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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CHRONICLE™ ANALYTICS » Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

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126Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Tue Aug 27, 2013 12:05 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Updated Chart on ASI
[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

127Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Tue Aug 27, 2013 10:40 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Foreign Funds are restructuring ...is it due to US economy started to improve......Attacking SYRIA (limited operation or full scale) is very much on the cards, we will see OIL prices HITTING high again, GOLD recovering some of lost ground and may trade 1400-1500.
so there is lots of scenarios doing the rounds....
foreigners will start gradually seek FM such as srilanka.

128Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Tue Aug 27, 2013 6:47 pm

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

I am still uncomfortable with Todays GREEN. Tomorrow expecting More RED.

I am on Side Lines.

There are few counters still attractive.

JKH -Too risky to Touch in current DOWN trend. Looks 225 on the cards.Bears Pressure too much currently.Better to wait till whole drama unfolds.

129Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Wed Aug 28, 2013 1:00 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Keep Ready cash at your disposal....there will be more BUYING opportunities in coming days.

Do Not consider BUYING on MARGIN.......thinking Market will turnaround very soon......


Good Luck

130Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Wed Aug 28, 2013 1:03 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Consider BUYING in stages (Min 3 stages) That will reduce your RISK and Cost could be averaged.

TAH

131Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Wed Aug 28, 2013 1:27 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Updated ASPI chart.....

Still Bearish Biase, Remember the SPIKE i mentioned few days ago....
The circled Candle (Hammer) is it the REVERSAL....To early to say though..
However confirmation will pop up in the next 2-3 days depending on the follow up candles...this is ideally positioned being tomorrow is Wednesday and we have 2 more additional trading days for the confirmation of reversal before the week-end.
Reversal will be follow up candles closing BULLISH.

[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

This is the time for Fundamentalists will seek the assistance of TA's such as SmallV......

On other days they will say TA are useless.... Smile


132Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Wed Aug 28, 2013 11:10 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

Todays ASI shedding with massive points to pierce through 127Fib, means there is more RED we can expect towards 161Fib.
5650-5600 seems a strong point IMO, JKH is already in 200-210 range.
NEST & CTC almost there @ reversal zones, its a matter of time for the REBOUND.

The positive out of this whole RED drama is limited to CTC.NEST & JKH.
Looking at the other counters, we have less panick to contemplate as no across the board sell off.


TAH

133Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Wed Aug 28, 2013 11:19 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

This would be IMO a 20:20 Play.

134Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 9:59 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Be wary of Bargains....Do Not BUY all at once thinking the RED DAYS are over. Be cautious, & BUY in stages.

A good way to Look @ would be to use Fibonacci Levels.

Look at the attached example.....
[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

135Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 10:23 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

COMB & NDB not convincing Look @ the CHARTs....

Any Gains from Short term rally welcome until H&S targets are met....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]" />

Do your own Due Diligence..This is not a BUY,SELL or HOLD advise.
TAH

136Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 10:27 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Look at NDB longing to be in familiar territory back again.....

If the H&S pattern to come true...then we are looking @ Good BUY opportunities on Both...so Have ready cash when opportunities come your way....
Did not look at HNB....still...Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]" />

137Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 10:30 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

When you put all these CHART patterns (COMB,NDB) it all makes sense why we missed to identify the DROP in ASPI,ironically ASPI is also on H&S radar Sad

138Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 11:00 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

traderathome wrote:When you put all these CHART patterns (COMB,NDB) it all makes sense why we missed to identify the DROP in ASPI,ironically ASPI is also on H&S radar Sad
If one to go BUY then NEXT STOP for ASPI is 5600-5550 Sad

The Real winners would be Retailers who will collect at 5600-5550 Levels.

Now make a choice whether you want to be a winner ?

The Mantra To Recite Daily

I will NOT BUY till ASPI reach 5600 Smile

Let the BIG BOYS play there game Razz

139Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 11:06 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

If ASI goes to 5600 straight , then what will be the RSI?


traderathome wrote:
traderathome wrote:When you put all these CHART patterns (COMB,NDB) it all makes sense why we missed to identify the DROP in ASPI,ironically ASPI is also on H&S radar Sad
If one to go BUY then NEXT STOP for ASPI is 5600-5550 Sad

The Real winners would be Retailers who will collect at 5600-5550 Levels.

Now make a choice whether you want to be a winner ?

The Mantra To Recite Daily

I will NOT BUY till ASPI reach 5600 Smile

Let the BIG BOYS play there game Razz

140Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 11:59 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

traderathome wrote:
traderathome wrote:When you put all these CHART patterns (COMB,NDB) it all makes sense why we missed to identify the DROP in ASPI,ironically ASPI is also on H&S radar Sad
If one to go BUY then NEXT STOP for ASPI is 5600-5550 Sad

The Real winners would be Retailers who will collect at 5600-5550 Levels.

Now make a choice whether you want to be a winner ?

The Mantra To Recite Daily

I will NOT BUY till ASPI reach 5600 Smile

Let the BIG BOYS play there game Razz
Dear traderathome,

At the current situation sometime ASPI can reach 6000 or more very easily during the next run.  Technically we can't forecast the market behavior exactly in such a situation. Many violation & deviation happens during this index manipulation.

Thank You.

141Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:59 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

With recent PA, I am more inclined towards thinking ASI may touch 5600 or 5550.

I dont know about RSI, but sure it will be in OVERSOLD situation, If 5600 is broken.But being @ 5600 means its another opportunity to accumulate isn't it ?

TAH

142Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:20 pm

The Alchemist


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

traderathome wrote:With recent PA, I am more inclined towards thinking ASI may touch 5600 or 5550.

I dont know about RSI, but sure it will be in OVERSOLD situation, If 5600 is broken.But being @ 5600 means its another opportunity to accumulate isn't it ?

TAH
Michael Jackson (MJ) in a MAD JAM i see after buying JKH @ 224 ! Crying or Very sad

143Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Thu Aug 29, 2013 11:34 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

224 was a GOOD BUY rate because it was on 127Fib,provided i get another opportunity @ 200 /210 to buy.

144Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:03 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Did you Notice SAMP is in 5th Wave (Provided todays Bullish Candle may continue in to next few days.
If the Price fall below 177 then i will consider we are still into the 3rd WAVE on EW.
The Current RES is @ 192/-

Its important for SAMP holders to monitor next few days Smile
TAH

145Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:04 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Here is My 1st chart on SPSL20 INDEX.

You will notice the completion of 2 EW.

I hope you have seen the BIGGER EW in formation.

The Last 3200 (LOW) was to assume the Last (5th) Wave, then from now onwards SPSL20 may not fall below.....

But nothing could be discounted when we are forecasting the EW PATTERN.

One could hit the Bulls EYE in the projection or bombarded with i was over optimistic in my conclusion.

So Noticing INDEX did not fall below 3200 and touched the Higher Low, I hope you are seeing what i am seeing.

As long as 3200 is not broken, i can conclusively say We just completed 2nd WAVE.

You may see that on my 2nd picture of the EW posted on the example.(SPSL20 is here)

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

TAH

146Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:06 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

This is the EW chart pattern copied from chart school.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Are you seeing any resemblance to where we stand on S&P INDEX Smile

Your comments are appreciated.

Happy Trading
Ravin A.k.a TAH
TAH

147Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:11 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

This the updated chart with the 2nd wave completion on the dominant trend of EW.

So it is obvious that we need to ignore or set aside the short term noise or market fluctuation and concentrate now on fundamental shares that can give you longterm returns (dividends + capital gains).

Don't miss the Train .........

I would concentrate on accumulation of  shares that go along (RISE) with the INDEX not ASI btw Sad

I hope you noticed what i meant by the above statement...

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Smiling Smile
TAH



Last edited by traderathome on Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:14 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : To include the updated Chart)

148Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Sat Aug 31, 2013 1:06 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Here is CTHR chart update... Break out not yet occurred.
Wait for the confirmation...
The price may rise to 150 short term complete the last point on the triangle, and reverse probably .....towards 100LKR.

The break-out is yet to occur, so no need to panic ATM.
The B/o once takes place, the price may reach the new Res. point (apex) before continue the former trend.
[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

149Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Sat Aug 31, 2013 9:09 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Is this the END of the SLIDE.....

[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

Smile

150Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Sat Aug 31, 2013 9:31 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

The FORUM too has lost its liquidity lately Smile what a correlation with CSEs ASPI.
I am not seeing many posts like before looking ..........back since i started..... why is that ?
We had many controversial characters, they all seem to have gone UNDERGROUND Sad

TAH

151Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Sat Aug 31, 2013 10:27 pm

Fresher


Moderator
Moderator

there will be noise with controversies.

and yes, we see more participation when the market is moving up. But surely many are watching.

152Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Sun Sep 01, 2013 4:56 am

Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

traderathome wrote:The FORUM too has lost its liquidity lately :)what a correlation with CSEs ASPI.

TAH
True, seems to be new member registered in Aug less than 100.


traderathome wrote:
We had many controversial characters, they all seem to have gone UNDERGROUND Sad

TAH
Most of the promotors were unmasked in the past also one reason. Special thanks to Slstock's post (http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t29438-forum-promoters-demoters-and-how-to-identify-them?highlight=promoters) and our senior members commitments.

153Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Harmonic Price Pattern Trading Sun Sep 01, 2013 11:21 am

nihal123

nihal123
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

traderathome wrote:The FORUM too has lost its liquidity lately :)what a correlation with CSEs ASPI.
I am not seeing many posts like before looking ..........back since i started..... why is that ?
We had many controversial characters, they all seem to have gone UNDERGROUND Sad

TAH

Truth, promotors are infront. Good characters are back.
Sad Sad Sad

154Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) Mon Sep 02, 2013 9:52 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Here is the Chart on DIST.N

Disclosure:I own DIST @ 187/-

Possible short term price movements 180-200 LKR

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Good Luck
TAH

155Technical Analytics & Charts (2) - Page 6 Empty DIST ANALYSIS Mon Sep 02, 2013 3:49 pm

wave trader


Stock Trader

IF WE BREAK ABOVE 195 ON CLOSING BASIS, CAN EXPECT DIST TO HIT 207/208 BASUED ON INVERTED HEAD & SHOULERS FORMATION

IF WE SEE CLOSE BELOW 184 DIST CAN FALL TO 172/170 BASED ON XA = BC (ZIG ZAG)

traderathome wrote:Here is the Chart on DIST.N

Disclosure:I own DIST @ 187/-

Possible short term price movements 180-200 LKR

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Good  Luck
TAH

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