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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Why they cant predict the current market???

Why they cant predict the current market???

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

swan03


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Brokers say that they cant predict the current market. Why is that?

tkc

tkc
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@swan03 wrote:Brokers say that they cant predict the current market. Why is that?
I think anyone can't predict it.....

Pichchiya


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Thats true,If tkc can predict, he did not buy so much of GRAN in higher price Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@swan03 wrote:Brokers say that they cant predict the current market. Why is that?

Because brokers are not fortune tellers. Very simple.
They want more and more comm%'s thats all.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

tkc

tkc
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Pichchiya wrote:Thats true,If tkc can predict, he did not buy so much of GRAN in higher price Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
lol! lol! lol!
I have recovered from that loss anyway..... Smile

tkc

tkc
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Pichchiya wrote:Thats true,If tkc can predict, he did not buy so much of GRAN in higher price Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
And If I can predict it 100% correctly i will start the best brokering firm..... Wink

ipoguru


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@tkc wrote:
@Pichchiya wrote:Thats true,If tkc can predict, he did not buy so much of GRAN in higher price :D :D :D
And If I can predict it 100% correctly i will start the best brokering firm..... ;)

No Just buy and sell... You will be a billioner in no time... :lol!: :lol!:

tkc

tkc
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@ipoguru wrote:
@tkc wrote:
@Pichchiya wrote:Thats true,If tkc can predict, he did not buy so much of GRAN in higher price Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
And If I can predict it 100% correctly i will start the best brokering firm..... Wink

No Just buy and sell... You will be a billioner in no time... lol! lol!
lol! lol!

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Present market situation is pathetic.. ASI gets manipulation early morning with SLTL like shares and come down in the eve.. So now adays nobody can predict atlest 30-40% Smile

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Speaking about market predicting, I have been studying about Neural Networks for some. There are lot researchers in this area but it is little difficult to find credible information about successful designs. Studies have been done in various markets including Japan, Singapore and USA. Could not find a thing about CSE. Question
PS.
Thinking about starting a new post about this topic. study
Before that your thoughtful comments are highly appreciated Idea

traderJack

traderJack
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
The way things are going, even Chaos Theory wont be able to describe this market Very Happy Very Happy

ha_na


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderJack wrote:The way things are going, even Chaos Theory wont be able to describe this market Very Happy Very Happy

I wonder why are you guys so worried about the predictions. Can you predict this unpredictable psychopath?
Market prediction is none of my business. I'll trade my charts and indicators.

why not Chaos Theory wont be able to describe this market? By applying technical analysis we are doing what is called identifying the so-called FRACTALS. Which are the islands of order existing in a chaotic environment. These orders can be traded for profit.

If anyone interested in Chaotic theory can read "Chaos Theory" by James Glick but it is not a stock oriented book

ipoguru


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Dileepa wrote:Speaking about market predicting, I have been studying about Neural Networks for some. There are lot researchers in this area but it is little difficult to find credible information about successful designs. Studies have been done in various markets including Japan, Singapore and USA. Could not find a thing about CSE. :?:
PS.
Thinking about starting a new post about this topic. :study:
Before that your thoughtful comments are highly appreciated :idea:

CSE is not big enough to be rational....... If you model it I doubt it will give accurate results.. There are lot of manipulators... SEC's indices are also can be manipulated quite easily like ASI.. If you have few billions you could manipulate the market to your advantage with the help of broker firms. Few billion guys sit together its very very easy... So they are sucking retailers money little by little...

wiki


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Why can't brokers predict the current market ?

we should accept that no one can predict market 100%

1. brokers do not bother to analyse things like fundamental and technical analysis, effect of SEC rules , political situations etc and most of them lack common sense

2. Problems with CSE ; indices no longer provide any clue to market direction, they were manipulated heavily.
both manipulators and Regulators does not allow market to move freely.

AND

here in Colombo nothing is rational.. Color light says you to go but police officer wants you to stop.(either the light need to off or synchronize police officer with the light )

So obviously no one can predict...

lol! lol! lol! lol!

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ipoguru wrote:
CSE is not big enough to be rational....... If you model it I doubt it will give accurate results.. There are lot of manipulators... SEC's indices are also can be manipulated quite easily like ASI.. If you have few billions you could manipulate the market to your advantage with the help of broker firms. Few billion guys sit together its very very easy... So they are sucking retailers money little by little...

I think manipulation is common to every market in the world.
A properly trained neural network will be capable of detecting those manipulation triggers.
I`m not sure about anything, but going to give it a shot. Exclamation
Will post the basic design here in the near future.

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
can anyone else predict Question

my view-mkt may have a bounce back in this week,but there is some chance mkt to be stagnant until many dump retailers flew away Rolling Eyes

some reasons for downfall..

*manipulation(loss of investor confidence)
*overvalue counters
*too much greedy retailers
*exit of HNWI
*SEC decisions
*handful of HNWI control the market
*exit of foreigners
*huge IPOS with less quality
*panic


i think biggest reason is LOSS OF INVESTOR CONFIDENCE and OVERVALUE MANIPULATED SHIT COUNTERS.

SL.Market

SL.Market
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:can anyone else predict Question

my view-mkt may have a bounce back in this week,but there is some chance mkt to be stagnant until many dump retailers flew away Rolling Eyes

some reasons for downfall..

*manipulation(loss of investor confidence)
*overvalue counters
*too much greedy retailers
*exit of HNWI
*SEC decisions
*handful of HNWI control the market
*exit of foreigners
*huge IPOS with less quality
*panic


i think biggest reason is LOSS OF INVESTOR CONFIDENCE and OVERVALUE MANIPULATED SHIT COUNTERS.

In this time HNWI is the factor...
If he back we will see the how this getting up...
Actually We need such a personality here...

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@SL.Market wrote:
@mark wrote:can anyone else predict Question

my view-mkt may have a bounce back in this week,but there is some chance mkt to be stagnant until many dump retailers flew away Rolling Eyes

some reasons for downfall..

*manipulation(loss of investor confidence)
*overvalue counters
*too much greedy retailers
*exit of HNWI
*SEC decisions
*handful of HNWI control the market
*exit of foreigners
*huge IPOS with less quality
*panic


i think biggest reason is LOSS OF INVESTOR CONFIDENCE and OVERVALUE MANIPULATED SHIT COUNTERS.

In this time HNWI is the factor...
If he back we will see the how this getting up...
Actually We need such a personality here...


ya may be the reason that SEC intervene on HNWI manipulation.. Mad i remember he said.....

"we quit from mkt if SEC trying to catch us"

seems manipulation has become a must in CSE for the well being even in short term Evil or Very Mad

SL.Market

SL.Market
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:
@SL.Market wrote:
@mark wrote:can anyone else predict Question

my view-mkt may have a bounce back in this week,but there is some chance mkt to be stagnant until many dump retailers flew away Rolling Eyes

some reasons for downfall..

*manipulation(loss of investor confidence)
*overvalue counters
*too much greedy retailers
*exit of HNWI
*SEC decisions
*handful of HNWI control the market
*exit of foreigners
*huge IPOS with less quality
*panic


i think biggest reason is LOSS OF INVESTOR CONFIDENCE and OVERVALUE MANIPULATED SHIT COUNTERS.

In this time HNWI is the factor...
If he back we will see the how this getting up...
Actually We need such a personality here...


ya may be the reason that SEC intervene on HNWI manipulation.. Mad i remember he said.....

"we quit from mkt if SEC trying to catch us"

seems manipulation has become a must in CSE for the well being even in short term Evil or Very Mad


Of course ...
If they exist here the intelligent player can earn while kids will lose...
If they are not here.... all are losing short term but in long term good for cse never be able earn 40%-50% within a day...

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