What I wanted was some results of polls done. Here are some
a. This forum's own poll (by Sstar)suggests a 74% victory for MY3 with 3100+ votes currently
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t39135-mahinda-vs-maithri-opinion-poll
b. Similar polls elsewhere also suggest the same with 74.4% with 12100+ votes currently
http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/SL2015President
One could assume this as urban phenomena. But even a more methodical survey, though it does not directly ask the participant who he will vote for, seems to indicate at grass root level cost of living is an issue and they seek to change it. They also believe that elections are essential at this juncture , perhaps to do something about it.
http://www.cpalanka.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Pre-election-opinion-poll-top-line-report.pdf
Foreign sources seem to think MY3 will win
"The latest defections from Rajapaksa's ruling coalition suggest that Sirisena will narrowly win the presidency, Eurasia Group's Sasha Riser-Kositsky said in a research note on Monday"
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/23/sri-lanka-election-idUSL3N0U72GB20141223
There are rumors that a government units political wing estimated MY3 will win by 52% also
So, who will win. Well its not clear to me, because my glass is empty and so is my bottle on the eve of the New Year. But I see swans ahead,.... hopefully not black in colour
Cheers everyone... Hic hic