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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » JKH.N Vs JKH.W22

JKH.N Vs JKH.W22

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1JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 14, 2015 11:42 am

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
Due to linear relationship between JKH.N and JKH.W22, below calculation was made to identify best investment option between the two.

JKH - N
Current Trading Price                        183.00
Cost with Brokerage                        185.05
Cost as at Nov 2015                        190.54
 
Note: interest = Average Weighted Fixed Deposit Rate (AWFDR)  = 7.12%
JKH - W22
Current Trading Price                          20.50
Cost with Brokerage                          20.73
Exercise Price                        161.87
Total cost per Warrant                        182.60
Projected value at Nov 2015                        182.98
Expected Trading value at Nov 2015                          28.67
Profit for five months40%

Currently JKH.W22 is trading undervalue considering the JKH.N  price. 

Buying JKH.N @ 183 ended up with a cost of 190.54 at Nov 2015 and therefore better to buy JKH.W22 at current levels. Considering this, it is worth buying JKH.W22 below 27.8 than buying JKH.N @ 183 as a long term investment.

2JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 14, 2015 3:59 pm

TraderCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Very good analysis. Thanks Investcsesl.

What is the reason investors still buy Jkh.N at 183 without going for w22 at these levels?

3JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 14, 2015 4:17 pm

NZ BOY

NZ BOY
Moderator
Moderator
@investcsesl wrote:Due to linear relationship between JKH.N and JKH.W22, below calculation was made to identify best investment option between the two.

JKH - N
Current Trading Price                        183.00
Cost with Brokerage                        185.05
Cost as at Nov 2015                        190.54
 
Note: interest = Average Weighted Fixed Deposit Rate (AWFDR)  = 7.12%
JKH - W22
Current Trading Price                          20.50
Cost with Brokerage                          20.73
Exercise Price                        161.87
Total cost per Warrant                        182.60
Projected value at Nov 2015                        182.98
Expected Trading value at Nov 2015                          28.67
Profit for five months40%

Currently JKH.W22 is trading undervalue considering the JKH.N  price. 

Buying JKH.N @ 183 ended up with a cost of 190.54 at Nov 2015 and therefore better to buy JKH.W22 at current levels. Considering this, it is worth buying JKH.W22 below 27.8 than buying JKH.N @ 183 as a long term investment.
This Should Move We can see a Good Rally May be Tomorrow

4JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 14, 2015 5:14 pm

anges


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
good calculation but only if it works out as planned ! ppl are looking for consistant dividend paying shares JKH falls under the radar but dividend is just nothing ! which turn share becomes nothing

5JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 14, 2015 6:45 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Buying JKH.N @ 183 ended up with a cost of 190.54 at Nov 2015 and therefore better to buy JKH.W22 at current levels. Considering this, it is worth buying JKH.W22 below 27.8 than buying JKH.N @ 183 as a long term investment.


Calculation is ok and   possibility is there to get such a return.

Meanwhile, an investor should remember if JKH fail below 160 in another four months time he will loss his entire investment in Warrants.  If you buy JKH N @ 185 today  and even it touch 150 in November it will recover in future date to give you your invested amount back with some return too.

I have bought JKH @ 150 and sold it @ 300 twice in my life time. No one should blame me hoping a third attempt.

6JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 15, 2015 1:38 am

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
@Chinwi wrote:

Meanwhile, an investor should remember if JKH fail below 160 in another four months time he will loss his entire investment in Warrants.  If you buy JKH N @ 185 today  and even it touch 150 in November it will recover in future date to give you your invested amount back with some return too.

Chinwi, thanks for your reply. But I can't agree with your above comment. I have analyzed the current situation and recommended best option as of today as a long term investment.

What ever happened to the JKH.N during next 05 months will not effect your investment decision and still option of warrant will give you higher return. Please go through below table.

 JKH.NJKH.W22
Todays Trading Price183.020.5
Today Investment185.0520.73
Trading Price at 04 months160.000.10
Lost at 04 months25.0520.73
Trading Price at Nov 2015150.000.10
Lost at Nov 201535.0520.73
Investment at Nov 20150151.68
   
Total cost per share185.05172.41
 
If the JKH.N share price drop below the conversion rate of warrant at the date of maturity, you can still buy the normal share instead of warrant conversion, with a lesser amount of capital investment.

So JKH.W22 below 27.8 will be better and safer investment than going for JKH.N @ 183 at any circumstances.

7JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 15, 2015 9:23 am

Ok One


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy I love you I love you I love you Arrow Arrow Arrow
Good job......

8JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 15, 2015 9:50 am

TraderCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Then we will have a fun time with JKH.W22 soon....

9JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 15, 2015 10:23 am

TraderCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@investcsesl wrote:
@Chinwi wrote:

Meanwhile, an investor should remember if JKH fail below 160 in another four months time he will loss his entire investment in Warrants.  If you buy JKH N @ 185 today  and even it touch 150 in November it will recover in future date to give you your invested amount back with some return too.

Chinwi, thanks for your reply. But I can't agree with your above comment. I have analyzed the current situation and recommended best option as of today as a long term investment.

What ever happened to the JKH.N during next 05 months will not effect your investment decision and still option of warrant will give you higher return. Please go through below table.

 
 JKH.NJKH.W22
Todays Trading Price183.020.5
Today Investment185.0520.73
Trading Price at 04 months160.000.10
Lost at 04 months25.0520.73
Trading Price at Nov 2015150.000.10
Lost at Nov 201535.0520.73
Investment at Nov 20150151.68
   
Total cost per share185.05172.41
 
If the JKH.N share price drop below the conversion rate of warrant at the date of maturity, you can still buy the normal share instead of warrant conversion, with a lesser amount of capital investment.

So JKH.W22 below 27.8 will be better and safer investment than going for JKH.N @ 183 at any circumstances.

very good one.

But it seems foreigners are not watching SLEF and keep buying Jkh.N @ 183-184 without looking at Jkh.w22 Very Happy

10JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 15, 2015 6:21 pm

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
Change in Foreign Holding of JKH.N & JKH.W22

   
Foreign HoldingJKH.NJKH.W22
DateHoldingChangeHoldingChange
7/8/2015                                  598,720,613                   18,085,204  
7/9/2015                                 598,349,346                               (371,267)         18,085,204  
7/10/2015       598,109,088                               (240,258)         18,085,204  
7/13/2015       598,143,470                                  34,382          18,085,204                                        -  
7/14/2015       598,425,647                                 282,177          18,085,204                                        -  
7/15/2015       598,476,346                                  50,699          18,085,204                                        -  

11JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Thu Jul 16, 2015 9:06 pm

wisdom79

wisdom79
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH w22 is also collecting. I think this will pass 25 soon. Between 20.50 and 21.00 is the price for collecting at the moment.

Time to buy and enjoy but very very risky.

Buy some and enjoy much!

12JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Fri Jul 17, 2015 3:55 am

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
// investcsesl wrote : So JKH.W22 below 27.8 will be
better and safer investment than
going for JKH.N @ 183 at any
circumstances. //

Agreed n good analysis.

But l think this is true only when you consider similer number of shares and warrants.

Normally we go with cash amounts we have to invest. A person who has Rs. 20,000 today will buy 1000 warrants or 100 shares .
@150 in convertion date his loss should be 20,000 and 5000 respectively. (approx)

Hence we have to consider this situation also if we go for big number of warrants. Thankyou.

13JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Fri Jul 17, 2015 4:02 am

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@traderCse,
I think now we can understand why foriegners behave such a way.
(if my above thinking is correct)

14JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Fri Jul 17, 2015 1:00 pm

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
@Chinwi wrote:// investcsesl wrote : So JKH.W22 below 27.8 will be
better and safer investment than
going for JKH.N @ 183 at any
circumstances. //

Agreed n good analysis.

But  l think this is true only when you consider similer number of shares and warrants.

Normally we go with cash amounts we have to invest. A person who has Rs. 20,000 today will buy 1000 warrants or 100 shares .
@150 in convertion date his loss should be 20,000 and 5000 respectively. (approx)

Hence we have to consider this situation also if we go for big number of warrants. Thankyou.

Yes Chinwi, I have compared similar number of shares because I have selected the best option is for long term investment. 

If someone buy huge number of warrants which they cannot afford to convert in to normal share, then the situation is completely different. Still you can have a gain. But need to have better trading skills.

15JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Fri Jul 17, 2015 7:58 pm

wisdom79

wisdom79
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH N is collecting at 83. It will fly soon. Whenever it moves up, it pushes down and start collecting. I know the news but when will they finish collecting!

I think only one collects it, not many.

16JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:26 pm

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
It is a good news that Local collection is at 183-184 levels during last 02 days of net foreign outflow in JKH.

Anytime we can expect a reversal of the current trend in a massive way...

Foreign HoldingJKH.N
DateHoldingChange
7/8/2015       598,720,613  
7/9/2015       598,349,346                  (371,267)
7/10/2015       598,109,088                  (240,258)
7/13/2015       598,143,470                      34,382
7/14/2015       598,425,647                    282,177
7/15/2015       598,476,346                      50,699
7/16/2015       598,412,537                    (63,809)
7/17/2015       598,037,342                  (375,195)


JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Change10

17JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Tue Jul 21, 2015 7:26 pm

investcsesl

investcsesl
Expert
Expert
We have come to an interesting point now. JKH.N foreign sell was absorbed at 183-184 levels and today close at 185.

We can expect foreign inflows in coming days and therefore foreigners have two option to chose JKH.N and JKH.W22. Preferably they will go with JKH.N and therefore can expect a rally towards 190+ and 200+. 

Locals have other option with JKH.W22 which is trading far below the current valuation i.e Rs. 30.75. Then we can expect a mega blast in JKH.W22.

JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Change11

18JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 22, 2015 9:30 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
The Future Government decides JKH's growing....
If a stable Govt comes, there will be foreign inflows....
You know, nowadays JKH facing F.Outflows...

19JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 22, 2015 10:35 am

Ok One


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@investcsesl wrote:We have come to an interesting point now. JKH.N foreign sell was absorbed at 183-184 levels and today close at 185.

We can expect foreign inflows in coming days and therefore foreigners have two option to chose JKH.N and JKH.W22. Preferably they will go with JKH.N and therefore can expect a rally towards 190+ and 200+. 

Locals have other option with JKH.W22 which is trading far below the current valuation i.e Rs. 30.75. Then we can expect a mega blast in JKH.W22.

JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Change11
Thanks  and  good  job ++ I love you I love you I love you

20JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Empty Re: JKH.N Vs JKH.W22 Wed Jul 22, 2015 1:08 pm

TraderCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks lot Investcsesl for your post. I have gained more than 18% profit. +++++ Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

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