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Currently we are being told that the Rupee is depreciating because foreigners are selling out their holdings in rupee bonds. There is over US $ 3.7 billion foreign holdings in bonds alone. But it has not been so bad because they have been moving out of bonds and into treasury bills
Source: http://www.ft.lk/2013/07/01/foreign-selling-in-sri-lanka-tbonds-on-the-rise.
Basically why this is happening is that the bond holders are betting that interest rates will rise. They are selling long term and going into short term because they feel that interest rate will go up (and they will be able to buy back the bonds they sold at lower prices.)
However the Central Bank is trying to bring down interest rates.
How will this scenario play out? Any ideas?
Any rise in interest rates will be bad for the stock market.
Source: http://www.ft.lk/2013/07/01/foreign-selling-in-sri-lanka-tbonds-on-the-rise.
Basically why this is happening is that the bond holders are betting that interest rates will rise. They are selling long term and going into short term because they feel that interest rate will go up (and they will be able to buy back the bonds they sold at lower prices.)
However the Central Bank is trying to bring down interest rates.
How will this scenario play out? Any ideas?
Any rise in interest rates will be bad for the stock market.