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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Mr. MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA! Who is he?

Mr. MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA! Who is he?

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mission


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Knowledge how can u compare KHL (keells hotels) With PCH "the retailer". may be PCH will have growth in the future but not the growth which people are dreaming about that's for certain. and PCH wont be the only retailer in the future.

mono


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@knowledge wrote:Touché mono! The "K" theory is an interesting philosophy, but it confirms exactly what I said, you are right on the money (literally). MAL will have its time, there's valid reasons it hasn't performed in line with the rest of the plantation section (strikingly similar to the reasons PCH itself has a bad reputation). Time will tell whether it'll hit 10, 20, 30 or 100, and when. And latest in 3 months we'll know who has sold and who has bought. Good luck!

if you understand why MAL & KHL are trading at their perspective PE values you should know very well why PCH won't be able to sustain a PE of 35 for a extended period of time without help from 'an invisible hand'. especially with a credit crunch looming in march.

Besides KHL earned .14 this quarter. so they clearly begun to justify the premium valuation that people have been giving them. The same can't be said of PCH, even as an outspoken critic of PCH fad i was expecting PCH the earn at least .25 given that this was the December quarter where their earnings should be the strongest.

P.S: I'm not talking about adam smith here

43Mr. MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA! Who is he?  - Page 3 Empty Who is NIZAM? Sat Feb 05, 2011 11:21 pm

007


Stock Trader
Anybody tell me who is this Mohamed Nizam? Please would like to know more details? Basketball farao

bliss


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
knowledge.....
i`m nt concerned whether u bought ur PCH @ 10 o below dat..Nt only u i alzo hd 40k shares bt i exited around 20...may b 2 early....bt for speculative unsafe shares i do lk dat....i alzways exit with a reasonable profit..
i`m nt a so called expert....bt how can u compare a hotel sector share with computer hardware sector share....anyway KHL PE is high coz their EPS hasnt improved due to refurbishment of their hotels...EPS wil improve once they r on da track...datz y da price has bn stagnated around 19-20 for more than a year..


don't think you can compare the Golden Key or Ceylinco disasters with PCH's share price doubling in a few days. After all, it's a profit making publicly traded company and with only a small part of its shares in public float the comparison doesn't hold water. I understand your sentiment though.

Did i ever compared PCH price with these incidents....I told u wat rumors can do in a society..go back n read again carefully n then u`l understand...u r completely out of ur senses...
Finally if u r so keen on PCH y dnt u do it for urself...whn da prices come down fill ur portfolio with 100% PCH n wait for da 10 bagger...
Nothin personal....
Tnx in advance....

45Mr. MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA! Who is he?  - Page 3 Empty PCH Sun Feb 06, 2011 1:48 pm

knowledge


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
mono,

Fully agree that 35 is not sustainable and overvalued at current, I never said anything else. Time will tell where PCH is headed, I for one do not subscribe to the various dooms day scenarios some people try to proclaim (some talk as if they company would declare bankruptcy tomorrow). Another quarter or two and we will know much more, until then I intend to hold. PCH only makes a small part of my portfolio and nothing's on credit, so I can do so without worry.

bliss,

Nothing personal, it's all in good spirit, but why do you get so aggressive? Why would I want to fill my portfolio with 100% of anything? Just because I am an advocate for reason doesn't mean that I am a supporter of manipulation or anything like it. I have clearly stated that the current price levels are overvalued and a result of a hype, didn't I? I'm glad PCH is coming down now to sustainable levels as this will foster rational growth, though nobody knows what those levels will be, whether 15, 20 or 25. Either way I am confident in the company's ability to continuously improve their performance over the next couple of quarters, time will tell if I'm right or not. As for what you say about rumors, even that I fully agreed with in my previous post.

Thank you for your input gentlemen, appreciate the discussion, though I think some of the posts on this subject (in various forums) have been immature low blows, which shouldn't be in the spirit of all this. That's the reason I started posting in the first place. I understand there will be quite a few people who have lost as a result of blindly following other people's statements, however, who can be blamed for that other than the people themselves? I understand their anger and don't second any form of stimulation or manipulation, however, they form a reality all of us are confronted with. What happened to PCH, however and whatever it really was, is a tiny tiny fish compared to what's going on behind closed doors of stock brokers, HNWIs and company executives, trust me on this one, I know what I'm talking about.

Enough of PCH, this will be my last post on the subject. Let time be the witness and judge of what's to come and focus our energy on other stocks. Mono/bliss, who's your money on for the next weeks?

retail


Stock Trader
I read these interesting messages.
It started when somebody said. Marketwatch of investnow is a big shareholder of PCH. That person said Marketwatch real name is Nizam. Isn't that what we should talk about? Whether marketwatch really manipulated or not?

Now we are talk about PCH is good or bad (And other things). We did that at investnow. No need to do that again results are out. Everyone has seen.

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@knowledge wrote:mono,

Fully agree that 35 is not sustainable and overvalued at current, I never said anything else. Time will tell where PCH is headed, I for one do not subscribe to the various dooms day scenarios some people try to proclaim (some talk as if they company would declare bankruptcy tomorrow). Another quarter or two and we will know much more, until then I intend to hold. PCH only makes a small part of my portfolio and nothing's on credit, so I can do so without worry.

i think PCH bleeding down to 20 in the next 3 months isn't a doomsday prediction. a dooms day prediction would be this coming down to 10-15 levels. 20-30% dip in three months in definitely on the cards.

econ

econ
Global Moderator
We can not predict what will happens to PCH. who knows that Rishan and the clan may buy around 35,40 just like REEF directors buying in 90s,100s etc.other wise who the hell buy REEF at 100 ..
this is CSE so any thing can happens.

bliss

bliss
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
knowledge....
Yea absolutely enough wit thiz PCH crap...
my picks wud b CWM if it goes below 110...
try to collect hotel sector shares nw....u`l b a winner..
coz da world cup season iz comin n massive amount of tourists r visitin Sri Lanka...
Alzo i`m done with chicken nw.....made me rich...

Tnx in advance..

50Mr. MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA! Who is he?  - Page 3 Empty Future Mon Feb 07, 2011 9:55 am

knowledge


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Hi bliss,

Same as you the chicken did me well and I moved out about 2 weeks back. Somehow I can't convince myself of the hotel sector, but that's just a personal view, it'll do very well. CWM is a top bet, as is CFLB. Once their results are out, it should continue to go up quite a bit further. Same goes for RICH me thinks.

bliss

bliss
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
RICH ....sad i missed da boat...nw itz too late 2 enter...

knowledge


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
@bliss wrote:RICH ....sad i missed da boat...nw itz too late 2 enter...

I don't think so bliss, considerably buying going on today at Rs15 levels. Their results are due soon and should be excellent. This might hit 18-19 very quickly depending on the results (just a guess). Generally it's not a quick-money share though.

$$$


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I quite appreciate Knowlege's take on things it is fair assesment I think not that I agree with every thing but he has made some sense unlike some Juvenille posts in this and other forums. Good on you mate. My Personal opinion is known about PCH so I will desist from commenting.

Year Rich is still worth at 15 agreed Not for day Punts but for the longer haul.

bliss

bliss
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Yes unlike others knowledge`s assesement on PCH is fair enough....if u r confident abt a stock itz ur personality...coz i think most of us wanted was 2 avoid newcomers from gettin burnt their fingers...coz people follow da crowd without a knowledge...
Regarding RICH nw for me itz bit ltl late 2 get a gud gain in short term...long term itz k...
bt nwadays thrz enough fish 2 catch....

Tnx in advance.... Wink

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
Ha, early 2011.....

Arena


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
This time we all giving support to sell his plantation lots. He is silent since he knows we are here to do it..............ha ha

OnlyGuru


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
@Arena wrote:This time we all giving support to sell his plantation lots. He is silent since he knows we are here to do it..............ha ha

Did you notice his name is missing in BFL December 2012 interim report, he is in top 20 shareholders of Maskeliya Plantation. MASK is good pick if you take a look at December 2012 interim report though they had similar negative report in previous quarters. He normally will be silent till he has finished collecting, and then market it in forum like this, specially in investors.lk

sahan8896


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@OnlyGuru wrote:
@Arena wrote:This time we all giving support to sell his plantation lots. He is silent since he knows we are here to do it..............ha ha

Did you notice his name is missing in BFL December 2012 interim report, he is in top 20 shareholders of Maskeliya Plantation. MASK is good pick if you take a look at December 2012 interim report though they had similar negative report in previous quarters. He normally will be silent till he has finished collecting, and then market it in forum like this, specially in investors.lk
So the buying signal is the promotion done by him.No analysis needed. Very Happy

OnlyGuru


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
@knowledge wrote:I usually don't participate in this forum and rather just follow the amusing and/or helpful threads going on, they make good entertainment. However, for all those out there loving or hating PCH, let's consider a few fundamental realities:

01) PCH appears overvalued when applying standard evaluation techniques
02) Their Q4 2010 results are not as impressive as everyone expected
03) There have been numerous rumors, allegations, etc. on various forums over the past 2 months
04) The share price movement of PCH on certain days appears like manipulation
05) Many of us can report of first-hand negative experience as customers of PCH
06) PCH primarily is a retailer, not a software developer as some claim

So far so good in favor of the nay-sayers, but

07) The whole PCH saga only started during Dec2010, when the business of Q4 was already conducted
08) Any movement of any share price always has an element of crowd behavior to it
09) Some "blue chip" shares trade at much higher PE ratios (e.g,. KHL: 100+)
10) Especially in the IT sector, share prices reflect future outlook rather than past performance
11) Dr. Senthilverl and others would most certainly not increase their stakes (massively) without a plan
12) Other ("blue chip") companies have identical share price growth patterns over the past months
13) PCH will engage in a few interesting acquisitions and expansions during 2011
14) Just like there's people promoting PCH to get the share price up, there's plenty of people talking negatively in order to bring prices down and to then collect

I am not advocating nor advising against PCH, this is purely my opinion and I think it's all gotten out of hand the last few weeks. Whoever Marketwatch/Marketbull is, one thing he has always done: advised people to do their own research, so nobody can blame him. Everyone legally entitled to trade is legally bound by accepting the outcome of their own decisions.

As for those forecasting a dooms day scenario for Monday, well, personally I believe that PCH will go down to about 25 next week and then hover there for a while before the next run (35 maybe). Some big players have identified PCH as a target and it's mostly the small traders that are selling off at the moment, collecting profits and engaging in the usual panic sell-offs. Good luck to everyone, PCH or not, just keep these forums clean please. We all want to make some money, nobody likes to lose, and in the end we are all here to learn something.

Nice one bro.. Smile

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Nice one? at a time when PCH below 6... LOL!

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
just because some one exit from some shares ...we should not follow them blindly.

With regard to BFL i am @160 with current MP is at 125/- My exit will be below 110/100 Very Happy

So lets see how the market reacts ....

The Alchemist


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:just because some one exit from some shares ...we should not follow them blindly.

With regard to BFL i am @160 with current MP is at 125/- My exit will be below 110/100 Very Happy

So lets see how the market reacts ....

Dear TAH,

I am a big fan of your's. I follow your posts with much interest, and i admire your skill and knowledge in Technical Analysis. The above post puzzles me. As you may be aware, the entire poultry industry is in a downturn. The fundamentals of this sector is down. The reasons for this has been highlighted in many posts from October 2012 onwards. Now, following technicals in a Industry in which the fundamentals are declining - some people may call that following blindly.

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:just because some one exit from some shares ...we should not follow them blindly.

With regard to BFL i am @160 with current MP is at 125/- My exit will be below 110/100 Very Happy

So lets see how the market reacts ....

But if you wanna exit below 100, u must realise that u made a big mistake buying BFL @ 160 then.. Which should've never been bought at all (IF U BOUGHT @ 160)

Most traders wait for no confirmation, even myself sometimes jump the gun and buy then being kicking my self for stupidity Wink

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
To be quiet honest and i have mentioned this in my previous posts regarding my entry for BFL was a VERY BIG mistake.

I have no choice now but rather minimise the effect by averaging it down as an option or exit after observing PA.

TAH

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
TAH not only you , even i did the mistake of not selling BFL completely at 190 when I had significant profit. This extremely poor DEc results forBFL was shocking. I too never expected this low .


If this red continues, all the poor earning companies can go under sword. If tafl and gran deliver very poor results it can drag BFL further . There appears to be some support for BFL at Rs 120 now. Today might be crucial see where the market mentality is heading. Will there be across the board selling in large volume is what we will be looking at . Yesterday could h ave been a reaction to bad december results coupled with bad news/publicity.

Am still having slight hope about a bounce back at 5750 but it could get easily broken if sentiments/news is bad and head even to 5500.

But overall ,except for these bad news I seriously do not see a major reason for already discount shares to fall drastically further. If one is holding very weak companies, we might have to be very careful in this environment.


If market fall further I will rearrange my portfolio and grab some fantastic bargains. ( also adding to my long term shares)


@traderathome wrote:To be quiet honest and i have mentioned this in my previous posts regarding my entry for BFL was a VERY BIG mistake.

I have no choice now but rather minimise the effect by averaging it down as an option or exit after observing PA.

TAH

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