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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Next wave more strong.

Next wave more strong.

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21Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 12:48 pm

kumarweerarathne


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Jana1 wrote:
@kalum wrote:when studying today's selling pattern, i guess FLCH is a potential short term counter to watch around 2.1-2.0 levels. As per the last audit reports, nav 2 and earnings became positive in last quarter. not sure how is the statistics on dec31st, but it will give a reasonable dividend on 2014 1Q if the financials are ok. my sense that FLCH could give more than 12.5% return within 2-3 months. It's not a buy/sell recommendations, what i see combined with past experience. There is a fair space that my prediction may get wrong. Anyway we may need to study financials. Plus keep in mind that FLCH is some what speculative share.

Mate,
R u talking about FLCH? NAV-4.7 and its EPS 0.043; It is impossible to give at least 0.15 dividend. 0.15 dividend was given out of 0.38 annual earning. I am afraid its dividend would fairly in-line with Aug-2012 dividend of 0.05.

Depends on the rain as well , the current climate will persist & have a bad impact on their cultivations and hydro power projects , will come down below 2 for sure

22Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 1:49 pm

kalum


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Yup JANA, NAV actually around 2(unaudited as per sep 2013) , It's group nav is 4.7. yes, i dont expect massive dividend this time, but a reasonable one. 2.5% of invested money for 2-3 months make sense compare to current FD rates 8% per Annum. Anyway idea is not to take advantage with dividend. Shares like FLCH tend to increase by considerable amount time to time. previous time i was able to get advantage of dividend plus capital gain. my expectation is around 12.5% return within 3 months this time.


Yes kumar, it is highly depends. But this is the time it will get declined. That is the correct time to enter when share is a declined and potential to go up. im predicting it will be stable around 2, which means it can be go down a bit but will stabilized some where around 2.

Anyway this is an open discussion and not any influence to buy or sell..

23Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 6:06 pm

slrkman


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
It's going down now. Now it seems that, any wave will not long for a long as it happenned in 2010/11. Few times we have experienced some waves. Last time it didnt go above 6550. This time it turned at 6250. I sold my almost all last Friday. Hope to buy at the bottom. Pls share your thoughts.

24Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 9:11 pm

mark


Expert
Expert
ya next downturn wave would be fueled with UNHR ? ? ?

25Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 9:50 pm

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@kalum wrote:Yup JANA, NAV actually around 2(unaudited as per sep 2013) , It's group nav is 4.7. yes, i dont expect massive dividend this time, but a reasonable one. 2.5% of invested money for 2-3 months make sense compare to current FD rates 8% per Annum. Anyway idea is not to take advantage with dividend. Shares like FLCH tend to increase by considerable amount time to time. previous time i was able to get advantage of dividend plus capital gain. my expectation is around 12.5% return within 3 months this time.


Yes kumar, it is highly depends. But this is the time it will get declined. That is the correct time to enter when share is a declined and potential to go up. im predicting it will be stable around 2, which means it can be go down a bit but will stabilized some where around 2.

Anyway this is an open discussion and not any influence to buy or sell..

Mate,

If u hold with expectation- yes believe what u think. If u suppose to buy, I am afraid u could look better shares than this. Say for example Lgl.x0000 would give more than 20% befr May, if u could grap shares at right time. Plantation counters are so reluctant shares that could go up at the end of bull run. For the valuation purpose better consider group earnings and group assets- I hope u have good knowledge..

26Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 10:32 pm

econ

econ
Global Moderator
@slrkman wrote:It's going down now. Now it seems that, any wave will not long for a long as it happenned in 2010/11. Few times we have experienced some waves. Last time it didnt go above 6550. This time it turned at 6250. I sold my almost all last Friday. Hope to buy at the bottom. Pls share your thoughts.

yes.. it seems that these waves are just fake waves unlike 2010/11 waves.. everyone thought this run would last last long bit but unfortunately ...

27Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Fri Feb 07, 2014 11:23 pm

KDDND

KDDND
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@kalum wrote:when studying today's selling pattern, i guess FLCH is a potential short term counter to watch around 2.1-2.0 levels. As per the last audit reports, nav 2 and earnings became positive in last quarter. not sure how is the statistics on dec31st, but it will give a reasonable dividend on 2014 1Q if the financials are ok. my sense that FLCH could give more than 12.5% return within 2-3 months. It's not a buy/sell recommendations, what i see combined with past experience. There is a fair space that my prediction may get wrong. Anyway we may need to study financials. Plus keep in mind that FLCH is some what speculative share.

i am also with ur view....
i brought few Ks in previous bottom @2.10-2.20 but didn't sell @2.40..thought it may go 2.50-2.6 range but didn't...
so now i got to wait till next run!

28Next wave more strong. - Page 2 Empty Re: Next wave more strong. Sun Feb 09, 2014 5:08 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:ya next downturn wave would be fueled with UNHR ? ? ?

Even UNHR resolution is passed nothing will happen immediately to the Economy

But stock market is highly sensitive place

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