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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Presidential Election 2015 - Exit Polls

Presidential Election 2015 - Exit Polls

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1Presidential Election 2015 - Exit Polls Empty Presidential Election 2015 - Exit Polls Wed Jan 07, 2015 9:29 pm

Jeremy

Jeremy
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. Unlike an opinion poll, which asks whom the voter plans to vote for or some similar formulation, an exit poll asks whom the voter actually voted for. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take hours or even days to count.

Marcel van Dam, Dutch sociologist and former politician, is credited with having invented the exit poll, and being the first to implement an exit poll during the Dutch legislative elections on February 15, 1967.

Like all opinion polls, exit polls by nature do include a margin of error. A famous example of exit poll error occurred in the 1992 UK General Election, when two exit polls predicted a hung parliament. The actual vote revealed that Conservative Party Government under John Major held their position, though with a significantly reduced majority. Investigations into this failure identified a number of causes including differential response rates (the Shy Tory Factor), the use of inadequate demographic data and poor choice of sampling points

Voting Link:

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t39135-mahinda-vs-maithri-opinion-poll?highlight=Presdential+election+2015+poll

Those who had voted previously can recast their vote as an exit confirmation. Results would be announced at 6 pm on the Election Day.



Last edited by GMNet on Wed Jan 07, 2015 9:43 pm; edited 1 time in total

Jeremy

Jeremy
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
MR has taken lead on the exit poll.

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