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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Good long term buy

Good long term buy

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1Good long term buy Empty Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 4:49 pm

Dula78


Stock Trader
Hi, I am in the process of making a medium term (2 to 3 years ) investment plan and planing to buy below stocks. Kindly advise your idea
JKH
COMB
Hemas
NTB

Thanks

2Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 4:56 pm

Takecharge


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
All excellent choices, i would add,
SAMP
VFIN
LFIN
VONE
AEL
KAPI
BRWN
RCL
NDB
DFCC
RENU



Last edited by Takecharge on Fri Jun 07, 2013 4:59 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : add)

3Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:00 pm

Dula78


Stock Trader
Thanks for the advise. Any idea about the estimated time duration to cover the investment (through dividnd ) from JKH, COMB, Hemas and NTB ?

4Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:28 pm

Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
IF you want my advice get the money you have go put it on a 3 month Fixed deposit! Wait for this market to crash down and buy in few months time! Wont matter much what you buy if not junk at peaks!

5Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:30 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
To what level do you think it will crash?


@Rajitha wrote:IF you want my advice get the money you have go put it on a 3 month Fixed deposit! Wait for this market to crash down and buy in few months time! Wont matter much what you buy if not junk at peaks!

6Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:35 pm

Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
[quote="slstock"]To what level do you think it will crash? [/quote="slstock"]

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share since! Since then have had even over 100%+ gains counters!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup. But it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better until then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!

7Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:42 pm

Takecharge


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="Rajitha"]
@slstock wrote:To what level do you think it will crash?

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share soo far since then but have had over 100% gains even!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup but it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better untill then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!
good advice

8Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 5:47 pm

Bond


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="Takecharge"]
@Rajitha wrote:
@slstock wrote:To what level do you think it will crash?

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share soo far since then but have had over 100% gains even!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup but it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better untill then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!
good advice

No not really ...... the purpose of an FD is to use it as a cheap borrowing to invest in higher yielding assets ie shares. You then use shares to borrow more on margin to buy more shares ie leverage. Certain shares will run in the near future Question

9Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 6:00 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Care to eloborate or any hints?

@Bond wrote: Certain shares will run in the near future Question

10Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 6:16 pm

Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
[quote="Bond"]
@Takecharge wrote:
@Rajitha wrote:
@slstock wrote:To what level do you think it will crash?

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share soo far since then but have had over 100% gains even!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup but it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better untill then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!
good advice

No not really ...... the purpose of an FD is to use it as a cheap borrowing to invest in higher yielding assets ie shares. You then use shares to borrow more on margin to buy more shares ie leverage. Certain shares will run in the near future Question

LOL I have seen your type a lot! I even got a elder cousin of your type! LEt me know how it works out in a few years! Anyway go go get all your cash that you have now and invest on those great counters immediately!

11Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 6:19 pm

WildBear


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
[quote="Rajitha"]
@slstock wrote:To what level do you think it will crash? [/quote="slstock"]

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share since! Since then have had even over 100%+ gains counters!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup. But it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better until then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!

But you forgot to log in couple of months back to tell us the market is about to take off when it was around 5500 Razz Razz pig

12Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 8:09 pm

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Dula78 wrote:Thanks for the advise. Any idea about the estimated time duration to cover the investment (through dividnd ) from JKH, COMB, Hemas and NTB ?
FYI

Good long term buy Nest11

Good long term buy Llub10

Good long term buy Ctc10

Good long term buy Ntb10

Good long term buy Cic10

Good long term buy Dist10

13Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 8:13 pm

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thanks a lot Dileepa.

@Dileepa wrote:
@Dula78 wrote:Thanks for the advise. Any idea about the estimated time duration to cover the investment (through dividnd ) from JKH, COMB, Hemas and NTB ?
FYI

Good long term buy Nest11

Good long term buy Llub10

Good long term buy Ctc10

Good long term buy Ntb10

Good long term buy Cic10

Good long term buy Dist10

14Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 8:14 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Anyone can say anything.. Its the freedom of speech. So I'm using mine Wink

Watchout - ASI gave a MACD reversal around 6463 and we're seeing the effects of it. The whole market was overbought so it needs a rest.

Nevertheless, its good to watch these levels and few higher market cap shares to see where the market is headed.

Market can crash? Yes

Till what level? The worst is expected at 6000- 6066 (based on Fibonacci) We have support at 6200, 6242 levels. But around the latter levels a reversal is expected.
Below 6000, its a free fall imo..

What could cause a quick reversal? Imo, if shares like JKH, LLUB reverse its trend, we can see a sudden reversal.

15Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:08 pm

stocks hunter


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Rajitha I tried ur tactics but failed completely. I bought NDB at Rs 125 and sold it when it reached Rs 150 levels because there was a resistance at that levels and mkt also came down. But I failed. Later NDB gave a great dividend of Rs 15 (5+10) and still trading at Rs 170 levels after hitting Rs 180. My FD rate came down to 12% from high as 15%.

Same thing happen to COMB, HNB as well. because I loved banking counters couple of months ago. see the present situ. HNBX I sold around Rs 105. All the dividends I missed.

I have another two counters as well same thing happen. its totally different. couple of months ago if we take 2.0mn with us to a bank they tried every thing to get that deposit by giving special rates ,gifts etc. Now they don't care even. what they said was they have enough money, interest rates coming down , no special rates offered etc. to get a good rate u have to go to place like TFC. are u willing to go their? everything has change now.

16Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:21 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
At Stocks Hunter,

This is my experience friend, before buy stock determine the both target price (up & down), and if it touches that level dispose it, hold it only if you are certain something.

These are few real examples

I bought 1,000 CDIC with approximate cost of 200/= and when it went to 300 plus i sold it later it went to 700 plus or something.

Same thing happen to me with the CFLB, after i disposed it went like this.

Only stock i hold against policy was LLUB i bought at 170/= level before split and hold for considerable period of time and dispose between 360 to 370. Now am closely watching this again and if the suitable price come i ll buy again.


17Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:59 pm

Dula78


Stock Trader
friends collected some very good Ideas.
Dileepa from where you got those graphs,
1. and sure there will be a place to see those price movements in the history.
2. Is there any special web site or an organization who gives market analizis and hints ?
pls help with this as well

18Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Sat Jun 08, 2013 7:19 am

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Dula78 wrote:
Dileepa from where you got those graphs,
Data is from annual reports. I maintain the graphs for my holdings.

For those who think market is crashing, and we should sell:
Just because a share has gone DOWN/UP, It is not a BUY/SELL.
On the contrary, It may have gone DOWN/UP because it is performing BAD/GOOD.
Buying a cheap nonperforming counter and waiting for it to go up and
buying a expensive but performing counter is the difference between gambling and investing.

This was my PF about a week ago,
Good long term buy Pf_13_10
and this was yesterday.
Good long term buy Pf_20111
I sold some of CTC not just because it has gone up,
but because future for the industry is somewhat uncertain.
I'm holding cash and buying more of LLUB & NEST.
They are expensive that is for a reason.


19Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Sat Jun 08, 2013 8:44 am

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@ Rajotha,

If i am not mistaken you said you cashed your portfolio when mkt was at 5900................
Sorry if i am wrong and i dont know how to copy and past previous statements.

Any way if you cased out note my words, This is just the beginning of the next mega run. so better enter again with solid counters like VFIN where those didnt appreciate at all inline with the mkt and with their performance. Still i dont have VFIN but if i sell my existing Shares i will buy 100%

Well come back and i think we will be having hot arguments again.....................My above comment may be the start. Lets check. ha ha

20Good long term buy Empty Re: Good long term buy Sat Jun 08, 2013 9:51 am

wappula

wappula
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="Rajitha"]
@slstock wrote:To what level do you think it will crash? [/quote="slstock"]

No idea! But I have made it a policy never ever ever to buy stocks on uptrend markets year or two back and have never had a single loss from share since! Since then have had even over 100%+ gains counters!

Market might even crash a bit and pickup. But it has already gone up 2 much for my taste and I have already cashed most of the shares. I will again buy when I feels like market has gone down enough! its better until then to have a steady gain on nice Fixed deposits!


yes.. rajitha I am with you...

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