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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star

Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star

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1Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sat Jul 25, 2015 10:01 pm

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
PERIODREVENUE EPS NAVPSGEARING GP MARGIN %NP MARGIN %Y TO Y REV GROWTH SHARE PRICE PRICE TO BV 
31-Dec-11    2,124,492     1.70         84.49 27%18%5%             85.10               1.01
31-Mar-12    2,987,253     3.16         87.58 26%19%7%             62.20               0.71
30-Jun-12    2,710,112     1.97         85.96 31%17%5%             55.30               0.64
30-Sep-12    2,892,791     1.36         87.32 33%15%3%             75.00               0.86
31-Dec-12    2,604,061     4.07         90.89 30%22%10%23%            67.40               0.74
31-Mar-13    3,160,102     1.66         95.47 32%13%4%6%            65.50               0.69
30-Jun-13    2,788,302     1.47         96.87 25%15%4%3%            68.50               0.71
30-Sep-13    3,359,939     1.71         97.63 29%14%4%16%            65.20               0.67
31-Dec-13    3,074,397     2.39      100.04 31%17%5%18%            64.90               0.65
31-Mar-14    2,382,208     1.87      101.89 31%23%5%-25%            61.00               0.60
30-Jun-14    2,784,684     0.51      102.33 29%14%2%0%            66.00               0.64
30-Sep-14    3,701,462     2.86      104.48 28%17%5%10%            77.00               0.74
31-Dec-14    4,601,367     3.92      108.42 30%15%6%50%            76.40               0.70
31-Mar-15    3,424,586     7.26      124.72 30%25%14%44%            76.40               0.61
30-Jun-15                   91.00  
         
Notes
ACL is a pretty much undervalued counter as per the above analysis (refer the Price to book value ratio)
Last quarter profit improvement (EPS 7.26) could be mainly due to the drop in the Copper prices and Fuel prices and increase in the revenue
Global copper prices are at a record low level currently and still declining  therefore ACL should be benefiting from this for atleast  next 2 quarters 
Therefore  EPS of Rs 6  or higher for the June quarter can be expected  assuming revenue will stay at same level.
Share price should not be lesser than Rs 130 if ACL can achieve EPS of Rs 6 in June quarter

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Please refer the attached analysis if the above table is not very clear...

This is open for discussion regarding the possible future price...

3Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sun Jul 26, 2015 10:52 pm

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
One of the good counter.
Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

4Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Tue Jul 28, 2015 12:59 pm

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
ACL slowly heading north..........

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@roshana7549 wrote:ACL slowly heading north..........
don't you think after dividends this may fall little bit

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
My friend, you are talking about Rs 2 drop which will be temporary, If this share post a good profit for this quarter, this share will have a very strong upside potential...
I m taking about very high possible capital gain..

If you can remember the LWL before releasing the March quarter results, it was in the same stage as ACL right now, just after the results were out LWL shoot upto 120's
SDB was another example......

Identifying and entering at the correct phase is the best way to minimize the risk in the investment... I think ACL is in that stage.....

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Today Touched 100 Very Happy Very Happy

8Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Wed Jul 29, 2015 11:04 pm

dmjesua


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
KCAB also shows strong growth. It is slowly getting energy...

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Today it reached Rs 106, gradually moving towards the target.... Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

10Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Tue Aug 04, 2015 7:45 pm

newone


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
What happen appla

11Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Wed Aug 05, 2015 10:02 am

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Watch out for ACL.... Now it is heating up a bit, now the price is 107.50

12Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Wed Aug 05, 2015 10:04 am

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
NOW RS 110

13Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sun Aug 09, 2015 5:37 pm

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Will ACL go down further next week.

14Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Mon Aug 10, 2015 12:19 am

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
It has not gone down, it will go up further.... Very Happy Very Happy

15Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Tue Aug 11, 2015 6:26 pm

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Touched Rs 115, Still got long way to go........Check the above anaylsis for more information....

16Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Tue Aug 11, 2015 6:50 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@roshana7549 wrote:Touched Rs 115, Still got long way to go........Check the above anaylsis for more information....

Today, ACL Plastic's rally start! An under Valued Counter! Check it! NAV : 190.61, EPS : 8.13 by March 2015,
Now in 152.00
A very Good Quarter Report to be expected!
Today Rally Start : 142.00 - 152.00...

17Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Tue Aug 11, 2015 7:01 pm

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Yep good Counter, However we can expect more profits from the parent company since Transfer pricing arrangements are decided by the Parent and benefits from Copper price decline will directly benefit Kelani cables and ACL....

18Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sat Aug 15, 2015 12:01 am

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Yahapalanaya wrote:One of the good counter.
Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad
Here Guys,

Quarterly EPS 4.41
Anualized EPS 17.64

NAV 127

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

19Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sat Aug 15, 2015 5:45 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Lot of stocks have good potential due to great value and strong outlook.

20Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Empty Re: Analysis of ACL - Possible Future star Sat Aug 15, 2015 7:23 pm

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Yahapalanaya wrote:
@Yahapalanaya wrote:One of the good counter.
Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad
Here Guys,

Quarterly EPS 4.41
Anualized EPS 17.64

NAV 127

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
Annualized EPS will further improve in next few quarters since Global copper prices still going down....
This will be a star in next few months....

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