rates (that can be sustained in the medium term rather than a manipulated short-term temporary reduction); a competitive exchange rate and a conducive investment climate. Sri Lanka also needs to achieve higher productivity levels that not only increase competitiveness of the economy but can also support non-inflationary increases in income levels that can absorb the international price of oil.

All this serves to highlight the fact that a piecemeal approach tends to result in one set of problems while creating/exacerbating others. This reinforces Pathfinder Foundation’s often espoused conclusion that the Sri Lankan economy cannot be placed on a higher growth path without a broad package of reforms. Of course, such reforms bring about pain in the short term, while the gains are only generated in the medium term. The timing and sequencing of such reforms, therefore, become important from a political perspective.

(This is the Twenty Sixth Economic Flash published by the Pathfinder Foundation. Readers’ comments are welcome at www.pathfinderfoundation.org. Economic Alert, Economic Flash & Economic Dialogue articles can be viewed at www.pathfinderfoundation.org you can also find us on facebook and follow us on twitter)
http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=75159

Back to top  Message [Page 1 of 1]

Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum