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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » How MR could become PM?

How MR could become PM?

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1How MR could become PM? Empty How MR could become PM? Thu Jul 16, 2015 10:55 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
How many seats he has to secure in the elections for him to become PM?

For all others it is 113.

But does 113 is enough for MR?

All other parties contesting elections will not support him. So he has to secure 113 within UPFA. 

But all UPFA MPs will not support him. There will be at least 20 MPs in UPFA who will directly oppose MR as PM. More will abandon him after results.

MR's magical number is not 113, but 133.

So he should steer UPFA to secure at least 133 seats. A daunting and impossible task under present situation.

2How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Thu Jul 16, 2015 11:14 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Tthats true. No chance for him.


_________________




Teller said is said..

3How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Thu Jul 16, 2015 11:25 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
1994 (PA) - 105 seats
2004 (PA + JVP) 105 seats

do you think this Mahinda can get 85 seats now?

already he finished his political career (08 Jan 2015)

My numbers are

(UNP Yahapalanaya ) 119
JVP 15
TNA 16
DNA 1

rest for Mahinda

4How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Thu Jul 16, 2015 11:27 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
If everything goes well, UPFA will fetch about 80 seats, leaving MR less than 60 members to his fold. 

But once those 60 realize MR has no chance to become PM, no one will back him to become leader of the opposition. 

Last time Astrologers destroyed him. This time political opportunists like Wimal,Vasu and Dinesh destroyed him. 

Loosing this election is loosing of Glamour, Respect as former president and lot of other benefits to him for ever.

But the opportunists will achieve their target of becoming MPs, which they couldn't have achieved otherwise.

Good lessons for life!

5How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 8:26 am

Vptilak


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@hariesha wrote:If everything goes well, UPFA will fetch about 80 seats, leaving MR less than 60 members to his fold. 

But once those 60 realize MR has no chance to become PM, no one will back him to become leader of the opposition. 

Last time Astrologers destroyed him. This time political opportunists like Wimal,Vasu and Dinesh destroyed him. 

Loosing this election is loosing of Glamour, Respect as former president and lot of other benefits to him for ever.

But the opportunists will achieve their target of becoming MPs, which they couldn't have achieved otherwise.

Good lessons for life!



My calculations(Including National list) are; UPFA 118,UNP 78, JVP 8, TNA 14, DNA 1, SLMC 3, Other muslim parties 1, Others 2

6How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 10:08 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@Vptilak wrote:
@hariesha wrote:If everything goes well, UPFA will fetch about 80 seats, leaving MR less than 60 members to his fold. 

But once those 60 realize MR has no chance to become PM, no one will back him to become leader of the opposition. 

Last time Astrologers destroyed him. This time political opportunists like Wimal,Vasu and Dinesh destroyed him. 

Loosing this election is loosing of Glamour, Respect as former president and lot of other benefits to him for ever.

But the opportunists will achieve their target of becoming MPs, which they couldn't have achieved otherwise.

Good lessons for life!



My calculations(Including National list) are; UPFA 118,UNP 78, JVP 8, TNA 14, DNA 1, SLMC 3, Other muslim parties 1, Others 2
VPTILAK'S FORECAST LOOKS REALISTIC.

7How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 11:07 am

nalban


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Statistics don't lie.

MR had 58, I have not met anyone who voted MR in Jan now voting UNP or JVP. He may loose a bit in North and East this time. But likely to get more floating votes .

But I have met a lot of people who vote MS now regretting their decision and voting MR  now.

That means MR is poised to get over 5o Lakhs.

Where as MS 62 is going to get divided , TNA 12, JVP-5, SLMC -2 ....so on

Therefore UNP will go below 40 Lakhs .

But seat allocation is quite different in a General election. So there is a good chance MR will take more than 110.
Any counter arguments with logic? No mud please.

8How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 11:47 am

lux2014

lux2014
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@nalban wrote:Statistics don't lie.

MR had 58, I have not met anyone who voted MR in Jan now voting UNP or JVP. He may loose a bit in North and East this time. But likely to get more floating votes .

But I have met a lot of people who vote MS now regretting their decision and voting MR  now.

That means MR is poised to get over 5o Lakhs.

Where as MS 62 is going to get divided , TNA 12, JVP-5, SLMC -2 ....so on

Therefore UNP will go below 40 Lakhs .

But seat allocation is quite different in a General election. So there is a good chance MR will take more than 110.
Any counter arguments with logic? No mud please.

I have met some people who, having voted for MR last time, now say they were fooled by MR and would not vote for him again. But most of them being SLFP or UPFA supporters, will anyway vote for a PA candidate of their choice this time. But the difference is that they will NOT vote for any of MR acolytes (drug, ethanol, crime champions). So, even if PA gets more seats that does not automatically translate into pro MR MPs in the Parliament.

Likewise, those who voted for MY3 last time but are not happy now, will NEVER vote for MR even if they are quite vocal about their disappointment or unhappiness with MY3. That is simply because they already knew what MR was up to.

All in all, I feel UNP and a part of anti-MR faction of UPFA will form a national government with blessings from MY3. Of course, MR can be a back bencher, if he so wishes.

9How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 12:53 pm

Ryan Hudson


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
MR will lead with 125 seats and ranil can celebrate his 31st defeat (Ranil was defeated in 2014 pres election as well by my3, ie ranil didnt contest because of fear psychosis, and ranil will retire from politics on 19th August)

10How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 1:10 pm

GameUP1030

GameUP1030
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@stockback wrote:1994 (PA) - 105 seats
2004 (PA + JVP) 105 seats

do you think this Mahinda can get 85 seats now?

already he finished his political career (08 Jan 2015)

My numbers are

(UNP Yahapalanaya ) 119
JVP 15
TNA 16
DNA 1

rest for Mahinda
This is quiet possible with current trends in politics, sometime JVP may get more than if the public really consider their power of voting behavior. don't get politically angry anyone with me because this is how i feel and i think we shouldn't get upset among us because of the politicians who have never met or seen none of us, and we are friends of this forum. Very Happy

11How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 1:39 pm

TIRAN712

TIRAN712
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
MR TA AKAMATI KAWDA KIYALA DANNAM PAHADILIY, UNP LOKU KARAN INNA SET EKA SINHALA BUDDHIST NEMEI , PULUWANNAM KIYAPALLA ,, Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad   YAKO APITH RATAWAL 40 KA WITARA GIHIN TIYANAWA ME WAGE SUNDARA NIDAHAS RATAK NA ,UNP CHANDE DILA RATA PAWALA DENNA EPA

12How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 1:42 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Very interesting discussion about political world. We have to analyse from 1970 to 2015 to get some interesting idea about political world. Despite so many political problems there had been bull markets in Sri-Lanka even during bomb blasts just like in Pakistan. Remember friends and relatives in the same family also are working for different political parties in Sri-Lanka. So their management style will be same. We are going to see permanent government very soon and once again sidelined government intuitional investors should become active in the market after general election to give more boost to the number one attractive frontier market in Asia.
 

Have a peaceful election and your dream come true by winning your favourite party! Hope my estimation on results also will come true. 

13How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 6:16 pm

lux2014

lux2014
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@TIRAN712 wrote:MR TA AKAMATI KAWDA KIYALA DANNAM PAHADILIY, UNP LOKU KARAN INNA SET EKA SINHALA BUDDHIST NEMEI , PULUWANNAM KIYAPALLA ,, Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad   YAKO APITH RATAWAL 40 KA WITARA GIHIN TIYANAWA ME WAGE SUNDARA NIDAHAS RATAK NA ,UNP CHANDE DILA RATA PAWALA DENNA EPA

Mata hithaaganna puluwan obathuma gihilla thiyena ratawal 40:-

Swaziland
Libya
Moritania
Nigeria
Ethiopia
Zimbabwe
.......
.......
Very Happy

14How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 7:22 pm

TIRAN712

TIRAN712
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Ha HA Ha very funny,,,as a seaman i travel some of you mention to ,, but once unp run this country for 5 years same thing will happen ,,,all above u mention u can see in one country  go to india,,,, lol!

15How MR could become PM? Empty Re: How MR could become PM? Tue Jul 21, 2015 8:15 pm

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@TIRAN712 wrote:Ha HA Ha very funny,,,as a seaman i travel some of you mention to ,, but once unp run this country for 5 years same thing will happen ,,,all above u mention u can see in one country  go to india,,,, lol!
there was another leader same like we had in LK. read this article .

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2014/03/revealing-tunisia-corruption-under-ben-ali-201432785825560542.html

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