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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CSE and future

CSE and future

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21CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Thu Oct 17, 2013 1:53 pm

Kumar


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@The Alchemist wrote:
@Kumar wrote:
@The Alchemist wrote:
@slstock wrote: Ex :
CSE and future - Page 2 Secret12

So can anyone guess what company's order book this is in above example ?
Seems to be HHL.
It could be but i dont think so. I am thinking of another one. you know the one that has land in the fort. i could be wrong. sls will be able to confirm this.
In the recent past there were 3 options Colombo Fort Land, Seylan Bank Non Voting and HHL. My choice was HHL. Anyway Slstock could confirm later.

22CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Thu Oct 17, 2013 2:15 pm

UKboy


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Time to time CSE is a good place to invest your money.
The issue with most Sri Lankan investors/traders or retailers (whatever the name) is that, they are always looking for a scapegoat if any negative result occur from their investment.

23CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Sat Oct 26, 2013 11:56 am

K.Haputantri


Co-Admin
Very Good post. I missed it as I was out of Colombo for some times. Thanks slstock. I too hope that your predictions would come true.

24CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Sat Oct 26, 2013 5:54 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Fully loaded few weeks ago and looking for new money.alien 

25CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:08 am

Slstock


Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Finally after a long wait, ASI crossed 6000 2 times now.
Today and tomorrow is  crucial to see whether it stays above 6000 with large volume. If it does, and we seen a run till 6500 , we may never see 6000 Again ;-)


Except for the forthcoming,  March 2014 human right issues, the environment is set for one way in  the stock market. UP.  There can be hiccups in the middle, but CSE nearly had a 3 year dull period.  With CB clearly signalling a path for growth, interest rates/borrowing rate coming down, GSP back in the sack, US, European economies signalling a come back, CSE showing poor performance in 2013 when many stock markets recovered , 2014 appears  a overall good year for CSE ( again discounting the unexpected) .

So, time to be positive and believe. If everyone does , CSE is going to have a good time.  Pointless always being negative. We are here at CSE to gain and not to loose all the time right.  

Don;t make the mistake you made in the past. Don;t chase after speculatives to only hold them high and maybe never recover. Time for mind shift.

26CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:18 am

sahan8896


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@slstock wrote:Finally after a long wait, ASI crossed 6000 2 times now.
Today and tomorrow is  crucial to see whether it stays above 6000 with large volume. If it does,  we may never see 6000 Again ;-)


Except for the forthcoming,  March 2014 human right issues, the environment is set for one way in  the stock market. UP.  There can be hiccups in the middle, but CSE nearly had a 3 year dull period.  With CB clearly signalling a path for growth, interest rates/borrowing rate coming down, GSP back in the sack, US, European economies signalling a come back, CSE showing poor performance in 2013 when many stock markets recovered , 2014 appears  a overall good year for CSE ( again discounting the unexpected) .

So, time to be positive and believe. If everyone does , CSE is going to have a good time.  Pointless always being negative. We are here at CSE to gain and not to loose all the time right.  

Don;t make the mistake you made in the past. Don;t chase after speculatives to only hold them high and maybe never recover. Time for mind shift.
Nice to see slstock in aggressive mode.

27CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Wed Jan 08, 2014 1:16 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Treasury rate almost not worth investing now.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t32276-tb-rate-down-08-01-2013-423353-bps

28CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:06 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
The volume on Jan 8th could have been better but it improved over last day. If this keeps up it will be good.

Else the danger is a selected few shares makes ASI go up, and when they fall the other shares are worse priced than before. We seen this dangerous cycle several times.

Anyway, at somepoint market needs to turn around and mentalities needs to shift. We all are so skeptical as the past 3 years was a total disappointment and repeated false ups happened with falls being brutal effecting sometimes the good more than the bad.

People sell off with smallest profit due to the worry, and it does not help the market to go higher up with sustainability. More people need to hold than sell.


Still there are many shares trading at 50%-70% NAV and PE of 5-10.


Can;t still say for sure as the trends is not super strong, but what we need is a run to upto 6300-6500 within january and then settle well above 6000 for the next hike.

Dec quarter may be still like Sept for most companies but staring from MArch 2014 I think companies will start recovering. Gold also seems to settle at around Rs 1200. Some Fin companies evaluated their portfolio around this figure and took safety measures so we might not see more impairments unless gold takes another big plunge ( unlikely )




29CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:39 pm

Leon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@slstock wrote:Treasury rate almost not worth investing now.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t32276-tb-rate-down-08-01-2013-423353-bps

Let;s hope for the best. May all those money come to CSE.

30CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Thu Jan 16, 2014 12:19 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Just above half in market , and turnover Rs 1 bil and trades 8400. About half of it is HNB crossing.

Still not bad . Not bad. Confidence can do wonders.

31CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:17 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
At somepoint in the near future I expect some red to stabilize the market .  I was expecting around 6200 ( we are nearly that) but strong trends can change any patterns. But just want to say  not to panic  when some red comes.  Let profit takers  do their job to exit and invest in something else.

No market can always have green or red.

32CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:19 am

Rapaport

Rapaport
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Suddenly the JKH, HNB, LIOC, TKYO etc guys have disappeared and the foolish TWOD, BLUE and TFC guys are dancing in the rain!

Cheers!

33CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:48 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Ahh ha, it happnened today itself  ;-)



@slstock wrote:At somepoint in the near future I expect some red to stabilize the market .  I was expecting around 6200 ( we are nearly that) but strong trends can change any patterns.  But just want to say  not to  panic  when some red comes.  Let profit takers  do their job to exit and invest in something else.

No market can always  have green or red.

34CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:58 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
It appears that the Govt and CSE have understood  their role now

Recently not much interference by the Authorities

If market forces are allowed to work we can  expect good
market during year 2014

Even HR resolution is passed there will be physiological effect temporally.People will understand no immediate effect due to
HR resolution



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Fri Jan 17, 2014 11:00 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

35CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Fri Jan 17, 2014 6:22 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Today Red as expected was a good thing. Another 30 point ( 0.5%) drop on Monday should get market out from over bought territory.

But if it happens by that much in a single day ( monday itself), it is important market recovers monday evening or by tuesday. Else panic will set in for greater selling that can destroy the positive trend/mood.

36CSE and future - Page 2 Empty From Weak Hands to Strong Hands Fri Jan 17, 2014 7:21 pm

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@slstock wrote:Today Red as expected was a good thing. Another 30 point (0.5%) drop on Monday should get market out from over bought territory.
Occasional bouts of profit-taking like today's are healthy: it probably indicates that stocks are moving from weak hands to strong hands.

weak hands = Small speculators with limited holding power, whose decisions are probably more influenced by day-to-day price fluctuations.
strong hands = Big investors who have enough patience, have the conviction to hold on to their trades, and are not easily knocked out of their position.

37CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Mon Jan 20, 2014 12:25 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Days like today are dangerous for other shares and RSI. Higher caps like CLC, CTC , LOFC, JKH has made index go up 0.73% with turn over 489 mil so far ( 300 mil crossings) . But there are more negative counters to positive ones and many other shares are in red.

Hopefully this will change soon.

38CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Mon Jan 20, 2014 6:07 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@slstock wrote:Days like today are dangerous for other shares and RSI.  Higher caps like CLC,  CTC , LOFC, JKH has made index go up 0.73% with turn over 489 mil so far ( 300 mil crossings) .  But there are  more negative counters  to positive ones  and many other shares are in red.

Hopefully this will change soon.
Agree,Today wasn't a good day for market.

39CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Mon Jan 20, 2014 7:17 pm

econ

econ
Global Moderator
Yeah this upward trend is just because of JKH, CTC factor. most of other shares went down.

40CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:57 pm

Leon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@econ wrote:Yeah this upward trend is just because of JKH, CTC factor. most of other shares went down.

Was it a quick bull??

41CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Tue Jan 21, 2014 8:00 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I think this is normal upward trend

Not an artificial or manipulated upward trend

Now the man try manipulate national statistics . Not stock market

He will learn a lesson again very soon again.

42CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Tue Jan 21, 2014 8:09 am

jonta999

jonta999
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@econ wrote:Yeah this upward trend is just because of JKH, CTC factor. most of other shares went down.

Hopefully others will follow the trend

43CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Thu Jan 23, 2014 10:43 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Today, within 1 hour  turnover is  Rs 782 mil.  Volume 40+ mil.  Trades 4000+. Can today cross Rs 2 bi ?

Right now market is a bit quiet though with retailers. Let see

44CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Thu Jan 23, 2014 3:01 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Turnover 1.87 billion. Trades 10000+. Volume 130 mil ( mainly due to 63 mil TAP) .

Not bad. Market closed with % marginal up.

If this keeps up, those brokers who want withdraw from market may stay. ( ie but actually there are too many brokers house )

45CSE and future - Page 2 Empty Re: CSE and future Mon Jan 27, 2014 12:00 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Jan 27th:

Market is at 6228.

Today market dropped about 0.45% so far. If we take out the CTC price increase market drop is about 0.75%.

This drop is healthy and needed for the market to reduce heat. World markets also droped today. Nikkei and Hang Sen much as 2%.

But so CSE to keep it head up without panic ( still see people who panic but it is far less than 1 year ago ) it need to stay above 6200.

So let see.

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