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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CHRONICLE™ ANALYTICS » CSF-will it rise further?

CSF-will it rise further?

+10
Gaja
ISURU
uditha9
JennyFunny
swan03
tkc
imranyaseen
kadik
gann
mark
14 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1CSF-will it rise further? Empty CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 1:58 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

*RSI-82.259(over 70)
*both %k and %D lines are over 80..............in highly overbought region......

*last traded volume-14Mn
*highest traded volume in all time -the last traded highest volume was on 03/08/2010-13Mn shares up by 3.40Rs(20%)

*volumes are increasing,without any supporting information

*-Refer this
http://timelesswealth.net/articles/deadly_art_of_stock_manipulation.html

*RULE NUMBER FOUR:
ANY STOCK THAT TRADES HUGE VOLUME AT HIGHER PRICES SIGNALS THE DISTRIBUTION PHASE.

"When there was less volume, the price was lower. Professionals were accumulating. After the price runs, the volume increases. The professionals bought low and sold high. The amateurs bought high (and will soon enough sell low). In older books about market manipulation and stock promotion, which I've recently studied, the mark-up price referred to THREE times higher than the floor. The floor is the launch pad for the stock. For example, if one looks at the stock price and finds a steady flat line on the stock's chart of around 10p , then that range is the FLOOR. Basically, the mark-up phase can go as high as the market manipulator is capable of taking it. From my observations, a good mark-up should be able to run about five to ten times higher than the floor, with six to seven being common. The market manipulator will do everything in his power to keep you OUT OF THE STOCK until the share price has been marked up by at least two-three times, sometimes resorting to "shaking you out" until after he has accumulated enough shares. Once the mark-up has begun, the stock chart will show you one or more spikes in the volume -- all at much higher prices (marked up by the manipulator, of course)."

this is just my opinion,experts comments are welcome.... Cool



Last edited by mark on Fri May 13, 2011 2:03 am; edited 1 time in total

2CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 1:59 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

further........

in financial terms
2010/12/31 results(nine months)

*EPS-group-(-5.84 ) company-(-4.54)
*NAV-group- (10.85) company-(-8.66)
*Public Holding - 80.44%

-issued quantity of shares-198Mn(total)
*PRIVATE PLACEMENT-100Mn(issued @5)
*BEFORE RIGHTS-39Mn
*FROM RIGHTS-59Mn

*Rights Issue
02 February 2011
Company ID:- CSF
Date of Initial Announcement :- 16.12.2010
Proportion:- Three (03) new ordinary shares for every two (02) shares held
Issue Price:- Rs.5/-
The number of shares to be issued :- 59,958,150 ordinary shares
EGM/ Provisional Allotment: 09.Mar.201I
*Please note that 59,958,150 Ordinary Shares of the Company were listed on 20th April 2011, pursuant to a 3:2 Rights Issue.

3CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 2:00 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

*dealing by directors.........
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/uploadAnnounceFiles/8201303876501_368.pdf

they all bought at 5Rs from right issue........(27 April 2011)

*mandatory offer(31 March 2011)
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/uploadAnnounceFiles/181301568969_368.pdf

*Sri Lanka: Lankem Ceylon to acquire Nation Lanka Finance(2010/11/25)
-''Lankem Ceylon PLC has agreed to buy 110 million shares of Nation Lanka at a Rs.5 per share as a private placement by sending a letter to NLF Chairman N.B.S.B. Balalle.''

http://www.asiantribune.com/news/2010/11/25/sri-lanka-lankem-ceylon-acquire-nation-lanka-finance


note-they all interested for this share at 5Rs only............

4CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 7:40 am

gann

gann
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

you will get the supporting info after the bull has run

5CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 2:23 pm

kadik


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

What is really happening on CSF????
Still no news on this bull run....

6CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 2:41 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

so sorry guys.....................
this analysis didn't work,
soryy this is CSE...........i forgot that...... Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad

ignore this post......... Cool

7CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 3:39 pm

kadik


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Mark......
As you mentioned this is CSE. but
don't disappoint yourself....As i notice that you guys (experts) are doing great great job to educate new comers to the forum and CSE as well.
salute for you my friend....

8CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 4:01 pm

imranyaseen


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

thanks for the analysis mark, for sure this share is being manipulated, but hw long do you think this bullrun is going to last ??

9CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 5:32 pm

tkc

tkc
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:so sorry guys.....................
this analysis didn't work,
soryy this is CSE...........i forgot that...... Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad

ignore this post......... Cool
Don't worry my friend!!
Nothing wrong with your post!!
I also totally agreed with your report...... Smile

10CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Fri May 13, 2011 8:33 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

thanks very much for replies guys.........
rep for all............. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

11CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Sun May 29, 2011 6:38 pm

swan03


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:so sorry guys.....................
this analysis didn't work,
soryy this is CSE...........i forgot that...... Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad

ignore this post......... Cool

Dont worry malli. You are doing a great job.

12CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Mon May 30, 2011 9:27 am

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

@mark great work with analysis.I have done the same research as well. you must understand that stock markets are about knowing the fundamentals & technical analysis.however there are other factors to be considered when making a analysis on a stock.for instance the market sentiment and particular information regarding this stock.

there is a very good reason that CSF is running and will continue to run for the next 2-4weeks.which is due to the information I am refering to and not due a any manipulation.

*this is not a buy recommendation,please do your own research & analysis.

13CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 2:10 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

ha ha ha...one sold...............

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1531306829627_.pdf Twisted Evil

14CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 2:14 pm

uditha9


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

imranyaseen wrote:thanks for the analysis mark, for sure this share is being manipulated, but hw long do you think this bullrun is going to last ??
even god doesnt know

15CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 2:15 pm

ISURU

ISURU
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:ha ha ha...one sold...............

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1531306829627_.pdf Twisted Evil
What will be the impact?

16CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 2:34 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

will more announcements to follow?

17CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 6:10 pm

Leo_pold

Leo_pold
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:ha ha ha...one sold...............

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1531306829627_.pdf Twisted Evil

Can someone explain this announcement and what will be the possible outcomes and the impact of it on the share price?

18CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 7:19 pm

roshan1039


Moderator
Moderator

when this was trading arround 24 i heard it will reach 40 soon.now it is trading arround 32 hope it will reach 40

19CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Tue May 31, 2011 9:45 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

here is the FS.............

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/368_1306847056639.pdf

Ordinary Shares issued by the company by way of a 3:2 Rights issue was alloted on 08/04/2011.(so ddnt diluted(weighted average) as per right issue)

current qtr profit=1340,000
issued shares=198Mn

correct EPS=(1340,000/198Mn)=0.00676Rs

ha ha ha......got the real image??...........(i ddn't calculate diluted EPS as per right issue,but roughly valued as per accounts represented)

20CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Wed Jun 01, 2011 4:08 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:here is the FS.............

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/368_1306847056639.pdf

Ordinary Shares issued by the company by way of a 3:2 Rights issue was alloted on 08/04/2011.(so ddnt diluted(weighted average) as per right issue)

current qtr profit=1340,000
issued shares=198Mn

correct EPS=(1340,000/198Mn)=0.00676Rs

ha ha ha......got the real image??...........(i ddn't calculate diluted EPS as per right issue,but roughly valued as per accounts represented)

Don;t forget the minority interest which will make equity holder value negative

21CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Wed Jun 01, 2011 4:18 am

chamith

chamith
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Only 13 lacks profit. But stocks shoot up like no one's business.

22CSF-will it rise further? Empty Re: CSF-will it rise further? Wed Jun 01, 2011 1:36 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

so far 8.2 million done, with another one hour to go for the day, waiting to see as to whether more dealing by directors are on the way

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