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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » My analysis of AEL

My analysis of AEL

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1My analysis of AEL Empty My analysis of AEL Tue Jun 30, 2015 11:26 pm

hawklk


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
This analysis is based on fundamentals and not on speculations like MR MS elections etc.....

In my opinion, just looking at one quarterly report doesn't give the full picture of the company. According to my analysis AEL is a fundamentally good company. By considering their past history their figures are as follows

For the last five years

Return on Equity: 18.0%
Payout Ratio: 49.7%
Sustainable Growth 9.0%
        Average P/E Ratio: 12.8
Annually Compounded Rates of Growth (5 year EPS): 18.6%

Based on sustainable growth rate of 9% AEL projected price for this year is around 30. For the next 5 to 10 years it will be around 60 to 100.

Based on AEL's Historical Earnings Growth Rate the projected price or this year is around 40. For the next 5 to 10 years it will be around 140 to 170.

The above figures do not include future subdivision, rights issue, etc....It is only based on the past figures from their annual report. Remember.... this analysis is to give you an idea of the performance of the company and the projected prices are subject to external influences.


Can any of the experts endorse my analysis

2My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 9:26 am

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
My analysis of AEL Ael12

Look at the growth rate in the past.

hawklk, If they grow in that phase in future your targets are easily achivable.

3My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 7:02 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
There are massive infrastructure development projects to get underway in the near future. In this backdrop the future growth in the construction sector would be much higher than that in the past. 

Therefore, AEL being a lead player in this sector is poised to record a significantly higher growth rate in the future. The analysis is based on past growth rate which under the
 aforestated circumstances will not give the true picture.

Hence, the value of the share would appreciate significantly soon after a stable Govt is in place.
In my opinion the price forecast in the analysis is an underestimate.

4My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 7:17 pm

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
samaritan,

Yes what is AEL needed is the political stability in the country who ever govern the country is not a matter to them.

After Aug 17th the AEL will show its strengths. Untill that time collection is going on. Its a matter of 1.5 months.

Will see a boost tomo in the share price for the new announcement as well.

5My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 9:15 pm

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Buy ael with a point of view selling before election finishes.

6My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 9:18 pm

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I have a sale target of 28. I bought this when it was around 20. Wisdom was heavily promoting this month ago but I only invested little bit. Nw I'm regretting that decision.

7My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 9:28 pm

Thushara Ayya

Thushara Ayya
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Definitely the market will lead by AEL from tomorrow... Can you remember the buying pressure from 20/= level to 40/= levels those days...

8My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Wed Jul 01, 2015 9:47 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
In my opinion commenting on the analysis and supporting any arguments with reasoning will gain credibility and serve as a guidance to investors.

9My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Thu Jul 02, 2015 7:24 am

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
AEL will be the talk of the CSE for today and tomorrow.

10My analysis of AEL Empty Re: My analysis of AEL Thu Jul 02, 2015 8:59 am

NZ BOY

NZ BOY
Moderator
Moderator
AEL will lead today Bocz of MR and Their New Investment 

ACCESS ENGINEERING - CORPORATE DISCLOSURE

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/3481435658305_.pdf

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