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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000)

SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000)

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221SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:59 am

fireshelter


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Month End wait & Collect lower

222SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:11 pm

Market.Player


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@k9 wrote:Waiting for the PARQ Party Time....

Hopping Massive results
ALUF also shows 1.02 EPS...but ALUF has to wait sometime to Record Profits like PARQ.
Currently ALUF recorded 0.14 EPS for the 2014/15 yr.Trading at 35 levels.
Turnover wise ALUF has not recorded increasement ,52 mn for both Q3 and Q4 2014/15.
Reason is Aluf is suppling their products to the ALUMAX,thats y Mr. Dhammika P has taken over ALUF for the benifit of ALUM.
In Q3 GP is 32.9 mn and Q4 GP has come down to 12 mn

ALUF price will be gone up becuase of the favourable market situation.For trading purposes ALUF is ok.

But Investment purpose mid and long PARQ is the best.

Still Super Stock.....
This time will pass 100++
No words to express about the PARQ EPS....
Hoping a reasonable dividend also...

Keep in touch.
Happy Trading.........


Top of the post Party time .... to be adjust as joke of the forum....

223SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:13 pm

Market.Player


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@k9 wrote:LALU Q4 results has been released.According to the LALU Q4 profit pattern we can not expect more profits than this.but Q4 profit is not big as all think.Overall EPS is 10.6.

This Q Group revenue has decreased 30%, but company income statement revenue increased by over 30%.So we can assume that Aluminum revenue has been increased.other subsidiary revenue came down .Remember they have sold one subsidiary.

Anyway Aluminum revenue has been increased but as all expected this Q profit is not a big profit.


Then what about the PARQ results-Deep analysis


PARQ profit consists with Aluminum(65%) and Tile related profits.(35%)


2014/15 9 months profit is 160 Mn.

Last year Q4 profit is 77 Mn.
Aluminum profit-(77*0.65)=50 Mn
we can expect reasonably Aluminum profit growth by 40%.{profit growth 40%-60% range as this is Q4}

Assuming growth rate 40%,Then (50/100)*140=70mn.(this can be gone up to 100 Mn){70-100 mn range}

Other profit segment Tile related profit is 77-50=27 Mn
This profit will  definitely be double according to the last year pattern and high demand in PARQ tile related products in this seasonal Q4=27*2=54 Mn{54 Mn -70 Mn range}

Last Q Total profit should be 70+54=124Mn
Yearly profit 2014/15 minimum=160(9 months profit)+124(Q4)=284 Mn
So 2014/15 year EPS will be 284mn/27.372 Mn shares=10.37

Then Next year we can expect EPS 2 for the Q1 2015/16.
Last yr 2014/15 Q1 EPS 0.50.and yearly massive profits nearly EPS 15.
So  PARQ is the super Long Term Stock.
According to my analysis out of ALUM,ALUB,LALU ,
PARQ is the best ever Share.
Reasons,
1.Trading below 10x PE.
2.Super continuous EPS.
3.Profit consists with two different sectors.
4.Aluminum market share 24%(second largest)
5.Tile related product market share over 75%.

Happy trading.
Always stay with fundamentals .....So never loose.

 Nice EPS calculation.

224SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:15 pm

Market.Player


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ONTHEMONEY wrote:Hi Guys,

We can observed a mix note on LALU and PARQ in recent financial performance. Although LALU earned substantial earnings to justify its prices, last Quarter 2014/2015 performance is weak compared to other 3 companies listed ( PARQ, ALUM, ALUF ). All companies in the same group and being in the same industry has recorded a significant growth in revenue. Therefore we cannot expect a super revenue in 1Q 2015/2016 FY. Hence I recommend collect in parcels at below levels if anyone have bought over Rs 80/-.

Though ALUF and ALUM has recorded a healthy growth in sales; prices are little overpriced to recommend. Hence a risk is associated.

However PARQ has displayed impressive results for the last quarter 2014/2015 together with significant growth in QoQ growth. Major contribution via Aluminium business while tiles have also contributed to improve performance.

During 1Q 2014/2015 company has recorded on an EPS of Rs 0.77. However during last quarter it has increased up to Rs 3.17 with constant revenue growth. Hence it is obvious that PARQ would record Rs 3.50 for the 1Q 2015/2016 FY.

I expected PARQ price Rs 125+ and above in medium term. 

Why? 

Company is doing extremely well. Still heavy orders for aluminium products continue.

1. Impressive growth in performance in recent Quarters YoY.

2. Continuously reducing Banks liabilities ultimately increasing NAV, Annualized earnings would justify the above price and above.

3. Highest profits generated in Q4 during last 2 years. Hence we can expect better results. Company has made losses in history. However after the takeover by Lanka Tiles, company is performing well.

4. Strong fundamentals and drivers in the market involved in the list of stockholders. ( e.g Gulam Hussain)

5. High chances for a very attractive dividend.

Not all technically sound shares perform well. In my view a share to perform in the market it should have 2 key components; market drivers+fundamental backing. PARQ has it.

Considering all above facts PARQ displays signs to jump out of blocks. Considering the ill-liquid nature I recommend to hold as a Long term Investment.


Happy Investments


125 +

225SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:18 pm

Market.Player


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@EPS wrote:Very important point is, PARQ is now shows continuous QUARTER ON QUARTER growth performance. That is massive plus point for investors to upgrade this share to next level.
Defa PARQ current valuation above 100 with minimum 10 PER.
This first well performing year under Nimal Perera. Never goes back all companies under him. First changing year they reports 8.46 EPS. What a change to the company.
Remember SEMB predicted 6 EPS for 2015. but they deliver 8.46 massive EPS.
SEMB next year forecasted EPS  is 11. will see the growth.
Now this shows as a long term holding stock.
Also,
I like to revalue the PARQ at current quarter EPS 3.17 x 4 = 12.68 level.
So, compaire to sector trading PER of 11, PARQ can now valued at Rs.120 range. Will see during next quarter.

120

226SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:34 pm

fireshelter

fireshelter
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Wait & See i am not a promoter

227SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 4:39 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Currently in CSE most of shares are driven with fundamentals. It seems no gambling like 2010, 2011. Look at the shares like LWL, HAYL, CFVF, ALUFAB, RCL, and more.......
So, it is clear PARQ last quarter reported above 3.0 EPS. So, fundamentaly annualize level it is now 12 EPS level. Currently Aluminium sector other shares are trading at 11 PER.
So, PARQ is having Aluminium sector 25% of market share. Price will adjust accordingly.
Any how at minimum level,
PARQ reported EPS 8.44 x 11 PER = minimum value is Rs.92/- now. If CSE is running with fundamental theory, need to adjust this soon.

228SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 5:08 pm

k9


Expert
Expert
PARQ IS FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG SHARE.Thats y we all recommend it.

Now the CSE is react to the fundamental value.Among other stock Parq has a good value.NAV 39.EPS 8.46.What else.currently trading below PE 8x.

We recommended only a fundamental value stocks like PARQ.
not like warrents and other over value stocks.We analyse the stocks whether fundamentally strong or not.

It seems Market player is enjoying with this.IF we are wrong he should write in polite way.Anyway its ok.

We always recommend value stocks....

229SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 5:59 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hay, Y u promote as 100 PLUS Stock ....?

230SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 6:05 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
"balum bole pumbala, pumbala exit una neda ?"

231SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:07 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty [url=/t43446-parq-profit-but-go-down-vpel-loss-but-go-up#266434]Re: PARQ Profit But Go Down..VPEL Loss but Go up...[/url]
SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty by Market.Player Today at 10:09 pm


Be careful,
Same gang who run the CFVF, were played with PARQ. That is pre-planed game.

Remember, what they did to CFVF. before release the CFVF accounts played the share price from Rs 24/- to 66/- . They promoted as CFVF worth above 100/- like that lab la and they exited. After release the CFVF financials with massive EPS, share price came down to Rs.25/- . That was a preplaned game done by that gang purposly. Then they collect the shares again at 25 & then push up to 45/- and exited. That was a master game played by cfvf gang. actually they earned double from CFVF. most of small CFVF players burned their hand.

Now what happen to PARQ. THIS ALSO promoted by same CFVF promoted team. (You all know the forum promotrd names). they pushed the PARQ from 30 to 68/- . told others to mega 5 EPS & worth more than 100/- like same CFVF story. What happen after the massive financials. price is comming down now. same CFVF game is happening. I belive some times PARQ also will down untill their targets.then they will play the second drama. more will burn again.

232SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:19 pm

fireshelter

fireshelter
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
market player Why you want Big Quantity You are talking negatives Wait & see End of this December can you predict PARQ Price i can predict as Above Rs.120/-

233SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:26 pm

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Mr market player can u tell why is PARQ going down ? With a EPS of over 8.

234SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:31 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
the logic behind marketplayer is correct.untimately it comes down to rule no 1 ,every share movement is a result of manipulation of few parties.new comers just search google and read deadly art of stock manipulation.

235SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:31 pm

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@fireshelter wrote:market player Why you want Big Quantity You are talking negatives Wait & see End of this December can you predict PARQ Price i can predict as Above Rs.120/-

Yes he want to buy thats'swhy negative talking.

236SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:37 pm

kumarweerarathne

kumarweerarathne
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
People can say 1000 words on this but I never sell this if sell only above 100/- , growth company so no sorry no worry .

237SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 9:52 pm

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
PARQ is the very Hot stock in the current market and hard talking going on.

PARQ is the Winner of the year 2015

238SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 10:04 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Only thing what I wanted to tell you, just click check the LWL last 03 years financials. Now it became as a more than double size company under Mr. Nimal Perera brand. Double the Revenue, Double the Profits, double the shareholders value with in very short period.

Then why ignore PARQ, under NP. It already proved. This is first year they reported above 8.00 EPS under NP, when compaire with last year end EPS of 3.00.

PARQ is under manufacturing sector business & its growth is potential & most of manufacturing companies are currently trading above 10x PER.

In my fundamental valuation currently PARQ can value at 8.46 EPS with PER 11x TIMES means above Rs.90.00.















Also, note that their financial statement says, (under Note No.6) :

"The subsidiary Swisstek Aluminium Ltd incurred Rs. 15.27 Mn for the services rendered in improving the manufacturing processes.This service has been provided by related Company, Royal Ceramics Lanka PLC"

This also clear sign for their expected future growth.



Further more, PARQ have a solid backing from the tile industry front runner, Royal Ceramics group. Also note that PARQ is the second largest Aluminium extrusion producer in sri lanka with 24% market share.Also company is under 5 years Tax holiday.



They have excessive production capacity to meet rising demand. Also, Market leader in the tile mortar and tile grout sector. They having future oppertunities for potential growth in the tile mortar market & demand for Aluminium related constructions.


So, I have a confidence with PARQ future earnings and most will expect above 12 EPS from their next year financials. By looking their group other companies, this task is not impossible. So, this can be recomend as a future winner for long term holders.

239SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 10:12 pm

Ryan Hudson


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
in whichever term Parq should reach 80-100, its the most improved company in this year

240SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 10:23 pm

kuma524

kuma524
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Nothing words only parq parq.... will go up ....
 Hurry hurry .. buy buy buy... no one can stop this will go up sooonnnn..... :)

241SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 10:29 pm

kuma524

kuma524
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Nothing words only parq parq.... will go up ....
 Hurry hurry .. buy buy buy... no one can stop this will go up sooonnnn..... :)

242SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Wed May 27, 2015 11:58 pm

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

If u take out that 165mn, there profits for the year comes down to 240 mn. Isn't that mean EPS is 3 for the financial yr without that revaluation gain amount. NAPS is also 39 n low dividend payout ratio high PE ratio means this share at this current level is overvalued rite???

243SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Thu May 28, 2015 6:32 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Revaluation of land is not a P&L entry. it is effected to only Balance Sheet. Only happen is NAV is going up & benifited to shareholders.
Jayathu, dont mis understand.

244SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Thu May 28, 2015 8:32 am

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
there comprehensive income statement shows total comprehensive income for the period is 245mn. Out of that profits for the period is 95mn n 153mn from other comprehensive income. In that comprehensive income includes 165mn gain on revaluation land.
I even thought u must be correct cause they can't show that gain in the income statement n only can shown on the balance sheet. But its not the case, if u go look at equity one n equity two it's the same case.

245SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 12 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) Thu May 28, 2015 8:36 am

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I might not be expert like EPS, but I only state the figures that shows in the financial reports.

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