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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » How will the market behave from now on?

How will the market behave from now on?

+3
Kithsiri
Slstock
dudi
7 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
much anticipated rate cut happened.further cuts may come, going forward,inflation is going to remain stable. so,will we see a sharp positive change in the market activity as a result now? our senior members,your views pls

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t31200-cse-and-future

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I am no Senior memeber but Euphoria of the rate cuts too will be short-lived (as everything else in this country ). Very Happy 

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
kithsiri what's up man?sometimes you are optimistic about the market and sometimes not.how can we new comers,take it for gratnted the comments you make?be specific and tell how the market going to be next two months?

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dudi wrote:kithsiri what's up man?sometimes you are optimistic about the market and sometimes not.how can we new comers,take it for gratnted the comments you make?be specific and tell how the market going to be next two months?
I don't think so anyone got the crystal ball to predict the future especially in stock market? We can anticipate.

samcader


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
We may have to wait and see whether the EPF, ETF and similiar funds will be active just prior to the CHOGM

bullrun

bullrun
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
One thing is clear. We wait for foreigners and they have already over bought position now. Now we are talking about local institutional purchases and Gov institutional purchases.

Are we not waiting to close the stable door after the horse has bolted?

At any moment foreigners can book profit at least good potion. Don,t look at what happened in the past. Predict what would happen in the future. There is no valve of postmortem.

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
While we shut our eyes on Global factors;

1. U.S. federal government shutdown hurt the U.S. economy badly. It has been estimated by Macroeconomic Advisers, based in St. Louis, the shutdown reduced fourth-quarter economic growth by about 0.3 per cent, or about $12 billion.
It further estimated job creation has been held back, by about 900,000 U.S. jobs.
Fitch credit rating service has announced that it put the U.S. on credit rating, currently at AAA, on a watch negative because of US government failure to raise the debt ceiling in a “timely” manner.
China, holds $1.3 trillion in U.S. Treasury bills, and were very critical of the shutdown. It has hinted that this has the potential to export U.S. political uncertainty to the rest of the world.
The U.S. Travel Association estimates the U.S. lost $152 million per day in travel spending due to shutdown.
Real casualty has been consumer confidence. October survey had showed consumer confidence at a nine-month low.
Federal government workers had to spend two weeks without pay, so they have held back on spending. Obama had said that they’ll get back-pay but contractors are not likely to be reimbursed.

2. The euro has risen to $1.3692 against the dollar, its highest since early February and near the 2013 peak of $1.3711.

3. An instant-message group involving senior traders at banks including Barclays Plc (BARC), Citigroup Inc. (C) and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc is being scrutinized by regulators investigating potential manipulation of the foreign-exchange market, four people with knowledge of the probe said.

4. Morgan Stanley, owner of the world’s largest brokerage, reported earnings that beat analysts’ estimates as equity-trading revenue jumped and profit margins from wealth management climbed.
Third-quarter net income was $906 million, or 45 cents a share, compared with a loss of $1.02 billion, or 55 cents, a year earlier, the New York-based company said today in a statement. Excluding an accounting charge tied to the firm’s own debt, profit was 50 cents a share, topping the 40-cent average estimate of 24 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

5. China’s economic growth accelerated for the first time in three quarters, as Premier Li Keqiang spurred factory output and investment to meet the government’s expansion goal for 2013.

Source - http://www.bloomberg.com/news/

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