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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Stock Market to be bullish with Central Bank's interest rate policy

Stock Market to be bullish with Central Bank's interest rate policy

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StockGuru

StockGuru
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Currently Sri Lanka is US $ 58 billion economy.

Central Bank unveiling 2013 Annual Report has said that until 2050 Sri Lanka's economy will grow nearly 7 to 8% and thus Sri Lanka will be nearly a US $ 926.15 billion economy by 2050.

However Governor talking to people has said they will be no further interest rate cuts as elders and olders depending on bank interest rates find alternatives to increase their income.In such scenario it is anticipated that bank rates will remain at current level and olders and elders of Sri Lanka will be encourage to invest in Pension Funds run by Insurance companies that invest in Capital Market and Bond market...in turn Brokers and new investors will push up the stock market until october so that more older people will come back to market with their life savings.So it is good to buy buy buy now.Given that counters you buy are attractive.



Last edited by StockGuru on Wed Apr 09, 2014 11:31 am; edited 1 time in total

dougieboy


Moderator
Moderator
Why until october ? What happens after that?

dsam

dsam
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@dougieboy wrote:Why until october ? What happens after that?


Sri Lanka secures lowest rate as $ 500 m Sovereign Bond draws $ 4.2 b bids

gagamini


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@StockGuru wrote:Currently Sri Lanka is US $ 58 billion economy.

Central Bank unveiling 2013 Annual Report has said that until 2050 Sri Lanka's economy will grow nearly 7 to 8% and thus Sri Lanka will be nearly a US $ 926.15 billion economy by 2050.

However Governor talking to people has said they will be no further interest rate cuts as elders and olders depending on bank interest rates find alternatives to increase their income.In such scenario it is anticipated that bank rates will remain at current level and olders and elders of Sri Lanka will be encourage to invest in Pension Funds run by Insurance companies that invest in Capital Market and Bond market...in turn Brokers and new investors will push up the stock market until october so that more older people will come back to market with their life savings.So iti is good to buy buy buy now.Given that counters you buy are attractive.

gagamini


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@StockGuru wrote:Currently Sri Lanka is US $ 58 billion economy.

Central Bank unveiling 2013 Annual Report has said that until 2050 Sri Lanka's economy will grow nearly 7 to 8% and thus Sri Lanka will be nearly a US $ 926.15 billion economy by 2050.

However Governor talking to people has said they will be no further interest rate cuts as elders and olders depending on bank interest rates find alternatives to increase their income.In such scenario it is anticipated that bank rates will remain at current level and olders and elders of Sri Lanka will be encourage to invest in Pension Funds run by Insurance companies that invest in Capital Market and Bond market...in turn Brokers and new investors will push up the stock market until october so that more older people will come back to market with their life savings.So iti is good to buy buy buy now.Given that counters you buy are attractive.

How sensible is this Governor's Statement ?

My feeling is that a country decides its policy rates based on the prevailing economic factors and not on political matters . May be governor is thinking that , eventhough it is apt to reduce the interest rates further to give a boost to the economy , effect of the elders and olders would reduce the vote base of the government .

In developed countries when interest rates come down some other investment opportunities arise . That may be Stock Market , Pension Funds , Unit Trust etc . Instead of holding back something that would benefit the whole country , the governor should formulate better strategy to build business confidence in the country which would open doors to other investment avenues . This cannot be done the governor alone .The whole machinery of the government should gear for such a goal which is not visible in the near future .

Playing politics with economic decisions would pave the way for us to stay in the third world territory forever .

StockGuru

StockGuru
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@dougieboy wrote:Why until october ? What happens after that?

By November everybody will be awaiting for Budget proposals based on them only Market will move from December 2014 to April 2015.As many proposals will be fully in force by April 1st of every year.

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