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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Vellibel Power Erathna

Vellibel Power Erathna

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1Vellibel Power Erathna Empty Vellibel Power Erathna Fri Aug 09, 2013 12:20 pm

sandunj


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Open discussion, share ideas about VPEL.

They have reported fantastic results on March - June Quarter.

Revenue was increased by 136%
Purely because of continuing rain and as per my knowledge some time back they had build new plants and those plants add more kWh units. Risk factor is rain. If we will have a very drought period in future power supply will decreased.

1st quarter Basic EPS was  Rs.0.32
If they continue good results in future we can expect .32 x 4 = Rs. 1.28 Annualized EPS. (If we have mixed weather at least Rs.0.80 to Rs.0.90)

At present it trading at Rs.6.00 (Ex-dividend price)
They declared Rs.0.20 dividend and we can expect better div in the futures...


I guessed current prices are attractive to medium and long term investors. don't expect quick money but this is a safe counter with professional Management team . K.D.D.Perera is a 3rd main share holder and we all know VPEL one of his best expectation/Investment. VPEL will be give good value for potential Investors...

2Vellibel Power Erathna Empty Re: Vellibel Power Erathna Fri Aug 09, 2013 1:13 pm

WildBear


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
We Will see similar performance in other hydro companies as well, Some hydro stocks trading well below their NAV.

3Vellibel Power Erathna Empty Re: Vellibel Power Erathna Fri Aug 09, 2013 4:46 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Weir Diversions Vs Reservoirs

Power houses like Lakshapana and Victoria are fed with water retained in the reservoirs build for that purpose. Those reservoirs are build by construction high level dams across the water flow.

If you have a big capacity reservoir you can retain much water for future use. For them flash floods and heavy rainfall are effective.

In contrast, Mini and micro stations are usually fed with water diverted by constructing low level weirs across streams. Weirs are built just to get small head needed to divert the water to the feeder channel. No water is retained effectively in the upstream.

For those type of systems heavy downfall is not effective. They need moderate rainfall throughout the season to have continuous water flow in the stream. + jungle coverage as a sponge to retain water .

Most of the Listed plants have weir type diversions. Current 90% full reservoirs are no use for them. *

I feel we are going to get a full wet year to give us more income.

--
* If any micro station is fed with water released from a major station that is a bargain. Any idea ?

4Vellibel Power Erathna Empty Re: Vellibel Power Erathna Tue Aug 13, 2013 10:14 pm

sandunj


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
If anyone bought this after our small discussion, my advice is hold VPEL. Dont sell it to instant small gain. They are doing well and I guess it has value at about Rs.9. .

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