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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » winning stocks next week

winning stocks next week

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1winning  stocks  next  week Empty winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 11:42 am

guruji

guruji
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hope esl,parq,sira,any ideas

2winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 11:49 am

geshan.weerakkody

geshan.weerakkody
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

3winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 11:51 am

kumarweerarathne

kumarweerarathne
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
TJL
LGL
ESL
CFVF
OSEA
JINS

4winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 12:06 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
We should see new winning stocks from next week onwards.

There are lot of undervalued neglected stocks which underperformed the broader market during last one year. It could be due to some reasons.

Analysts were busy with doing research on popular stocks. So they also have missed some future wining stocks in the market.
At the beginning of bull market few blue chips and financial stocks had great demand and other crowds also stayed on the popular stocks of the day.

As market is in the middle of current bull market, other out of favour stocks should appreciate in the coming months. These types of neglected stocks should go up due to great value, earnings surprises, turnaround situation and market trend. We find out of favour undervalued stocks almost every sector such as productions, banking, diversify, plantations, Food/poultry and beverages and hotels. They have more value than other stocks in the market. There are cheap and very attractive. It is time to identify great winners in the market.

5winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 12:23 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

6winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 12:56 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Well, if such bonds run about 30 years, annual income earned out of that investment should be registered as interest income earned. That income earned should be reflected in quarterly accounts. If not, in annual accounts with a note given to financial statements.

7winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 2:12 pm

geshan.weerakkody

geshan.weerakkody
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
We're talking last quarter. So no time to make profits.

What i am saying is that they are GOOD stocks. But the quarterly P&L will look bad. Don't expect it to be good.

If you want a good P&L figure for last quarter, choose some other share.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from  30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

8winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 2:32 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:We're talking last quarter. So no time to make profits.

What i am saying is that they are GOOD stocks. But the quarterly P&L will look bad. Don't expect it to be good.

If you want a good P&L figure for last quarter, choose some other share.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from  30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

Have you sold your holdings?

9winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 3:05 pm

jaya


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
VFIN,SFIN,LFIN,PLC,UBC,CDB. BRWN,SEYB

10winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 3:18 pm

geshan.weerakkody

geshan.weerakkody
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I am on medium term hold and decide later.

Previous quarter was a loss and we saw people selling like crazy after high expectations were created and then getting disappointed.

This time also the P&L will be bad (though net assets, etc are good).

What i am saying is don't expect good profits last quarter from these GOOD shares.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:We're talking last quarter. So no time to make profits.

What i am saying is that they are GOOD stocks. But the quarterly P&L will look bad. Don't expect it to be good.

If you want a good P&L figure for last quarter, choose some other share.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from  30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

Have you sold your holdings?

11winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 4:37 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:I am on medium term hold and decide later.

Previous quarter was a loss and we saw people selling like crazy after high expectations were created and then getting disappointed.

This time also the P&L will be bad (though net assets, etc are good).

What i am saying is don't expect good profits last quarter from these GOOD shares.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:We're talking last quarter. So no time to make profits.

What i am saying is that they are GOOD stocks. But the quarterly P&L will look bad. Don't expect it to be good.

If you want a good P&L figure for last quarter, choose some other share.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from  30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

Have you sold your holdings?

People sold this stocks two, three reasons

1)29 January Budget (then after Market down turn
2)27 February CB Bond drama and Bond and Bill rates on UP trend at that time.
3)31.12.2014 quarter is losses. but actually there is no losses bcz unrealized capital losses
they have added that into report. actually no loss for last quarter they have made Rs. 2. if we romove that unrealized capital losses

but now. if 31.03.2015 quarter bad performance. what will out come for 30.06.2015 report.
after another three, four weeks all Unrealized Capital losses will be Capital gain. bcz within another 3, 4 week Annual T-Bill Rates should be below 6.00 (Now 6.39 )

actually any loss we no need to Panic this is good share. I am not expecting losses for 31.03.2015 quarter but they are not making big money.

Just 0.50 - 1.00 Rupees profit

But 30.06.2015 will be Supper quarter

12winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 4:52 pm

geshan.weerakkody

geshan.weerakkody
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Agree.

March quarter very small profits or a loss.

Next quarter will be good (but have to confirm with how the rates change)



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:I am on medium term hold and decide later.

Previous quarter was a loss and we saw people selling like crazy after high expectations were created and then getting disappointed.

This time also the P&L will be bad (though net assets, etc are good).

What i am saying is don't expect good profits last quarter from these GOOD shares.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:We're talking last quarter. So no time to make profits.

What i am saying is that they are GOOD stocks. But the quarterly P&L will look bad. Don't expect it to be good.

If you want a good P&L figure for last quarter, choose some other share.



@stockback wrote:
@geshan.weerakkody wrote:ESL and CFVF - hope people doesn't look at quarterly results and start selling.

Obviously quarterly results won't be good as the interest rate drama took place last quarter

But these are good shares - so if you don't want to see bad quarterly results don't buy (and for people who hold - Sell ! )

about ESL. I think they got some bonds from  30 Years Bond with good rates(You Can think it has a Rummer. maybe true maybe false. believe or not your decision (any problem I am save now)

Example
if they got 200 Millions
additional Capital gain is around 180 Millions for this bond.
I hope they got some bonds from 30 Years Bond

then 31.03.2015 quarters is not Bad.

Maybe I am wrong. we have to wait bit

Have you sold your holdings?

People sold this stocks two, three reasons

1)29 January Budget (then after Market down turn
2)27 February CB Bond drama and Bond and Bill rates on UP trend at that time.
3)31.12.2014 quarter is losses. but actually there is no losses bcz unrealized capital losses
 they have added that into report. actually no loss for last quarter they have made Rs. 2. if we romove that unrealized capital losses

but now. if 31.03.2015 quarter bad performance. what will out come for 30.06.2015 report.
after another three, four weeks all Unrealized Capital losses will be Capital gain. bcz within another 3, 4 week Annual T-Bill Rates should be below 6.00 (Now 6.39 )

actually any loss we no need to Panic this is good share. I am not expecting losses for 31.03.2015 quarter but they are not making big money.

Just 0.50 - 1.00 Rupees  profit

But 30.06.2015 will be Supper quarter

13winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 6:51 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Let me add banks -
SAMP,NTB,COMB,HNB & others.....

14winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 7:23 pm

vimasanno

vimasanno
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Arrow FLCH.N
Arrow PLC
Arrow CLND

Shocked  KEEP ON EYE LIOC

15winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Fri May 01, 2015 7:49 pm

piras

piras
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
SEYB.X, CDB, CRL, OSEA, VFIN, VPEL and VONE

16winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Sat May 02, 2015 10:42 am

thenuwara

thenuwara
Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Guys
for the moment do not bet on ESL as I heard from inside their last Qtr earning not good. I would suggest to wait till release of FIN and with panic selling for few days you can grab around 35+. Next qtr should be OK. Further with impending dissolution in next 2 weeks price will dip. Same goes for CFVF

17winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Sat May 02, 2015 10:46 am

guruji

guruji
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Rates stedily dropping wait

18winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Sat May 02, 2015 11:05 am

raider


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Bonds are valued mark to market not accrued interest so CFVF would have losses on the 30 year bond because the year at 31st March was 11.60% whereas they bought it at 11.22%. On the other hand, ESL bought the bond at 11.94% and 12.11% thus having capital gains on the same bond.

I feel it's better to grab ESL and CFVF at 40s range for the short to medium term or to average as the future earnings look very much on the bright side due to dipping interest rates. For instance, in the current market the 2045 bond trades within a yield band of 10.75-11%. Also, ESL could have easily done some good trading in April to cover up whatever the losses they incurred in during the 30 year bond fiasco. CFVF on the other is quite active in the corporate debt market and their other small businesses would have performed quite satisfactorily.

However, there is substantial risk as there is no clear direction on interest rates at the moment.
Wait for financials if you don't wanna burn your fingers.

19winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Sat May 02, 2015 11:36 am

shadow walker

shadow walker
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Sleep

20winning  stocks  next  week Empty Re: winning stocks next week Sat May 02, 2015 12:07 pm

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
BRR,RFL,BOGA,BLI,SFL.P these stocks very illiquid counter at low price.

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