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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » List of value shares with strong market support

List of value shares with strong market support

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

hunter

hunter
Moderator
Moderator
A resent post by @'stocks hunter' gave me the idea to write this post:
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t29880-foreign-bought-these-counters-today#176468

I usually trade / invest in value shares.
What I mean by value is; the share price should be justified by the relevant company's (or group's) past and present business performance.
(I ignore the expected-future performance for the time being: in fact, it's one of my weaknesses)

However, due to many reasons, considering the 'value' only will not make an efficient trading / investment plan. So I usually consider some other factors also when buying /selling shares.

In that view, I thought of combining 'value' with market support.
What I mean by market support is; during the recent past, even when the overall market was heading down, these shares have shown strong support by buyers. So, in general,
these share prices have not gone down much.
The idea is, these shares may attract more buyers when the market start uptrend.

You may consider this as an experiment. I could be right or I could be wrong; anyway, here is the list.
Please see if you also feel supporting these Wink

SDB
UML
NDB
ALLI
MAL
AMSL
TJL
CFVF
OSEA
TKYO.X
TKYO.N
CTLD
KAPI
CRL
HHL
LWL
CIND
NAMU
ABAN
GUAR
HAYC
SMOT
RENU
KCAB
COLO
CCS

Please share your views.

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
grrr where is CINS? Smile

Humble


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@hunter wrote:A resent post by @'stocks hunter' gave me the idea to write this post:
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t29880-foreign-bought-these-counters-today#176468

I usually trade / invest in value shares.
What I mean by value is; the share price should be justified by the relevant company's (or group's) past and present business performance.
(I ignore the expected-future performance for the time being: in fact, it's one of my weaknesses)

However, due to many reasons, considering the 'value' only will not make an efficient trading / investment plan. So I usually consider some other factors also when buying /selling shares.

In that view, I thought of combining 'value' with market support.
What I mean by market support is; during the recent past, even when the overall market was heading down, these shares have shown strong support by buyers. So, in general,
these share prices have not gone down much.
The idea is, these shares may attract more buyers when the market start uptrend.

You may consider this as an experiment. I could be right or I could be wrong; anyway, here is the list.
Please see if you also feel supporting these Wink

SDB
UML
NDB
ALLI
MAL
AMSL
TJL
CFVF
OSEA
TKYO.X
TKYO.N
CTLD
KAPI
CRL
HHL
LWL
CIND
NAMU
ABAN
GUAR
HAYC
SMOT
RENU
KCAB
COLO
CCS

Please share your views.

CSD - best share

hunter

hunter
Moderator
Moderator
Thanks for comments;
CSD is a 'value' share; but the price has dropped (less market support) so not in this list.

CINS has great market support but 'over valued' according to my formulas.
(It's my weakness that future performance is not considered; may be I should revise my way of calculating in future: Let's see)

yellow knife


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
tjl
dipd
cind
plc
jins
hhl
vone

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
guys,how about CIC,DIST?

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
guys,how about CIC,DIST?

Oracle797

Oracle797
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
First we should understand 'Valuation' Means future performance.
Basically investors or analysts can use either Market based valuation or Discounted CF based valuation.

This discounted CF based valuation is basically looking at the forward cash flows or Dividends and discounted from a relevant discounted factor.

@ Hunter - Sir ,Its better to apply future performance also into your formula otherwise it wont be a appropriate model to use for valuation unless you are completely focus on Market multiples .

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Oracle797 wrote:First we should understand 'Valuation' Means future performance.
Basically investors or analysts can use either Market based valuation or Discounted CF based valuation.

This discounted CF based valuation is basically looking at the forward cash flows or Dividends and discounted from a relevant discounted factor.
I like DCF-based valuation techniques. Despite its many assumptions, DCF makes logical sense.

But buyers and sellers are not always logical, and a share often trades at a significant discount to its DCF-based value. That's a buying opportunity.

aiyosalli

aiyosalli
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
None of them in my portfolio:cry: 

hunter

hunter
Moderator
Moderator
@Antonym
@Oracle797

Would you like to recommend any formula to do the (Intrinsic) valuation?

Currently, I am using a very simple method which consider NAVPS and EPS and a simple EPS growth rate.
I would like to incorporate cash flow and give some more weight to the EPS growth.
Still looking for a better and simple formula which can be use for any type of counter.
Pls let me know your ideas.

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@hunter: The simplest methods are often the best.

I have a formula that includes dividend per share (which is a proxy for cash flow). Check out this link...

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t19816-some-thoughts-on-cse-market-situation-at-present

hunter

hunter
Moderator
Moderator
@Antonym wrote:@hunter: The simplest methods are often the best.

I have a formula that includes dividend per share (which is a proxy for cash flow). Check out this link...

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t19816-some-thoughts-on-cse-market-situation-at-present

Excellent!!

Your formula is very similar to what I am using. Except you consider dividend and I consider a weight on EPS growth.
Will look at the dividend to bring in to my calculations.
In fact, I considered that earlier. I was not sure if I should add the dividend.
See,
If a company gave out a dividend, it is deducted from NAVPS and captured in it. If a dividend is not given out the profits will be added to the NAV. So I was not sure if I should consider only NAV or both dividend and NAV.

Anyway, I feel no harm in considering dividend since it shows companies confidence level .

Thanks for the idea.

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