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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000

MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000

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1MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Wed Jan 01, 2014 5:50 pm

nrod


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
MTD Walkers is one of the longstanding Construction Companies in Sri Lanka. This had been one of the active counters on the bourse for a long time now. As of the 3rd Quarter of 2013 it has a beta value of 1.83, which confirms that it is an active stock even during the latter stages of the year.

If you look at the chart you'll notice that it had gone up twice, and come down thrice, during the last 12 months, and the latest been an up trend. From 10th of September 2013 the stock has rallied till 21st October 2013, for a period of  27 days, from a low of 22.90, to a high of 32.50, which translates to a profit of 43%. The RSI on the 21st Oct was 77.08.

From the 22nd of Oct '13, the stock had retraced from a high of 32.00 to a low of 26.00, up to 26.11.2013. A drop of 18.75%.

From the 27th of Nov'13, the stock once again had rallied for another 21 days till yesterday the 30th instant. During this period it had given a return of 22.52%. The price range had been a low of 26.20 to a high of 32.10. The RSI had moved to a high of 78.97.

Based on the trend, it can be noticed that the low on the 10th of September had been 22.90, and the low of the 26th of Nov '13, was 26.00 to 26.20. This shows that the low has been higher, which suggests an up trend. However the high during the period of 10th Sept to date has been around 32.00(32.50 on the 21st Oct '13, and 32.10 on the 30th Dec'13). This shows that the present resistance is at the 32.00 area. The pivot point based on the high,low,close during the 27th Nov'13 to 30 Dec'13, is 30.00.

MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Kapi

2MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Wed Jan 01, 2014 5:55 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@nrod wrote:MTD Walkers is one of the longstanding Construction Companies in Sri Lanka. This had been one of the active counters on the bourse for a long time now. As of the 3rd Quarter of 2013 it has a beta value of 1.83, which confirms that it is an active stock even during the latter stages of the year.

If you look at the chart you'll notice that it had gone up twice, and come down thrice, during the last 12 months, and the latest been an up trend. From 10th of September 2013 the stock has rallied till 21st October 2013, for a period of  27 days, from a low of 22.90, to a high of 32.50, which translates to a profit of 43%. The RSI on the 21st Oct was 77.08.

From the 22nd of Oct '13, the stock had retraced from a high of 32.00 to a low of 26.00, up to 26.11.2013. A drop of 18.75%.

From the 27th of Nov'13, the stock once again had rallied for another 21 days till yesterday the 30th instant. During this period it had given a return of 22.52%. The price range had been a low of 26.20 to a high of 32.10. The RSI had moved to a high of 78.97.

Based on the trend, it can be noticed that the low on the 10th of September had been 22.90, and the low of the 26th of Nov '13, was 26.00 to 26.20. This shows that the low has been higher, which suggests an up trend. However the high during the period of 10th Sept to date has been around 32.00(32.50 on the 21st Oct '13, and 32.10 on the 30th Dec'13). This shows that the present resistance is at the 32.00 area. The pivot point based on the high,low,close during the 27th Nov'13 to 30 Dec'13, is 30.00.

MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Kapi

We don't need special attention,This too will be going up. Very Happy 

3MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Wed Jan 01, 2014 8:02 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
http://research.srilankaequity.com/t868-good-stocks-for-2014-01-booming-construction-sector
Good Stocks for 2014 (01) - Booming Construction Sector



Most analysts expected a boom in the construction sector with the end of war. After four years we are gradually seeing results. Companies in the industry have shown impressive results during last four quarters and continue to operate with full order book which will continue into foreseeable future.

We have three companies listed under the sector in CSE. But I have excluded DOCK as it's involving mainly in ship building and repairs with very small market share in civil construction industry but includedTKYO as it's directly related to the construction sector, though it's listed in the manufacturing sector in CSE.

Out of AEL and KAPI (MTD Walkers), KAPI is well diversified in the industry. It’s mainly operating in civil construction industry with considerable exposure for marine engineering and power generation. It’s the only private power producer in Northern Province.

KAPI is currently trading at a considerable discount to AEL when comparing both PE and PBV. AT PE terms KAPI should increase to Rs.40/- to match with AEL and in PBV terms should reach 58/- to catch up AEL. KAPI is relatively illiquid than AEL as owners stake is 92% and another 2% is owned by couple of fund managers who are in for long term effectively leaving only 6% for market players.

But both will give good prospects in near future.

TKYO is currently benefiting from low raw material prices giving it good margins though cement is a price controlled item in Sri Lanka. By 2014 budget proposals government decided to impose a CESS on imported cement which will be a plus factor for TKYO.

Construction Sector :  Valuation Guide - Based on EPS and PBV in the attachment

4MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Wed Jan 01, 2014 11:49 pm

Leon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
KAPI recorded a great turnaround for the last few years. It senses the management qualities of the board as well.

5MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:12 am

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
Welcome to the forum nrod on an auspicious day. Nice thread thanks all.

6MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Thu Jan 02, 2014 8:52 pm

Balanced_Views


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@nrod wrote:MTD Walkers is one of the longstanding Construction Companies in Sri Lanka. This had been one of the active counters on the bourse for a long time now. As of the 3rd Quarter of 2013 it has a beta value of 1.83, which confirms that it is an active stock even during the latter stages of the year.

If you look at the chart you'll notice that it had gone up twice, and come down thrice, during the last 12 months, and the latest been an up trend. From 10th of September 2013 the stock has rallied till 21st October 2013, for a period of  27 days, from a low of 22.90, to a high of 32.50, which translates to a profit of 43%. The RSI on the 21st Oct was 77.08.

From the 22nd of Oct '13, the stock had retraced from a high of 32.00 to a low of 26.00, up to 26.11.2013. A drop of 18.75%.

From the 27th of Nov'13, the stock once again had rallied for another 21 days till yesterday the 30th instant. During this period it had given a return of 22.52%. The price range had been a low of 26.20 to a high of 32.10. The RSI had moved to a high of 78.97.

Based on the trend, it can be noticed that the low on the 10th of September had been 22.90, and the low of the 26th of Nov '13, was 26.00 to 26.20. This shows that the low has been higher, which suggests an up trend. However the high during the period of 10th Sept to date has been around 32.00(32.50 on the 21st Oct '13, and 32.10 on the 30th Dec'13). This shows that the present resistance is at the 32.00 area. The pivot point based on the high,low,close during the 27th Nov'13 to 30 Dec'13, is 30.00.

MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Kapi

Very nice share

7MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:03 pm

Hawk Eye

Hawk Eye
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
The main 02 projects they have completed southern Expressway and Katunayaka Expressway. tremendous improvement in the Q 2 Q performance. Lot more projects in their order book

With these if they can maintain the Net as reported in Jun & Sep 2013 the YoY performance going to improve tremendously.

Inconsistency is the only set back. Therefore the EPS can range from 3.50 to 5.70.

Keep an eye on this share

8MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Sun Jan 05, 2014 10:17 am

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Good share



Last edited by Intelligent Investing on Sun Jan 05, 2014 11:11 pm; edited 1 time in total

9MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:10 pm

Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@Intelligent Investing wrote:Hello everyone, this website is a very useful resource for investors and I thank all the admins for doing a great job.

I believe in conducting thorough research before buying a share and everyone here should follow the same investing strategy. Without just listening to people, investors should learn to conduct their own research.

I personally feel that it is a good time to get into the market for the following reasons:

Fundamentally attractive (one of the lowest market P/E's in the region), global stability, interest rates decreasing, SL economy doing better, Commonwealth summit to improve economy, upcoming Singapore road show, huge foreign inflows, investor friendly SEC.

I would stay away from three sectors: banking, plantation and automobile sector for the time being: such shares are good long term buys but not short term.

There are some shares that may do well but are based on speculation. I prefer buying shares based on fundamentals.

So what is the best share to buy and hold if we are to invest based on fundamentals and future earnings potential?

My opinion is..... KAPI (MTD Walkers)

Recent performance: 97% YOY increase in profit

Fundamentals: KAPI is currently trading at a PE of 5.5x & PBV of 0.7x which are significantly below the sector PE of 8.6x and PBV of 1.4x.

Technicals: shows an upward trend

Future growth potential: KAPI has moved into ship building, power generation (supplying Jaffna) and their order books are full in the construction sector (which is set to boom)
The company will also have to increase its public float which means that it will be more liquid. Turnover of KAPI has anyway been healthy during the last 6 months.

Current Price: 32

Target Price for 3 month period: 40

Target price for 6 year period: 45

Target price for 1 year period: 50

I would also like to quote a post made by hariesha who has made a good observation: "KAPI is currently trading at a considerable discount to AEL when comparing both PE and PBV. AT PE terms KAPI should increase to Rs.40/- to match with AEL and in PBV terms should reach 58/- to catch up AEL"

Construction sector is one of the best sectors to invest into and KAPI is the best in terms of ratios. AEL is also good but KAPI is a lot cheaper.

I also think TJL is a good investment. One of the best shares available. Garment industry is set to do well.

TKYO, SHL are also good investments which will give a return over 1 year. LIOC is also a brilliant share. I can see SHL reaching 16 but it will take 2 years (100% return)

Always have a look at the latest quarterly reports before making any decision.

Keep away from shares like CIFL, PCH - they may burn your fingers - only get into fundamentally strong shares - dont be impatient and dont do margin trading. If you are serious about trading, learn a bit about the market - I would recommend following some courses available at the SEC. Never blindly follow what people say and invest your hard-earned money: not even what I say.

This is not a recommendation: just stating my opinion.


Thanks for your Balanced View on the above share.

10MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Best Share to Buy? MTD Walkers (KAPI) Sun Jan 05, 2014 11:08 pm

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Hello everyone, this website is a very useful resource for investors and I thank all the admins for doing a great job.

I believe in conducting thorough research before buying a share and everyone here should follow the same investing strategy. Without just listening to people, investors should learn to conduct their own research.

I personally feel that it is a good time to get into the market for the following reasons:

Fundamentally attractive (one of the lowest market P/E's in the region), global stability, interest rates decreasing, SL economy doing better, Commonwealth summit to improve economy, upcoming Singapore road show, huge foreign inflows, investor friendly SEC.

I would stay away from three sectors: banking, plantation and automobile sector for the time being: such shares are good long term buys but not short term.

There are some shares that may do well but are based on speculation. I prefer buying shares based on fundamentals.

So what is the best share to buy and hold if we are to invest based on fundamentals and future earnings potential?

My opinion is..... KAPI (MTD Walkers)

Recent performance: 97% YOY increase in profit

Fundamentals: KAPI is currently trading at a PE of 5.5x & PBV of 0.7x which are significantly below the sector PE of 8.6x and PBV of 1.4x.

Technicals: shows an upward trend

Future growth potential: KAPI has moved into ship building, power generation (supplying Jaffna) and their order books are full in the construction sector (which is set to boom)
The company will also have to increase its public float which means that it will be more liquid. Turnover of KAPI has anyway been healthy during the last 6 months.

Current Price: 32

Target Price for 3 month period: 40

Target price for 6 year period: 45

Target price for 1 year period: 50

I would also like to quote a post made by hariesha who has made a good observation: "KAPI is currently trading at a considerable discount to AEL when comparing both PE and PBV. AT PE terms KAPI should increase to Rs.40/- to match with AEL and in PBV terms should reach 58/- to catch up AEL"

Construction sector is one of the best sectors to invest into and KAPI is the best in terms of ratios. AEL is also good but KAPI is a lot cheaper.

I also think TJL is a good investment. One of the best shares available. Garment industry is set to do well.

TKYO, SHL are also good investments which will give a return over 1 year. LIOC is also a brilliant share. I can see SHL reaching 16 but it will take 2 years (100% return)

Always have a look at the latest quarterly reports before making any decision.

Keep away from shares like CIFL, PCH - they may burn your fingers - only get into fundamentally strong shares - dont be impatient and dont do margin trading. If you are serious about trading, learn a bit about the market - I would recommend following some courses available at the SEC. Never blindly follow what people say and invest your hard-earned money: not even what I say.

This is not a recommendation: just stating my opinion.

11MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Sun Jan 05, 2014 11:34 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin
Topics merged.

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

12MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:04 am

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Lets hope market picks up - has potential to go to 7000 this year

13MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Wed Jan 08, 2014 1:41 pm

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
ASPI crossed 6000!

14MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Fri Jan 10, 2014 10:22 am

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@nrod wrote:MTD Walkers is one of the longstanding Construction Companies in Sri Lanka. This had been one of the active counters on the bourse for a long time now. As of the 3rd Quarter of 2013 it has a beta value of 1.83, which confirms that it is an active stock even during the latter stages of the year.

If you look at the chart you'll notice that it had gone up twice, and come down thrice, during the last 12 months, and the latest been an up trend. From 10th of September 2013 the stock has rallied till 21st October 2013, for a period of  27 days, from a low of 22.90, to a high of 32.50, which translates to a profit of 43%. The RSI on the 21st Oct was 77.08.

From the 22nd of Oct '13, the stock had retraced from a high of 32.00 to a low of 26.00, up to 26.11.2013. A drop of 18.75%.

From the 27th of Nov'13, the stock once again had rallied for another 21 days till yesterday the 30th instant. During this period it had given a return of 22.52%. The price range had been a low of 26.20 to a high of 32.10. The RSI had moved to a high of 78.97.

Based on the trend, it can be noticed that the low on the 10th of September had been 22.90, and the low of the 26th of Nov '13, was 26.00 to 26.20. This shows that the low has been higher, which suggests an up trend. However the high during the period of 10th Sept to date has been around 32.00(32.50 on the 21st Oct '13, and 32.10 on the 30th Dec'13). This shows that the present resistance is at the 32.00 area. The pivot point based on the high,low,close during the 27th Nov'13 to 30 Dec'13, is 30.00.


Good time to buy this share before it takes off! Target price 45 for me

15MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 9:04 am

Intelligent Investing


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
This week if it breaks the 32-33 resistance levels, it'll move to 40 - good time to buy

16MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 9:23 am

econ

econ
Global Moderator
Intelligent Investing> how many shared do you hold KAPI and what price? Very Happy 

17MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 10:07 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
I wonder why Intelligent Investing is promoting KAPI in big time???  scratch 

You gave a good view on this so Continuous updates are not necessary unless ur stuck and wanna get out. If ur stuck, tell us.. We can understand..

Be intelligent and professional Wink

18MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 11:19 am

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
@smallville wrote:I wonder why Intelligent Investing is promoting KAPI in big time???  scratch 

You gave a good view on this so Continuous updates are not necessary unless ur stuck and wanna get out. If ur stuck, tell us.. We can understand..

Be intelligent and professional Wink

and balanced !  Razz 

19MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 7:55 pm

KDDND

KDDND
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Intelligent Investing wrote:This week if it breaks the 32-33 resistance levels, it'll move to 40 - good time to buy

may I know what is the percentage of KAPI in your portfolio? and Average price? Shocked 

20MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Empty Re: MTD Walkers - Stock code KAPI.N.0000 Mon Jan 13, 2014 9:00 pm

Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@KDDND wrote:
@Intelligent Investing wrote:This week if it breaks the 32-33 resistance levels, it'll move to 40 - good time to buy

may I know what is the percentage of KAPI in your portfolio? and Average price? Shocked 

Seems to be he/she from one Broker Hut who were collecting said counter for last couple of months. Good or Bad shares never mind, anything could be pumped and dumped.

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