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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » JKH real value and jack up prices

JKH real value and jack up prices

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1JKH real value and jack up prices Empty JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 12:18 am

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
If you analyse foreign buy of JKH-170 TO 260 was their price range, from there on wards JKH jacked up by local ......unfortunately our tech and other experts did not wright much about it, because it is 'JKH'.
NOW some people think that it will reach 330 or 400...base on what kind of valuation???



Last edited by celtic tiger on Mon Jun 10, 2013 2:09 pm; edited 1 time in total

2JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 8:13 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
A point to think.

If someone ( foreigner) bought at Rs 270 I am assuming it was with some reason. Presume with time they expect a gain.


When Harry J bought JKH at RS 220 and when it dropped to Rs 170 some of us were thinking what a waste to buy an overvalued share where there are so many other undervalued ones.

The point is JKH , is a trend setter and still the king of shares. It hard to analyse its market movements. I recall one of the brokers valued it for RS 350 with some method.

I don;t have JKH now but just giving another side to it. JKH is not a value share at this price . But ..

Best if JKH stabilizes for some time while some other value shares increase. Else this ASI high cap cycle won;t be broken and retailer will be stuck in loops.

Just a wish.

Let see whether there will be bounce today ( will be good) or 6200s. Morning red evening start green is a hope.

3JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 8:49 am

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@ Celtic .

Then can u explain y people buy LLUB at 340-350 level. With what kind of valuation.

Nest at 2000.................With what kind of valuation.
Valuation is needed if you want only if you hold the share for long term.

4JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 9:17 am

Prince

Prince
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ slstock

Hard to believe green till Thursday. Its T+3 settlement today and most probably the Margin Call "Chain Reaction" to be triggered.

I was predicting about this 2 weeks back.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t28531p25-is-the-market-forming-a-head-shoulder-pattern?highlight=is+the+market+forming


@slstock wrote:A point to think.

Best if JKH stabilizes for some time while some other value shares increase. Else this ASI high cap cycle won;t be broken and retailer will be stuck in loops.

Just a wish.

Let see whether there will be bounce today ( will be good) or 6200s. Morning red evening start green is a hope.

5JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 2:30 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Arena wrote:@ Celtic .

Then can u explain y people buy LLUB at 340-350 level. With what kind of valuation.

Nest at 2000.................With what kind of valuation.
Valuation is needed if you want only if you hold the share for long term.

Arena
I don't know why they bought at that level,see what's happening to LLUB now.
FOR me NEST is a highly manipulated share.Growing local dairy companies will give stiff competition in the coming years to this company.

6JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 3:56 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@celtic tiger wrote:If you analyse foreign buy of JKH-170 TO 260 was their price range, from there on wards JKH jacked up by local ......unfortunately our tech and other experts did not wright much about it, because it is 'JKH'.
NOW some people think that it will reach 330 or 400...base on what kind of valuation???

Techies may be wrong (according to u..) but that is what chart tells us..
Its not our mythological figures that we explain from TA. Its what market says Wink There's no doubt about the overheated JKH. But some shares go up since not much selling pressure comes in..

Look at LLUB;
From 224 level where a MACD crossing was shown, no sell till now even.
There's a reversal going on but if it finds 301 support, next rest could be 400.

JKH real value and jack up prices Llub10

Look at JKH;
The last MACD crossing was at 250, foreigners should be damn right.. And today 266.6 was the low.. Oh I said I would look at this from 250-262 range and it has never come to that support range either Evil or Very Mad

JKH real value and jack up prices Jkh11

Look at NEST;
Getting stagnated on 700 levels and it has slowly climbing up, very recently a MACD crossing. So we see selling.. Buying at 1000 when time to time buy indications were given and unloading at 2000 is an easy 100% appreciation (Plus the dividend too)

JKH real value and jack up prices Nest10

U decide.. we illustrate.. Razz

7JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 5:06 pm

rainmaker


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH should prove it's worth now!

LOLC without debt would be showing bigger profits. If not now it will soon.

Commercial bank with its retained profit account could easily set up a larger group .... But it's a bank.

It's time for them to divest the stake in NTB and UAL in full and focus on ports and leisure only ... the UAL stake is confusing most.

8JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Mon Jun 10, 2013 5:14 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
smallville, thanks for your fact full reply.
WHAT CHARTS TELL US...is accurate behaviour of past. charts never tell us about the future behaviour .what we do is predict the future by looking at the past. Am I right?



Last edited by celtic tiger on Tue Jun 11, 2013 2:19 am; edited 1 time in total

9JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 11, 2013 2:07 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@celtic tiger wrote:smallville, thanks for your fact full reply.
WHAT CHATS TELL US...is accurate behaviour of past. charts never tell us about the future behaviour .what we do is predict the future by looking at the past. Am I right?

Duh.. Have u never heard the sayin "history repeats itself.." in stock markets?

10JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 3:04 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
what is the real value ??250,240,230 IF foreigners start to sell JKH could reach 220? This is the real risk of blindly following foreign and HNWI.

11JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 4:45 pm

suja


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Guys , Buyesr of JKH is always long term. Historically it is a share which has given very slow but steady growth. Look at the shareholding most of it is in the hands of funds. Only a few % is held by the local shareholders who have been staying for a long time. One of the companies who is cash rich and do what ever they want as there is no pressure from the shareholders. If they get the gaming licence ......
If you want to go with this buy and forget about it and look at it only after 5 years.

12JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 5:52 pm

Santa

Santa
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
And also not to go with the crown. Foreigners purchased this around 190 to 230 and then again at 250. I think they made there profit.
Now my best guess is this it will come down and probably within some time this will happen again. It's basically a cycle, so don't get caught when the price is at it's peak. I rather enter when it is at 220 levels.

13JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 6:02 pm

anges


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
rela value according to my broker/researcher is 175-200/= beyong that ! who knows ??????????????

14JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 6:11 pm

Santa

Santa
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I think considering it's future value still think a PE around 15-16 should be good. Otherwise it is a risk and will be holding for a long period to sell it.
If you look at the volume it is low.

If you look at the past about 4-5 months ago collection was high, in the millions.
So simple logic is people who collected at that time would have now long exited with profit.

15JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 6:37 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
JKH fell off from the 263 support, next strong support is 252. Lets see..

16JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 8:33 pm

rainmaker


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH is being dropped due to capital raising ideas.... 

There is only one realistic option which few within JKH are willing to accept.....

17JKH real value and jack up prices Empty Re: JKH real value and jack up prices Tue Jun 25, 2013 8:59 pm

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@rainmaker wrote:JKH is being dropped due to capital raising ideas....
Doubt this.
A counter price can go up until someone has collected the qty he wanted to have ( in a quick session). Once they achieved their target qty, price of a counter can go down (unless another person in same calibre comes up from nowhere and keep buying the shares).

@rainmaker wrote:
There is only one realistic option which few within JKH are willing to accept.....

Agree with you.

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