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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Sri-Lanka stocks will rally into year-end

Sri-Lanka stocks will rally into year-end

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1Sri-Lanka stocks will rally into year-end Empty Sri-Lanka stocks will rally into year-end Fri Oct 31, 2014 12:01 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
I believe Sri-Lankan market is well-poised for a solid year-end rally and will continue thereafter.

I also believe Asia's trade growth to keep outperforming the rest of the world. Over the next decade, services exports could rise, intra-regional trade in finished goods also should rise in Asia. India may emerge as an export powerhouse.
After recent drop Asia-Pacific shares are trading at attractive levels 12-month forward earnings. Modest earning growth also can be expected from Asia. China's economic growth also should be stabilized sooner than later.

In addition lower oil prices are helping Asian countries. Emerging and frontier markets could outperform into the year end.

We can expect active period in the CSE from next month onwards. Broader market could adjust to the next level. Almost all sectors especially massively undervalued sectors in the CSE should jump to the next level along with broader market.  The most important barrier 7400 should pass sooner than later. Companies should make attractive profits quarter ending December 2014 and quarter ending 31/03/2015. Accordingly those companies will become more valuable. In short good time is ahead for all types of stocks such as emerging stocks, neglected stocks, large, mid and small caps etc. In addition currently unfavorable industries could become favorable   industrious in the coming quarters. Finally according to the stage of market new sectors and stocks also will become next winners. It is time to keep future winners in our plate. Any pullback in the future will create opportunities.

All the best and enjoy the major uptrend!

piras

piras
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Agreed and welcome posts like this.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@piras wrote:Agreed and welcome posts like this.

Thanks. Do not follow anybody. Stick to your strategy. When market reach end of the second half of second stage and third stage any stock can become very bullish. Lot of sectors have formed their major uptrend. Any minor reaction will be short lived. Eg:  Recently shares such as REXP, TAFL, LIOC, KAPI, and LGL had minor reactions.  Didn’t they start to go up again? Very recently due to landslide in very small area market players became panicked and sold MASK. It has formed its intermediate uptrend. It will go up again in this bull market. Still intermediate uptrend in sectors such as banking and finance, diversify, production, plantations and food, beverages and poultry  sectors etc  are intact. It is better to identity stocks which are in the first stage of current major uptrend. They will appreciate more than other stocks in the coming quarters.  Good luck!

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Now it is time to estimate results for coming two quarters at least. We will see effects of positive budget proposals in quarterly reports. Similarly positive industry outlook in some sectors will benefit companies in those sectors. When rain is there it is good for countries such India and Sri-Lanka especially for their agriculture. So we can expect good harvest from grain this time. Current rainy season is good for hydro power as well. We are going to see more tourists as well. If you analyse some sectors December and March quarters are generally very good for lot of companies. It is also time to go behind value companies with growth potential, neglected and out of favour stocks. When Mr Market identify them they will go up rapidly. In addition it is time to pay attention to less appreciated stocks with great prospects. Intelligent investors are adding more stocks to their portfolio now. Good luck!

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
In addition to Sri-Lankan stock market some  other Asians stock markets such as Japan, Bangladesh etc also could have rally toward end of this year.

.http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2014/10/31/financial-markets/asian-stocks-surge-boj-plan

Asian stocks surge on BoJ plan

Asian markets have rallied and the US dollar pushed past 111 yen after Japan's central bank said it would expand its vast monetary easing scheme and the United States released forecast-busting economic growth data.

Japanese stocks clocked up gains of almost five per cent to sit at a seven-year high after the Bank of Japan announced its surprise decision in a bid to drag the economy back from the brink of recession.
The Nikkei jumped 4.83 per cent, adding 755.56 points to 16,413.76 -- its highest since November 2007 -- with buying further boosted by a report that country's vast national pension fund would double its domestic equities holdings. The index is now in positive territory for the year to date.

Seoul tacked on 0.28 per cent, or 5.50 points, to end at 1,964.43
.
Hong Kong climbed 1.25 per cent, or 296.02 points, to 23,998.06 while Shanghai jumped 1.22 per cent, or 29.10 points, to 2,420.18 - its highest since February last year.

The BoJ said on Friday it would add up to 20 trillion yen ($A196.92 billion) to its current asset-buying scheme, bringing it to 80 trillion yen annually.

The decision sent the yen sinking to 111.22 against the US dollar, levels not seen since January 2008.
The euro rose to 139.76 yen from 137.79 yen in morning trade and 137.75 yen in New York Thursday.
The Japanese unit was already heading south after data showed the US economy grew a better-than-expected 3.5 per cent in the three months to the end of September.

Friday's move is the first since the BoJ launched its huge bond-buying scheme in April last year as part of Tokyo's wider plan to conquer years of deflation and jumpstart the economy.

It comes as the world's number three economy struggles to pick up following an April sales tax hike that torpedoed a nascent recovery.

The economy contracted 7.1 per cent on an annualised basis in the second of the year and there are fears of another downturn in July-September, which would technically put the country in recession.
Official figures showed Friday that September inflation slowed further, household spending plunged and unemployment rose, raising further questions about the government's recovery plan, which saw a painful sales tax hike in April.

Also in Japan a report in the Nikkei business daily said the country's public pension fund - the world's biggest - will double the amount of stocks it holds in its investment portfolio as it seeks out higher returns to cope with an ageing population.

Wall Street ended on a high after the US growth data, with the Dow surging 1.30 per cent, while the S&P 500 added 0.62 per cent and the Nasdaq gained 0.37 per cent.

On oil markets US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for December delivery fell 56 cents to $US80.56 while Brent crude for December was down 74 cents at $US85.50 in afternoon trade.

The price of gold, considered a safe bet in times of uncertainty, fell to $US1,175.50 an ounce from $US1,205.80 late on Thursday.

In other markets:

-- Taipei rose 0.98 per cent, or 86.69 points, to 8,974.76.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. added 1.56 per cent to Tw$103.5, while Acer was 0.97 per cent higher at Tw$20.85.
-- Wellington rose 0.33 per cent, or 17.65 points, to 5,387.83.
Trade Me ended up 1.03 per cent at NZ$3.92 and Contact Energy gained 0.32 per cent to close at NZ$6.20.
-- Manila added 0.62 per cent, or 44.74 points, to 7,215.73.

Top-traded Philippine Long Distance Telephone gained 0.26 per cent to 3,124 pesos, while Banco de Oro rose 1.98 per cent to 98 pesos

Dhehan

Dhehan
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
We appreciate very much for enhancing our knowledge

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
Thanks VP

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
Reps 4 all articles VP Very Happy

fireshelter

fireshelter
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
if any one follow experts they can double their investment soon like me cat cat cat cat

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Thank you for votes or reaps. Experts also make mistakes. Sometimes they make bigger mistakes than others. If we follow blindly others without doing some home work we may be in trouble. During next three to eight months we will know some of the mistakes that we made. May be sometimes we must have sold some great winners. It happens. It is time to analyse and estimate future of stocks that we going to keep. Future earnings are more important than past earnings. Good luck!

Dr Stock

Dr Stock
Co-Admin
Agree with VALUEPICK.
No body should blindly follow experts.
And the experts should not exploit newbies by
using their expertise.
Hell of a criticism comes when something goes wrong.


hlsindrajith


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Dr. Stock Still not sleeping by the way, What would be the resistance level for PABC. Who has today collected a lot of shares of PABC. Any idea

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@Dr Stock wrote:Agree with VALUEPICK.
No body should blindly follow experts.
And the experts should not exploit newbies by
using their expertise.
Hell of a criticism comes when something goes wrong.



I am not an expert. But i have given lot of predictions on stocks.So far i am right..........
Do not follow what i say unless it does not fit to your taste.

But i am ready for anything that come my way..................

I report you decide.........

Criticisms. yes

Octopus

Octopus
Expert
Expert
@RPPA wrote:
@Dr Stock wrote:Agree with VALUEPICK.
No body should blindly follow experts.
And the experts should not exploit newbies by
using their expertise.
Hell of a criticism comes when something goes wrong.



I am not an expert. But i have given lot of predictions on stocks.So far i am right..........
Do not follow what i say unless it does not fit to your taste.
 
But i am ready for anything that come my way..................

I report you decide.........

Criticisms. yes

Yes whats the point of forum if every one's opinion is same.


fireshelter

fireshelter
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
always we can give guide only if you are believe that on not your self judgment

all the members give big support to think about different shares from time to time

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Despite some volatility and pullback market is trading above 7000. We can see accumulation of stocks and new emerging bull stocks as well. Announcement of election also brought some investor confidence. By next month election fever is also over. I believe market is about to have strong break out. We will wait and see.

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