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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CHRONICLE™ ANALYTICS » Technical Journal Book of NC

Technical Journal Book of NC

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161Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Tue Nov 04, 2014 10:38 am

NC


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thanx VP...
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162Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty UBC & PABC Tue Nov 04, 2014 11:01 am

hlsindrajith


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@SHARK aka TAH wrote:LIOC to extend over 50+

OSEA,TJL,PLC JINS and VONE will go to next level

VPEL to the next level Very Happy

CTBL ASIY to next level

Their are other shares too will slowly move, but i am following these only.

In Finance Sector
SFIN UBC

UBC thogh over valued seem to hold on future expectations.

UBC & PABC have almost same speculation level but the lowest share prices of a Bank now. The management involved in both companies are capable of value creation. The leverage created is also favourable for rise of price. I believe in the middle term these two are one of the best because CB consolidation process definitely made the Banks less competitive and therefore the Banks are able to make profits sustainably. Apart from those who now hold shares are also influential. The return in these circumstances may probably over 25%. This is my opinion. Can any one critically analyze Please

163Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Fri Nov 07, 2014 4:41 pm

NC


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

164Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Sun Nov 09, 2014 3:23 pm

fff4sl


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks for the CSD.N Analysis Mr.NC...

165Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 10, 2014 6:50 am

NC


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@fff4sl wrote:Thanks for the CSD.N Analysis Mr.NC...

Though the interim report is good and break 15, still the run hasn't started. Therefore, it may have tendency to dip again closer to 14. (Apx.) Bcz 15 has become the 50% retracement and big buyer(s) waiting around 14.
So, lets see. Keep your STP @ just below 14/-. Bcz, Market doesn't always react as we expect..
Very Happy

166Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 10, 2014 1:43 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
CFVF.N vs ESL.N:
The co-relation


[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Very Happy

167Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 13, 2014 3:27 pm

dow

dow
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
ACL Very Happy Basketball

168Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:30 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dow wrote:ACL Very Happy Basketball
Here you go.. Very Happy
ACL.N:

Longterm view on ACL.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Now its passing a crucial Tech. area, until it clearly break 80/-.  
If so, Mid term targets range is 95 - 110.
Keep your STP or lock your profits @ 70.

5 yrs history Res/Sup area:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Very Happy

169Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Fri Nov 14, 2014 5:45 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

170Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Fri Nov 14, 2014 8:13 pm

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
@NC wrote:
@dow wrote:ACL Very Happy Basketball
Here you go.. Very Happy
ACL.N:

Longterm view on ACL.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Now its passing a crucial Tech. area, until it clearly break 80/-.  
If so, Mid term targets range is 95 - 110.
Keep your STP or lock your profits @ 70.

5 yrs history Res/Sup area:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Very Happy
Thank you

171Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Fri Nov 14, 2014 10:50 pm

fff4sl

fff4sl
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

172Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Fri Nov 14, 2014 10:51 pm

fff4sl

fff4sl
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

173Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Sun Nov 16, 2014 5:33 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@fff4sl wrote:Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

Here's my Tech view on CTLD.N and I'hv no idea about their dividends announcements...
CTLD.N:

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Channel with eliliot wave; All time history.
Looks its running its 5th leg, which the two targets completed @ 35 and 44 @ 1.61 Fib.ext. The next is to complete is @ 57 the 2.61 fib.ext. With comparing with elliotwave channel, the targets can be taken 50-56. However, its completes the Lin. channel with the hit of 50 as at today hence could be act as a Res which can be taken as a target by sellers. With time period analysis target can be taken as mid term.
Keep your STP or lock your profits just below @ 38.
Very Happy
-

174Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:22 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Shark vs Octopus: Very Happy



Very Happy

175Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:27 pm

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou

176Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:37 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Gainer wrote:please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou
Still there's no a clear pattern except the double bottom @ 4.2 and the negative divergence of MACD. Hence short term targets can be taken as 6 or 7. And 6 will be a Res.
Very Happy

177Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Mon Nov 17, 2014 7:24 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

178Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:08 am

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I hope to do some review after 3 months starting of my Journal Book as its one my objective stated at the beginning.


Sym: LIOC.N
Date: 20/08/2014
Price: 40/-
Target: 65/-
Gain:  37.5%
Period : less than 3 months (ST)
URL: http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36006-lioc-harmonics

@NC wrote:Nice pattern is forming on LIOC chart.
C point around 39 -38.5
D - 44
Will see the validity of this pattern within next few weeks.>>> Basketball

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Sym: GLAS.N
Date: 16/09/2014
Price: 4.00
Target: 6 (Pending)
Gain: 24% (@ CMP)
Period: 2 months

@NC wrote:Glas Analysis: Review
@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:GLAS.N ; Analysis
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36330-glasn
GLAS.N ; Analysis Cont'd
count on EW
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
I think "c" leg possibly end 4 or 4.2 or 4.4
Closer look of Glas.n
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
sometimes, it could be a-b-c-d-e correction based on ascending traingle, untill price level 4 is not break.
The a-b-c-d-e correction was null as the break of price level 4 on today...
Pattern completed sucessfully, with the break of 4.4.
And 5-3-5 zigzag correction (a-b-c) is null. Its sure this is a impulse.
Very Happy Very Happy cheers cheers

@NC wrote:Glas Analysis; (28/10/2014)

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Successful completion of HPP pattern and seems end of its 3rd leg. After the pattern completion we sold, now its time to look again for its 5th leg on EW.
It did 38.2% Fib retracement. ( The classical Ret: of 4th leg.)
Targets for the 5th leg is given.
T1: 4.9 - 5 ; Double top (should be with careful at this level)
T2: 5.3 -5.4
T3: 6
Generally we can look for return above 20%. With a minimum risk (5%) of STP @ 4.4/-(Weekly S1.)
Bcz Weekly PP @ 4.5. And Yesterday has closed above the Weekly pivot is a good bullish sign.
Further, in fundamentally, the reduction of electricity prices for industries and fuel prices could hope some more profits on Glas in future..
Very Happy

Sym: DPL.N
Date: 18/09/2014
Price: 14/-
Target: 18/- (20 pending)
Gain: 28.5%
Period: 2 months

@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:Analysis: DPL.N
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

In longterm view, bear trend is reversed with the break of LH (24), since after that there's no any new LL. So, all the other movements are just noises.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Closer look of Dpl.n:
There's a HPP. so, the target is 20.
According to Schiff pitchfork, it shows a nice channel. The 50% line (ML) has achived @15. Currrently, there's a resistant. (the 50% line). Hence, it can have a pull back. 100% line (UPL)  @ 18.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Intraday view of Dpl.n:
As said by above chart, ML is a resistant, as you can see the double top @ 14.7. On the other hand, there's an ascending traingal. So, anything could be possible, in next couple of days. on  short term elliotwave counting I think it will do a correction, around 13.5.

Res: 15, 18, 20
Sup: 14, 13.5 , 12. (Be aware if it break 12, a good support)

Analysis; DPL (cont'd)

Recently, 14.5 resistant was break so, intraday ascending triangle, break upward.
So, I did a EW count on DPL, for short term outlook.
seems it s running 5th leg, as you can see in the diagram it could either end at 15 or 16 or 18. Very Happy

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Sym: BERU.N
Date: 17/09/2014
Price: 2.5/-
STP: 2.2/-
Gain: ( 12%)

Review: Beru is weak with fundamentals. Safe to trade with fundamentally sounded stocks.

@NC wrote:Analysis: Beru.N
Note: Beru is not a fundamentally strong share and its illiquid.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
There's a nice harmonic pattern in long term toward Rs.3 and Rs.4. And pitchfork shows the same direction.
The current resistant 2.5 (last LH) is crucial to break out the box with a high volume to confirm the trend reversal. If, so it will 3 and retest 2.5.
However, retracement could be possible around 2 on this stage. before break 2.5.
Supports: 2.2, 1.9 and 1.7 (schiff Fork). If it break 1.6 (LL) game is over.
Illquidty is another issue in these type of analysis.
We will see with the time....>>> Very Happy  Very Happy
Note: Beru is not a fundamentally strong share and its illiquid. This's anlysis for education purpose only.

Sym: KAPI.N
Date: 28/10/2014
Price: 55/-
Gain: 45.5% (@ CMP)
Period: Less than 1 month.


@NC wrote:Kapi:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Small HPP can see in daily Kapi chart. Its 1st target is almost completed. Though its small, its potential to make a new HH to 60. Even with its right issue the counter has become attractive, and having a good buying pressure.
Fundamentally, strong and undervalued share. Thus with the 2015 budget construction companies are favored and large scale of constructions're proposed.
Very Happy

Sym: JINS.N
Date: 31/10/2014
Price: 22/-
Gain: 13.6% (CMP)


@NC wrote:JINS.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

VFIN.N:

@NC wrote:Analysis: Vfin.N

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Low risk entry point @ 46, with the Sym. triangle with STP (stoploss) @ 46.
Targets 50, 55, 60
Very Happy

EXIT with Break even. (Broker fee)

Pendings:
Namu.N
Date: 28/10/2014
Price:88/-
P/L: Floating.

@NC wrote:Namu Analysis:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Namu is a fundamentally strong and undervalued company. Accroding to 2 years of history reading, seems its moving in a channel, as showed in the chart. A small double bottom could be identified and could ba taken as a good support and a STP.
Further, Namu is popular for its diversified crops. Mainly on Oil Palms. Continuous highest earnings even other palntation recroded lower earnings.
Thus, its attractive to investors on its higher dividends. The, con is its somewhat illquid.

CSD.N:
Date: 03/11/2014
Price: 15/-
P/L: Folating.

@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:
@fff4sl wrote:Mr.NC
Why u said to kit with CSD? Any div or sin stat out???
I don't know about it and I didn't meant it.
I wanna say, Good entry points coming soon... Very Happy
I was waited for today... Very Happy

CSD.N: Analysis

Here's the 5 years history view.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Csd is moving in a long term channel. With the Hpp its completed it 16/- the first target and hit the ML. Then it retest some support. The 14/- was a good support as it's the 50% horizontal line there. And it is retested nicely.
Targets are;
S/T (short term) - 16 (Double top and 50% ML)
M/T - 21/- (75% line and 2.61 fib.ext),
L/T- 24-25/-. (100% UML)

Here's the one year view of CSD;
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

If you clearly observed there's a small hpp. With todays break of 15/- its mostly confirmed and its good bullish sign. It could make double top at HH - 16.2/- the critical Res.
If it clearly break it'll easily move towards 21/-.

-GL
Very Happy


Summary: Gain

LIOC.N: 37.5%
GLAS.N: 24%
DPL.N: 28.5%
BERU.N: (12%)
KAPI.N: 45.5%
JINS.N: 13.6%

Total: 137%
Period: Less than 3 Months


Very Happy
CHRZ
cheers

It's fine to celebrate success but it is more important to heed the lessons of failure.
- Bill Gates

"Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose."
- Bill Gates

179Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:40 am

Eng Krishantha

Eng Krishantha
Expert
Expert
well done..

180Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty CFIN Thu Nov 20, 2014 9:25 am

visvajith


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Mr.NC
give me a review about CFIN

181Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 6:42 pm

zoozzoo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
total 137% gain within 3 months cheers cheers cheers Basketball

182Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:18 pm

zoozzoo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
NC... how did you calculate gain of each counter? Shocked Rolling Eyes Question

183Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:32 pm

fff4sl

fff4sl
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Impressive...

184Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:43 pm

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@zoozzoo wrote:NC... how did you calculate gain of each counter? Shocked Rolling Eyes Question
zoozoo don't get mess, its not from the initial capital. Instead I review the profitability in order to check whether the strategy is profitable in selected period of time.
So, in case of return from the initial capital, if we allocate same amount for each counter it will be 23% gain for the period for last 3 months. (137/600)

185Technical Journal Book of NC - Page 9 Empty Re: Technical Journal Book of NC Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:15 pm

BudzW


Stock Trader
Hats off to you mate...
Thanx heaps for your valuable contributions to the forum and to us.... Very Happy Very Happy

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