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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » WHAT ARE THE EXPECTING PRICES OF GRAN, TAFL & BFL?

WHAT ARE THE EXPECTING PRICES OF GRAN, TAFL & BFL?

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peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
The expecting prices of GRAN, TAFL & BFL



[size=16]Current price of GRAN  =  
 65.00 
Current price of TAFL   =   83.00 
Current price of BFL     = 140.00
                            &
1st Qtr EPS  of GRAN    =2.80
1st  Qtr EPS  of TAFL    =3.35
1st  Qtr EPS  of BFL      =5.93


Expecting Annual EPS  of GRAN   =2.80 X 4
                                                =11.20


Expecting Annual EPS  of TAFL    =3.35 X 4
                                                =13.40


Expecting Annual EPS  of BFL      =5.93 X 4
                                                =23.72


Now...
If we put 20 for PE, ( I think 20 is not too big!)


GRAN will be  =11.20  X 20      =  224.00
TAFL will be   =13.40  X 20      =  268.00
BFL will be     =23.72  X 20      =  474.00



Guys, Don't think that, this is a mathematical calculation! We know it can be possible! I think They will be rise up those price levels during the next Bull Market!


[/size]
Dear Experts,

what is your humble opinion...?

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
All three have great value, momentum and strong outlook. It is time to do more home work on them.It is better to analyse and estimate earnings for  more than one quarters to get better decisions. Which one do you think will have strong momentum?

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/TAFLN/charts?chartType=advanced&countryCode=LK

TAFL

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Stock/GRANN/charts?chartType=advanced&countryCode=LK

GRAN

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Stock/BFLN/charts?chartType=advanced&countryCode=LK

BFL

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
From now onwards there could be competition among poultry stocks in their major uptrend. BFL, TAFL and GRAN. This group has strong bullish pattern now. It has become one of the bullish groups in the market. We should see more bullish groups in the remaining stages of current bull market. It is time to identify them as well. After sometime when a stock passes certain prices it is time to become more bullish.
 
Their 52 week high can break again and again as they have attractive valuation, momentum, future earnings and strong outlook in their industry.
 
It is time to do more home work on these types of winning stocks in the market. May be these type of  stocks could become hot stocks in 2016/17.

sachee


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Value pick, Is this current BFL price is good to add another BFL shares into my protfolio pls share your idea

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Yes. TAFL will break 52 weeks high line again & again in coming days & months. Currently TAFL is worth minimum of 12 EPS for 2015/16 into 10x PER = Rs.120/-
I think in short term run TAFL will break Rs.120/- barrier in soon. But, I like to see with strong poultry rally TAFL to break 12 EPS x minimum 12 PER = Rs.144/-

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@sachee wrote:Value pick, Is this current BFL price is good to add another BFL shares into my protfolio pls share your idea
BFL has very bullish pattern now. I am seeing this after long time. It went up buy Rs.9 (more than 5%) in two consecutive days. It didn’t go up by trading few shares. It traded on a volume of 194,385 BFL shares today. Something is cooking in this stock now.
 
We are sharing our ideas here. I cannot advise to buy and sell stocks. It is always better to do some home work before buying and selling stocks. Investors are expecting strong results.  We will wait and see. Don’t rush to buy and sell stocks in bull market. If we can find out and estimate following:
 
Expected strong earnings
Positive industry outlook
Breaking 52 week high again and again
Very bullish pattern in the group
Strong momentum
Strong bullish pattern
 
Then we should grab from our both hands. In this bull market there will be great winning stocks. 

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@EPS wrote:Yes. TAFL will break 52 weeks high line again & again in coming days & months. Currently TAFL is worth minimum of 12 EPS for 2015/16 into 10x PER = Rs.120/-
I think in short term run TAFL will break Rs.120/- barrier in soon. But, I like to see with strong poultry rally TAFL to break 12 EPS x minimum 12 PER = Rs.144/-
It has become one of the bullish stocks in the market. Lot of strong stocks will become stronger.
Today it wend up by Rs.7.30(more than 8%) on a volume of 214,442 shares. we are seeing bullish pattern in stocks.

sachee


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@VALUEPICK wrote:
@sachee wrote:Value pick, Is this current BFL price is good to add another BFL shares into my protfolio pls share your idea
BFL has very bullish pattern now. I am seeing this after long time. It went up buy Rs.9 (more than 5%) in two consecutive days. It didn’t go up by trading few shares. It traded on a volume of 194,385 BFL shares today. Something is cooking in this stock now.
 
We are sharing our ideas here. I cannot advise to buy and sell stocks. It is always better to do some home work before buying and selling stocks. Investors are expecting strong results.  We will wait and see. Don’t rush to buy and sell stocks in bull market. If we can find out and estimate following:
 
Expected strong earnings
Positive industry outlook
Breaking 52 week high again and again
Very bullish pattern in the group
Strong momentum
Strong bullish pattern
 
Then we should grab from our both hands. In this bull market there will be great winning stocks. 
Thnx lots for ur valuable idea

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@sachee wrote:
@VALUEPICK wrote:
@sachee wrote:Value pick, Is this current BFL price is good to add another BFL shares into my protfolio pls share your idea
BFL has very bullish pattern now. I am seeing this after long time. It went up buy Rs.9 (more than 5%) in two consecutive days. It didn’t go up by trading few shares. It traded on a volume of 194,385 BFL shares today. Something is cooking in this stock now.
 
We are sharing our ideas here. I cannot advise to buy and sell stocks. It is always better to do some home work before buying and selling stocks. Investors are expecting strong results.  We will wait and see. Don’t rush to buy and sell stocks in bull market. If we can find out and estimate following:
 
Expected strong earnings
Positive industry outlook
Breaking 52 week high again and again
Very bullish pattern in the group
Strong momentum
Strong bullish pattern
 
Then we should grab from our both hands. In this bull market there will be great winning stocks. 
Thnx lots for ur valuable idea
Stock prices never go straight up even for extremely bullish stocks. We should always target future stock prices and future earnings. Current stocks prices are not that important. As this bull market has more legs we should see further upside for many stocks. Poultry group is one of the future bullish groups in the market. We should see more demand for defensive stocks such as food related and health care relates stocks in the remaining stages of current bull market especially during the latter part of bull market and beyond that.
 
Good luck!

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Some investors change their value gems to scraps. This is a painfil scenario. You should have a trust on your holdings.


_________________




Teller said is said..

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@Teller wrote:Some investors change their value gems to scraps. This is a painfil scenario. You should have a trust on your holdings.  
Yes. We have to have faith on our stocks that we are holding.  I like to keep at least one golden egg in my basket. We have to accept that some stocks are coming out of their bases and they are forming their strong intermediate uptrend. We should go behind those stocks now. Future earnings will drive stock prices further. Thank you for some information on some stocks. More we do research on our stocks more we will benefit.

rizan666


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Everyday market sentiments does not matter. We are investors and not day traders to worry about daily prices fluctuating. You know the future value of the stocks. Hold on to your poultry stocks and you will see the prices shooting high. Frankly speaking my entire PF is poultry only. BFL 85% and GRAN 15% after seeing the bullish trend and news on poultry, especially BFL is a silent Volcano.

kashyapa89


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
GRAN 85

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@rizan666 wrote:Everyday market sentiments does not matter. We are investors and not day traders to worry about daily prices fluctuating. You know the future value of the stocks. Hold on to your poultry stocks and you will see the prices shooting high. Frankly speaking my entire PF is poultry only. BFL 85% and GRAN 15% after seeing the bullish trend and news on poultry, especially BFL is a silent Volcano.
This industry has strong outlook now. Who will be supper winner this time?

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
to me , it seems TAFL will gives maximum return.
But, we can not forget BFL. if BFL produced more than 5 EPS for current quarter, then they will produce more than 20 or 25 EPS for 2015/16. So, can expect BFL to trade above Rs.250/- in coming months.
If, TAFL produced 12 around or more EPS for 2015/16, price will above Rs.150/-.
Will see in coming quarters.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@EPS wrote:to me , it seems TAFL will gives maximum return.
But, we can not forget BFL. if BFL produced more than 5 EPS for current quarter, then they will produce more than 20 or 25 EPS for 2015/16. So, can expect BFL to trade above Rs.250/- in coming months.
If, TAFL produced 12 around or more EPS for 2015/16, price will above Rs.150/-.
Will see in coming quarters.
I agree with you because of their earnings, industry outlook and strong market situation.  We should see bigger move in stocks in the remaining stages of current bull market.
 
GRAN had strong breakout. After that it is having uptrend. TAFL is having its own strong uptrend. Volume building is also strong for them. BFL had initial accumulation around Rs.120/128 and after that, to my surprise it traded below Rs.120. However, it also became a bullish stock after passing Rs.130/140 and 150. It also has some volume building. In short, all three are preparing for their next move.
 
I am expecting strong results from strong companies.

Suppose

  • TAFL quarterly EPS to be around 4 or around 5
  • BFL quarterly EPS to be around 6 or around 8
  • How about if both report quarterly  EPS  around 5 or 6

On that scenario what is your target? It should base on the valuation, future outlook and future earnings as well.

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
VALUEPICk what will be GRAN EPS. I am expecting around 4

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
We can expect around 3 or 4. TAFL should produce higher EPS than GRAN in the current financial year. However, strong performance of TAFL means it is good for GRAN as well. We will wait and see. We can estimate and become optimistic not only on our stocks but also on stock market. Strong stock market means strong stock prices.

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
GRAN will pick up from tommorrow.It is normal that small fluctuations will occur  and next phase of run is very near.next target is 80 before reports

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thank you everybody for sharing your valuable opinions here!
Good day! Good trade!!

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