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කොළඔ කොටස් වෙළඳපොළේ ලැයිස්තුගත සමාගම් කොටස් ගැන තොරතුරු¸විශ්ලේෂණ¸සාකච්ඡා¸ කටකතා¸රසකතා යන සියල්ල අපේම සිංහලෙන් කතා කළ හැකි ‘කතා මණ්ඩපය’

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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage

CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage

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1CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 12:25 pm

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Rumor is that Before election there going to remove fuel surcharge. 

storage 90% first time for this year. must be Close to highest in sri lanka's history (1139 Gwh). taking to account upper kothmale came to operation in last year



  • Electricity Generated 
  • On :2013/06/18


           Total Energy 29.24476 GWh

          Thermal         7.56997 GWh      25.9%
          Hydro          20.39077 GWh      69.7%
          Wind             1.28402 GWh      4.39%




        Peak Demand                    1761 MW 
        Reservoir H. Storage        1139.8   GWh 90.6%




http://www.ceb.lk/index.aspx

2CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 3:50 pm

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
dear VISA

Please elaborate on above post made.
Total Energy 29.24GWH
But Peak demand is just 1761 MW.

I cant understand it at all. Please clarify for me.

Thanks for the post

3CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 4:45 pm

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
1761 MW is the highest demand in last 24 hrs. at one time we need 1761 mw to meet the demand. it could be for 1 min or it could for a one hour but they have to have capacity to supply that.

1139 GWh - this is what we have water storage to produce 1139 GWh. 

For eg there was a power plant for 1000 mw  and if it run for 1 hrs it will be 1 GWh

4CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 4:52 pm

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Oh thanks. Still i am confused since i am new to the subject. Nees some time.......and reading on the subject

Thanks for the clarification

5CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 9:39 pm

kukumarx


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks for the Info Visa. It really is a bonanza for the CEB. Its only the start of the SW monsoon season and they already have 55 days of 70% hydro in the reservoirs.

Any idea of the impact on the profitability of CEB? 

 If they can start paying back their OD's with BOC and Peoples Bank, it should help bring down interest rates and hopefully push up the market! Very Happy

6CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Wed Jun 19, 2013 10:16 pm

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
i do not think CEB ever be profitable. but as per calculation they will generate minimum LKR 25 billion.

They agreed for 3681 GWh for the year (hydro) this is out of 12000 GWh
upto 19th july 2013 (169 days) they generated 2370 GWh (hydro) this out of 5150 GWh
that come to avg of 14.03 GWh per day.
if they keep up at this average for rest of the year they will have 5100 GWh (196 days)

so they have 1400 GWh additional
1 Gwh is worth around LKR 18 million
so the will have around 25 billion positive impact for sure.
In my opinion they will hit 5100 GWh (+/- 2% error)

balance storage is 1139 GWh


Consultation Document on Proposed Electricity Tariff 
Revision 2013

http://www.pucsl.gov.lk/english/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/consultation-document-12-03-2013.pdf

7CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Thu Jun 20, 2013 9:28 am

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
limate related shocks could slow down Sri Lanka’s economic growth, poverty reduction efforts: WB
 
Sri Lanka among other South Asian countries to be hit hard with extreme weather, coastal erosion, rising seas
Sri Lanka will be among the South Asian countries hard hit by climate change and this could undermine efforts to overcome poverty and increase economic growth, according to a new scientific report released yesterday by the World Bank Group.
An expected 2°C rise in the world’s average temperatures in the next decades will impact island economies such as Sri Lanka with extreme weather and rising sea levels. Visionary political will is needed to change the current trajectory of climate change impacts on growth and poverty reduction efforts. New technological solutions and international cooperation are a must to adapt to and mitigate climate change related disasters, says the new report.
It is expected that out of all countries in South Asia, the southernmost tip of India and Sri Lanka will be most affected by rising temperature. In these areas, 20% to 30% of summer months are expected to experience unprecedented heat. With South Asia being close to the equator, the subcontinent would see much higher rises in sea levels than higher latitudes, with the Maldives confronting the biggest increases of between 100-115 centimetres. The consequences on livelihoods and health could be disastrous warns this scientific report.
 
CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Lead-pic
Extreme monsoons
Disturbances to the monsoon system and rising peak temperatures put water and food resources at severe risk. An extreme wet monsoon, which currently has a chance of occurring only once in 100 years, is projected to occur every 10 years by the end of the century.
“In Sri Lanka, we recently witnessed the havoc wrought on communities, especially those living on the coast, by extreme bad weather and this could only get worse with the accelerating effects of climate change,” said Ivan Rossignol, Acting Country Director for Sri Lanka and the Maldives.
“The World Bank Group is integrating climate risk mitigation into the designs of its investment lending operations to ensure sustainability of projects in Sri Lanka,” added Rossignol. He gave the examples of recent World Bank projects such as the Metro Colombo Urban Development Project (MCUDP) that aims at flood and drainage management and the Dam Safety and Water Resources Planning Project (DSWRP), which has incorporated climate/weather proofing of water resource management into its project design.
 
Turn down the heat
‘Turn Down The Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts, and the Case for Resilience’ builds on a World Bank report released late last year, which concluded the world would warm by 4 degrees Celsius 4 degrees Celsius = 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit (4°C or 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century if countries did not take concerted action now.
This new report looks at the likely impacts of present day (0.8°C), 2°C 2 degrees Celsius = 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) and 4°C warming on agricultural production, water resources, coastal ecosystems and cities across Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and South East Asia.
The report, prepared for the World Bank by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics, says the consequences for South Asia of a warming climate are even worse if global temperatures increased by an average of 4°C  by 2090.
In this scenario, seen as likely unless action is taken now to limit carbon release in the atmosphere, South Asia would suffer more extreme droughts and floods, rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and declines in food production.
 
Adaptation and mitigation
What is needed to mitigate some of the damage from even 1.5 to 2°C warming are major investments in infrastructure, flood defences, drought and heat resistant crops and improved management of surface and groundwater.
“We are determined to work with countries to find solutions,” said World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim. “But, the science is clear. There can be no substitute for aggressive national mitigation targets, and the burden of emissions reductions lies with a few large economies.”
The Colombo Green Growth Program with support from the World Bank is just one among other active and planned climate change adaptation and mitigation interventions of the Government of Sri Lanka. World Bank support is towards the development of a green growth strategy for the metropolitan Colombo region, covering various sectors, such as transport, urban energy efficiency, waste, water and wetlands.
The aim of this initiative is to involve various stakeholders to build a partnership around green sustainable development. This would improve coordination among various stakeholders for proposing, designing and implementing green infrastructure projects by creating an incentive mechanism.
The strategy will outline the key intervention areas and identify main areas of sustainable benefits, such as Green House Gas (GHG) emission reduction, energy saving, and other local environmental and social benefits. This technical assistance activity will also support the Government identify potential ways of attracting green/climate financing.
IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, is working to address the issues of climate change across the region, with a focus on adaptation and mitigation using renewable energy, cleaner production, and energy efficiency financing.

8CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Fri Jun 21, 2013 10:55 am

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
a last two days media put lot of pressure in on CEB hydro generation today they reported highest hydro generation (21,35 GWh) for a day in this year.

http://www.ceb.lk/

Previous highest was on 11th Jan 2013, 20.84 GWh

Good media pressure with instant results.
good work done by sirasa and island

http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=81712

9CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Fri Aug 02, 2013 10:55 am

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Highest hydro power generation for day in the year. (23.70716 GWh)

ELECTRICITY GENERATED
On :2013/08/01
Total Energy 32.01376 GWh
Thermal 6.88274 GWh    21.5%
Hydro 23.70716 GWh     74.1%
Wind 1.42386 GWh        4.45%
Peak Demand 1896.8 MW
Reservoir H. Storage 1129.2 GWh 89.7%

http://www.ceb.lk/

10CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Fri Aug 02, 2013 5:26 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@Arena wrote:Oh thanks. Still i am confused since i am new to the subject. Nees some time.......and reading on the subject

Thanks for the clarification

GWH  Vs  GW

මේ දෙකේ වෙනස H  අකුර ය.
( ඉතුරු ටිකත් දන්න  හිංගලෙන් ම තමයි ලියන්න වෙන්නේ .)

වොට් 1 ක බල්බයක් දැල්වී නම් ඇතිවන demand එක වොට් 1.
එනම් ඒ සඳහා වොට් 1 ක සැපයුමක් නිපදවිය යුතුය.

එම 1 W  බල්බය පැය 1 ක් තිස්සේ පත්තු කරන්නට Watt Hour  1 ක් ඕනෑය .
එනම් හැමවිටම වොට් 1 ක් නිපදවෙන ටර්බයින් පැය 1 ක් තිස්සේ කරකවන්නට ඕන ය .
ඒලෙස පැය 1ක්   ටර්බයින් කරකැවීම සඳහා ජලාශයේ එක්රැස් වී තිබිය යුතු ජල පරිමාව '1WH  නිපදවන ප්‍රමාණයක්' ලෙස ගත හැකියි.

මේක උදාහරණයකින්  කියනවා නම්  ඔබේ වාහනයේ ඇති පැට්‍රොල්  ප්‍රමාණය ලීටර් වලින් කියනු වෙනුවට "මගේ කාර් එක තව කිලෝ මීටර් 75 ක් දුවන්න ඉන්ධන ටැංකියේ තිබෙනවා" කියනවා වගේ මය .

(  ටර්බය්න වල නිපැයුම් බලය හා කාර්යක්ෂමතාව වෙනස් වන නිසා ඝන මීටර් හෝ අක්කර අඩි වලින් ප්‍රකාශ කිරීම ඒ ඒ ස්ථාන අනුව වෙනම ගණනය කල හැකි අතර එය මෙහිදී වැදගත් නොවේ .  )

peak demand  1761 MW  යනු  මෙගා වොට් 1761 ක විදුලි උපකරණ එම මොහොතේ බල ගැන්වී තිබෙය යන්නය.

දැනට ලංකාවේ CEB  ජලාශ වල ජල  ධාරිතාව  1139 GWH  යනු  
ගිග වොට 1139 ක උපකරණ පැය 1 ක් බලගැන්වීමට හැකිය යන්න ය .
= මෙගා වොට 1,139,000 ක උපකරණ පැය 1 ක් බලගැන්වීමට හැකිය යන්න ය .
= කිලෝ වොට 1,139,000,000 ක උපකරණ පැය 1 ක් බලගැන්වීමට හැකිය යන්න ය .

උපරිම ඉල්ලුම 1761 MW  නිසා ,
ජල ධාරිතාව  1,139,000 MWH   / ඉල්ලුම 1761 MW =  647 H
( MW  ට MW  කැපිල ගියාම H -පැය ගණන - ඉතුරු වෙනවා )
උපරිම ඉල්ලුම පැය  647 ක් තිස්සේ සැපයීමට හැකි ජල ධාරිතාවක් ඇත.
647/24 = දින 27.
නමුත් උදේ 1 ට පසුව සහ  දහවල් කාලයේ ඉල්ලුම අවම වන බැවින් මේ පැය  හා දින ගණන් මිට වඩා වැඩි වේ.

දැනට අසන්න වශයෙන් දයිනික ඉල්ලුම 30 GWH ලෙස ගතහොත් ,
පුර්ණ ව ජල විදුලියෙන් පමණක් 1139GWH / 30GWH  = දින 40 ක් පමණ අගයක් ලැබේ.( වෙනත් වචන වලින් කියනවා නම් දින 40 ක අදායමක් නොමිලයේ වගේ ලැබේ )
නමුත් කොටසක් වෙනත් බල ප්‍රභවයන් ගෙන් ලැබෙන බැවින් දැනට එක රැස් වී ඇති ජල  පරිමාව භාවිත කිරීමේ දින ගණන 40 ට වඩා වැඩි ය.
තවද මේ වස් කාලය බැවින්, සැප්තැම්බර් සාමාන්‍ය වැසිද, ඔක්තෝබර් 15 සිට නැවත මහ  වැසිද බලාපොරොත්තු විය හැක.
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පුදුමේ මේ එකක් වත් නොවේ.
වහින්න වහින්න hydropower shares  බහින එක ය .

11CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Empty Re: CEB Hit 90% reservoir Storage Thu Aug 08, 2013 11:33 pm

Jiggysaurus

Jiggysaurus
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:
පුදුමේ මේ එකක් වත් නොවේ.
වහින්න වහින්න hydropower shares  බහින එක ය .
VPEL has delivered 5x profits compared to last year so the rains have started to dribble down to the bottom lines of the hydro companies.

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