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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Count Down to 6000!

Count Down to 6000!

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1Count Down to 6000! Empty Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:16 am

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Count Down to 6000! Screen26



Last edited by Quibit on Mon Feb 02, 2015 1:58 pm; edited 1 time in total

2Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:22 am

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
What about the Chat Room?

Who is responsible for this IT development?

3Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:23 am

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Chatbox activated.

4Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:43 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
These types of sell off will be there in almost all types of market due to different reasons at different times. In a bull market these types of thing create opportunities. If it is bear market we should avoid stocks.  Even in India not only their stocks but also their rupee had some of the biggest sell off and later recovered strongly. We should not touch some blue chip stocks until we find their base. On the other hand there are plenty of attractive small and mid caps stocks in the market now. Market volatility, pause, sell off and correction create opportunity for mid and long players. Defensive sector is one of the best bet in the market. A Defensive or non Cyclical stock is a stock whose profit growth and therefore its price has a very low correlation to the market activity. No matter how the economy/market is doing, the revenues, the earnings and the cash flows of the company remain relatively stable and so the share price. Consumer staples such as food and beverages, Health care, household and Personal Care stocks are known as Defensive. Besides current major uptrend is about to reach third and final stages. In final stages above sectors should outperform others. It is time to rotate stocks and identity new future winning stocks.

If we analyse policy decisions, both governments have given priority to agriculture/farming/food, plantation and export sector. In addition unlike in the past there is no threat to tourism sector either. More tourists in the future mean more demand for transportation, food and leisure activities. Companies in these areas should have growth irrespective short term issues.

5Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:53 am

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@VALUEPICK wrote:These types of sell off will be there in almost all types of market due to different reasons at different times. In a bull market these types of thing create opportunities. If it is bear market we should avoid stocks.  Even in India not only their stocks but also their rupee had some of the biggest sell off and later recovered strongly. We should not touch some blue chip stocks until we find their base. On the other hand there are plenty of attractive small and mid caps stocks in the market now. Market volatility, pause, sell off and correction create opportunity for mid and long players. Defensive sector is one of the best bet in the market. A Defensive or non Cyclical stock is a stock whose profit growth and therefore its price has a very low correlation to the market activity. No matter how the economy/market is doing, the revenues, the earnings and the cash flows of the company remain relatively stable and so the share price. Consumer staples such as food and beverages, Health care, household and Personal Care stocks are known as Defensive. Besides current major uptrend is about to reach third and final stages. In final stages above sectors should outperform others. It is time to rotate stocks and identity new future winning stocks.

If we analyse policy decisions, both governments have given priority to agriculture/farming/food, plantation and export sector. In addition unlike in the past there is no threat to tourism sector either. More tourists in the future mean more demand for transportation, food and leisure activities. Companies in these areas should have growth irrespective short term issues.


Agree with you. Also there is a maximum crap that will be taken by the big time players in the market.

Especially FMCG companies are price sensitive and have to react quickly to the demand and price points. Pushing cost of goods higher and reducing margins will not be sustainable for long periods and it affects volumes and profitability.

you will soon see the Blue Chip shares tumbling suddenly and regaining that once lost market confidence will be long drawn. Embarassed

6Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:55 am

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
I advised about this drop early hence it is anticipated. What need to be looked at to find the bottom of this decline. My estimation is 6900-7000. A good point to enter.

7Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:40 am

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:I advised about this drop early hence it is anticipated. What need to be looked at to find the bottom of this decline. My estimation is 6900-7000. A good point to enter.

By the looks of it we can be prepared for a greater dive. Over 100 points in 1.5 hours trading is a disaster of huge proportions.

Where is the bottom one can keep guessing?
Mad

8Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:50 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@Senior Citizen wrote:
@VALUEPICK wrote:These types of sell off will be there in almost all types of market due to different reasons at different times. In a bull market these types of thing create opportunities. If it is bear market we should avoid stocks.  Even in India not only their stocks but also their rupee had some of the biggest sell off and later recovered strongly. We should not touch some blue chip stocks until we find their base. On the other hand there are plenty of attractive small and mid caps stocks in the market now. Market volatility, pause, sell off and correction create opportunity for mid and long players. Defensive sector is one of the best bet in the market. A Defensive or non Cyclical stock is a stock whose profit growth and therefore its price has a very low correlation to the market activity. No matter how the economy/market is doing, the revenues, the earnings and the cash flows of the company remain relatively stable and so the share price. Consumer staples such as food and beverages, Health care, household and Personal Care stocks are known as Defensive. Besides current major uptrend is about to reach third and final stages. In final stages above sectors should outperform others. It is time to rotate stocks and identity new future winning stocks.

If we analyse policy decisions, both governments have given priority to agriculture/farming/food, plantation and export sector. In addition unlike in the past there is no threat to tourism sector either. More tourists in the future mean more demand for transportation, food and leisure activities. Companies in these areas should have growth irrespective short term issues.


Agree with you. Also there is a maximum crap that will be taken by the big time players in the market.

Especially FMCG companies are price sensitive and have to react quickly to the demand and price points. Pushing cost of goods higher and reducing margins will not be sustainable for long periods and it affects volumes and profitability.

you will soon see the Blue Chip shares tumbling suddenly and regaining that once lost market confidence will be long drawn. Embarassed

Value investors will wait until they see great value in stocks that they missed. Mid and long term players buy stocks due to their own reason and they don’t worry these short term issues. It is time to do more home work. No need to buy and sell stocks hurriedly. I think market will become very attractive due to this sell off. In every situation there will be some bull stocks.

9Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:51 am

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I believe benefits derived by the people from the budget would increase demand for food items. What is the most favourite food item in good time!
I guess its CHICKEN!!

Anyone got the valuations of the related companies?

10Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:56 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
There will be demand for not only chicken but also for other food and beverages in Sri-Lanka and Asia. Consumer stocks should shine in Asia irrespective economic cycles in the coming years and decades.

11Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:57 am

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I am with you VP. Thanks for good advise.

12Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:10 pm

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Quibit wrote:I believe benefits derived by the people from the budget would increase demand for food items. What is the most favourite food item in good time!
I guess its CHICKEN!!

Anyone got the valuations of the related companies?


Habits die hard and the disposable income of the bottom rung segment of consumers are sensitive to consumable prices, that's true.

Some of the consumers habits are also that they will spend where they most like to spend regardless of the need such as food, transport, shelter. So unless they change their habits the reduction in consumer prices would not still give the desired effect.

Reducing the prices alone does not give the impetus to productivity. It may have a marginal increase in production but up to a point. Those who know the costing of goods will tell you that volume growth alone cannot sustain a company in the long run. It may kill the competition but that is only a short term measure.

What is required is also increasing the disposable income of the consumers.
That will increase the productivity even further as it will be driven by truly demand based.

Prices will always be adjusted to the market conditions with time.
No one can manupalte that for ever.


13Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:33 pm

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
By the trend market is going today it is said to hit 7000 level which is the resistance level. Market is in a over-sold region now. Lot of shares are available at bargain prices.

14Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:40 pm

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Yes. I will enter the market when some of the FMCG goods go down further. That is my entry point.

there are sectors that are of special interest that should be monitored closely to verify the true potential.

15Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:46 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Hotel sector seems overpriced. Financial sector seems risky. Plantations affected due to crude oil prices. I am lost to find a good sector execpt FMCG.

16Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:47 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:By the trend market is going today it is said to hit 7000 level which is the resistance level. Market is in a over-sold region now. Lot of shares are available at bargain prices.

I have a feeling bottom is around 6600 level.

17Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 1:58 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
will it be a free fall after 7000?



Last edited by Quibit on Mon Feb 02, 2015 2:03 pm; edited 1 time in total

18Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 2:03 pm

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
May not be so much. But I do like the thrill of Bunjee Jumping.

I have lost and won. Happiness and pain is now taken at its stride.

19Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 2:12 pm

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Today is the end of falling

20Count Down to 6000! Empty Re: Count Down to 6000! Mon Feb 02, 2015 2:22 pm

Hawk Eye

Hawk Eye
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I love this market..Bargain hunting

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