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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Patiently stay in cash until the market crashes.

Patiently stay in cash until the market crashes.

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pathfinder


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@K.Haputantri wrote:Pathfinder- Thanks for your comment but not convinced without facts.
Malnap- Thanks for the link. Its very usefull.

ASI has crossed 200 day MA above downwards,it`s consider as a bearish signal.

As shown in the chart,38.2% correction is 5835,in worse case it may touch 5623 it`s 50% we saw this in last March and Sep  Embarassed 

Patiently stay in cash until the market crashes. - Page 2 Asi10

econ


Global Moderator

Actually These techs are useless in CSE. When we saw 50 day ma crossed in upward trend in january we thought bull has started. but bull only existed for only one month time.. Mad 

I realized this downtrend in early this month unfortunately I could not exit as i mentioned in Feb 10th post.

Post by econ on Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:28 pm
I think foreigners are selling for some reasons.  I wish I could exit the market early last week. but unfortunately I am having massive unrealized losses due to share holding since 2011. I was expected this bull run go at least 6500 and exit with marginal capital losses.. now it seems that that never gonna happened and need to hold my portfolio for long term again..

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
What will happen if NEST or CTC go to hell.

K.Haputantri


Co-Admin
@pathfinder wrote:
@K.Haputantri wrote:Pathfinder- Thanks for your comment but not convinced without facts.
Malnap- Thanks for the link. Its very usefull.

ASI has crossed 200 day MA above downwards,it`s consider as a bearish signal.

As shown in the chart,38.2% correction is 5835,in worse case it may touch 5623 it`s 50% we saw this in last March and Sep  Embarassed 

Patiently stay in cash until the market crashes. - Page 2 Asi10
Thanks Pathfinder. Its convincing enough to support your prediction, but, for a long term guy with sufficient staying power with no credit hanging over and completely different investment strategy, is that a very serious matter for concern? What goes down should come up as well.

sashimaal


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Nest has been at Rs 2100 for some time (while taken up till Rs 2170+ to collect for a large transaction).

It defended the Rs 2100 price till yesterday when almost the entire market crashed last 3-4 weeks.

RSI is at an unusually low level for Nest and all chances are that it will not go below 19XX

And next week they should release their best ever results imo  Arrow 

@dhanurrox wrote:What will happen if NEST or CTC go to hell.

knockknobbler


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="K.Haputantri"]
..........., but, for a long term guy with sufficient staying power with no credit hanging over and completely different investment strategy, is that a very serious matter for concern? hat goes down should come up as well./quote]

Yes, you have a point here.
But, if someone is waiting  , hoping ...What goes down should come up ....that is not an  INVESTMENT STRATEGY . At best it can be termed as "eternal suffering  strategy ". Those who are still holding into early 2011 prices  are in this category.

KDDND

KDDND
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
As per this chart this DROP probably continue for another 150units down....
To some where 5800.....

This was what I too observed and expected....
but waiting for a turn soon...  Basketball 


K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin
@knockknobbler wrote:
@K.Haputantri wrote:
..........., but, for a long term guy with sufficient staying power with no credit hanging over and completely different investment strategy, is that a very serious matter for concern? hat goes down should come up as well./quote]

Yes, you have a point here.
But, if someone is waiting  , hoping ...What goes down should come up ....that is not an  INVESTMENT STRATEGY . At best it can be termed as "eternal suffering  strategy ". Those who are still holding into early 2011 prices  are in this category.
Well, you have a point there, but suffering becomes "eternal" when some one is extreemly greedy, not otherwise. For me its like "Ashta Loka Dharma", its a cycle of ups and downs and if one understands & is patient enough to wiat till right time there will be sun shine.

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