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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Who said market will go up after elections? Can you please answer!

Who said market will go up after elections? Can you please answer!

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Spoon


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@trbvm wrote:DELETED
Violation of forum Rules relating to Privacy.
You are banned for repeated violation.
- Admin

I'm glad this decision was made.

People may disagree with Quibits non-constructive blaming of "experts" (myself included) but THAT IS NO INVITATION to violate his/her privacy and post information regarding his/her life.

This is a ban I support.

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I said market will go up after election

Now i say this is a temporary phenomena.

Any way present present market is decided by market forces. Not by govt manipulation and not artificial trend. I am happy about this

Business community is not happy with  interim budget. Specially with taxes on company profits. We never expected this type of taxing from UNP govt.

That is why I said market will go up after election



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:36 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : corection)

Ernie Tissera


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
AS DG said we never expected the new Government to impose a tax like this. But the problem is if they do not do that, the inflation will be very high and the income is not sufficient to pay even loans even without interest. So the market will be crashed anyway. All the figures given by the previous Government is incorrect. So the cash trapped government has to borrow again and again to manage the economy. When the previous Government in power, the tax amount we were paying is around 65% from every rupee you are spending. That type of a country wont last long (ex: Zimbabwe, Somalia, Ethiopia). So the first part is to put the country in correct direction.

Senior Citizen


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Ernie Tissera wrote:AS DG said we never expected the new Government to impose a tax like this. But the problem is if they do not do that, the inflation will be very high and the income is not sufficient to pay even loans even without interest. So the market will be crashed anyway. All the figures given by the previous Government is incorrect. So the cash trapped government has to borrow again and again to manage the economy. When the previous Government in power, the tax amount we were paying is around 65% from every rupee you are spending. That type of a country wont last long (ex: Zimbabwe, Somalia, Ethiopia). So the first part is to put the country in correct direction.

I sold most of my shares before 8th Jan.
I knew this COMBO Cabinet won't mix especially with the JVP causing a drag and DNF gunning for vengeance for old wounds with a numbing effect of the radicals.

Also I knew that the then govt. would not let go power easily and would put up a show impacting the CSE. Many said the elections would not affect the CSE but it did finally. The mentality of people in this country is not easily understood. They have very fickle thinking patterns that are easily detracted.
Very Happy

gamaya


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
This budget has increased the purchasing power of public. which will be good for most of the businesses. No corporates can survive without people.

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@gamaya wrote:This budget has increased the purchasing power of public. which will be good for most of the businesses. No corporates can survive without people.

I tell you with some experience.
Never bite the hand that feeds you.
All businessmen come here to make money, that's a fact.
If there is no garauntee that they make a neat 30- 40 % GP or margin, you would find them leaving or setting up businesses elsewhere.

People do matter and they are the main assets of any company (at least on paper) but when it hurts the investor, they have hearts made of stone. Give my Money or I leave you Honey!

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Mr Market will start its next uptrend at the correct time. This is the time for simple business. By June 2015 we may see national government. I don’t think ASI will break 8000 before June. After June we can expect breaking 7500, 7800 and then 8000. It is time to accumulate future winners. Time to time market will react in a different manner due to different reasons. In one period mainly blue ship stocks can have demand. In some period small stocks will have demand. Investors and traders will go behind defensive sectors as well in the short run. We can see one day, one week sell off in almost all stock markets due to short term issues. Later they have recovered faster than before as long as bull market is intact. This is the best time to rotate stocks and sectors and adjust portfolio to get above average returns from third stage of current major uptrend. It is time to identify new hidden valuable stocks. Some small and mid cap can give some of the biggest returns during next six months to 18 months.

ChiefJustice


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
No one can foretell which way the market will move. If someone says "it will go up" read it as "I think it will go up". If they could foretell market movement direction, they would be rolling in the green stuff, mate, not posting comments here Very Happy Very Happy

mendis86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
valuepick i also expect market will move to 7800 but we have to change the plans bcs govenment was change,politicaly unstable, poor badjet for big companys then we have to change the plan for this situvation

if u think like positivly u will lost your hard aern money

change your plan acoding to the situvation

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@mendis86 wrote:valuepick i also expect market will move to 7800  but we have to change the plans bcs govenment was change,politicaly unstable, poor badjet for big companys then we have to change the plan for this situvation

if u think like positivly u will lost your hard aern money

change your plan acoding to the situvation

Thanks. Yes according to situation we have to adjust our portfolio. In addition market is not in the first stage. In the third and final stages of current major uptrend new stocks and sectors including consumer staples should outperform others. It is better to concentrate on value stocks now. This is the best time to rotate stocks.

mendis86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
will see what happen next week befor enter to market

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Present Finance Minister has given reasonable explanation about tax proposals

As i mentioned above  present situation is temporary phenomena it will change very soon May be next week

I hope present CB Governor will not try to manipulate economic indicators allow market forces to determine prices of stocks

and Thlak Karunarathna also will protect his mouth



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Sun Feb 01, 2015 3:57 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : to add more)

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Market continue to come down making Forum sentiment real. We should not blame experts for making the wrong call. Unfortunately some of them are not here.

Who said market will go up after elections? Can you please answer! - Page 3 Screen27

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
The problem with some experts are that they depend solely on the systems. Humans are not like androids with programmed minds and feelings.

You also must listen to the voices of the people. They are very strong and sometimes have not defined basis for their thoughts. People go on the sentiment of what is said by politicians and they have a double responsibility and serious duty to convey their ideas in a way that won't be misconstrued by the General public.

What happened last week and today especially tells that the line of thinking of the BIG THINK TANK in place today has to readjust their strategy and move with more caution and deliberation taking into consideration the business and sentiments of all concerned and not old theories that belong to a different era altogether.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
As I said before so called some global experts make bigger mistakes than others.

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Any way market indicate real inverter sentiments now.( LEDA MARUNATH BADA SUDDAY)

Now we can depend on rational behavior of the market Not like CABBA management of stock market

Market clearly show Inverters and traders are not happy with
recent Budget wichfocus only election winning of UNP with out
future development program.

I hope people will understand real situation respond in the next election. Last govt also did same mistake

Best thing is when market come to lowest support level we shroud buy what is possible.

I think lowest support level may be 6500. Technical analyst can give more accurate figure

any way i again say present trend is temporary phenomenon

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Senior Citizen wrote:
@Sstar wrote:Yes it will go up after election. Not Presidential Elections but General election. All depend on who is going to get elected and what their policies are. Interest rates is likely to have an upward trend, budget deficit is going to get widen to 8% and inflation will go back to 10% Rs 10,000/= increment may not be enough to many after 100days.

I want to buy stocks low and therefore I am going to buy after General Elections and I will surely share my portfolio in the forum for the benefit of those followed me and made money during 2014.

Shining Star or Super Star,

The plan seems what is a natural thing to do, Even I advised my community (finance buddies) to get out before 8th Jan and good that they listened.

You may buy dirt cheap a few weeks later and by that time the ASPI will be lowered to 7000 ish. There are some good shares worth noting and from time to time they will be discussed in this forum in a sort of cryptic manner to prevent others who do not follow the forum in getting hold of the leash.


It's good to review some previous posts!

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Senior Citizen wrote:
@Senior Citizen wrote:
@Sstar wrote:Yes it will go up after election. Not Presidential Elections but General election. All depend on who is going to get elected and what their policies are. Interest rates is likely to have an upward trend, budget deficit is going to get widen to 8% and inflation will go back to 10% Rs 10,000/= increment may not be enough to many after 100days.

I want to buy stocks low and therefore I am going to buy after General Elections and I will surely share my portfolio in the forum for the benefit of those followed me and made money during 2014.

Shining Star or Super Star,

The plan seems what is a natural thing to do, Even I advised my community (finance buddies) to get out before 8th Jan and good that they listened.

You may buy dirt cheap a few weeks later and by that time the ASPI will be lowered to 7000 ish. There are some good shares worth noting and from time to time they will be discussed in this forum in a sort of cryptic manner to prevent others who do not follow the forum in getting hold of the leash.


It's good to review some previous posts!

I am sure many investors wish they could go back in time. Those who are smart can buy cheap, others can average their cost. When market goes up, the smart guys get out first becos their cost is lower than the rest.

I have learned this lesson once before and I don't want sit at the wrong side of the table.

mendis86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
i fill next some days market will move up said 50-60 point but dont trap for that bce i have some expireance about that

i think we havd to stay minimem 10 market market days befor enter to the market

tha


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
I feel very much that support level is 7000 and Thursday it would move up....

mendis86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
yes i also expect market will up but it is tamparare up bce market alrady started the bear

up trand only good for day trad

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
What is the next bad news. Haven't heard it yet.

mendis86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
they is no next bad news still the same bad news , the up trand only be a trap

nalban


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
next bad news could be opposition showing the majority in the parliament when a voting happen for some motion.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
This may be the time to buy. Cool

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