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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » BFL Has more potential to reach 237

BFL Has more potential to reach 237

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1BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Mon Aug 03, 2015 9:59 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
BFL Has more potential to reach 237/- rupees in a very short of a time. GRAN,TAFL&BFL are the listed entities while CIC has some contribution too in the poultry sector. BFL Is the market leader past,present and future in terms of revenue,profit as well as customer base. GRAN owns 57% of TAFL and operations are running smoothly in recent present. But I can remember few years back TAFL had huge losses but changed totally at the moment. In 2011 BFL Traded 500/ plus while GRAN & TAFL Traded 250 plus. BFL was the leader to push TAFL & GRAN Prices during the time. When it comes to today scenario GRAN & TAFL Started its own rallies but its wondering BFL was little silent at the moment. BFL has the best balance sheet in the industry with no debt as well as highest retained earnings in hand. Only 16 Mn Shares are in the market even 75% holdings are not available trading. 25% public holding Which is nearly 4 million available to trade. In the recent rally TAFL reached 30-----80/-, GRAN reach to 35 to 66/-, but BFL 115 To 140/??????. so is it reasonable to trade this market leader at these levels????so the prices must be adjusted accordingly with in few days.

The expecting growth of GRAN, TAFL & BFL
(The expecting Rise up of GRAN, TAFL & BFL)


Current price of GRAN  =   65.00 
Current price of TAFL   =   83.00 
Current price of BFL     = 140.00
                            &
1st Qtr EPS  of GRAN    =2.80
1st  Qtr EPS  of TAFL    =3.35
1st  Qtr EPS  of BFL      =5.93


Expecting Annual EPS  of GRAN   =2.80 X 4
=11.20


Expecting Annual EPS  of TAFL    =3.35 X 4
=13.40


Expecting Annual EPS  of BFL      =5.93 X 4 ( next 2 quarter possible qarterly eps 10 or higher)
=23.72


Now.. very very discounted PE 10X (this should be nearly 22X)

GRAN will be  =11.20  X10  =  112.00
TAFL will be   =13.40  X 10   =  134.00
BFL will be  =23.72  X 10  =  237.00, when we compare with the net asset value,BFL has the highest net asset value for a share(Rs.122.26 but Tafl and gran around 50/-) even BFL has a more chance for a capitalization reserve or a share split too. Finally use your brain and buy BFL as much as you can. GRAN and TAFL appreciated almost 100% from its bottom level but BFL only 20% appreciated in current market. There is another 80% to expand it to very soon of 200 plus. When it compares with my PV charts it must jump to 184/- levels with highly bullish trend. also dont forget rs.175_185/- levels are the average price for most of the holders. So its really easy to push the prices with in minutes. BFL Can maintain a good EPS for as only 16mn shares issued. After they completed their animal
feed production factory
will strengthen the Group
in the poultry sector. Once
the feedmill is completed,
which is expected to be
in the 3rd quarter of the
ensuing year, they will have
almost a totally vertically
integrated poultry production
operation. in that scenario BFL will touch its life time highest before ending of this year. So i hope intelligent investors will switch their GRAN & TAFL to BFL As its attraction. I expect the history will be repeated with in soon. Good luck.

2BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Mon Aug 03, 2015 12:23 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
GRAN & TAFL almost reached 100% gain from its bottom but BFL Only 20% from its bottom. This time it will pass 180/- definitely before its quarter reports. Retained earnings,share holder funds,less debt, Expected annual EPS above 50/-, good net asset value,peg ratio are the best in this stock.


_________________




Teller said is said..

3BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Mon Aug 03, 2015 12:30 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:BFL Has more potential to reach 237/- rupees in a very short of a time.  GRAN,TAFL&BFL are the listed entities while CIC has some contribution too in the poultry sector.  BFL Is the market leader past,present and future in terms of revenue,profit as well as customer base. GRAN owns 57% of TAFL and operations are running smoothly in recent present. But I can remember few years back TAFL had huge losses but changed totally at the moment. In 2011 BFL Traded 500/ plus while GRAN & TAFL Traded 250 plus.  BFL was the leader to push TAFL & GRAN Prices during the time. When it comes to today scenario GRAN & TAFL Started its own rallies but its wondering BFL was little silent at the moment. BFL has the best balance sheet in the industry with no debt as well as highest retained earnings in hand. Only 16 Mn Shares are in the market even 75% holdings are not available trading. 25% public holding  Which is nearly 4 million available to trade.  In the recent rally TAFL reached 30-----80/-, GRAN reach to 35 to 66/-, but BFL 115 To 140/??????. so is it reasonable to trade this market leader at these levels????so the prices must be adjusted accordingly with in few days.

The expecting growth of GRAN, TAFL & BFL
(The expecting Rise up of GRAN, TAFL & BFL)


Current price of GRAN  =   65.00 
Current price of TAFL   =   83.00 
Current price of BFL     = 140.00
                            &
1st Qtr EPS  of GRAN    =2.80
1st  Qtr EPS  of TAFL    =3.35
1st  Qtr EPS  of BFL      =5.93


Expecting Annual EPS  of GRAN   =2.80 X 4
=11.20


Expecting Annual EPS  of TAFL    =3.35 X 4
   =13.40


Expecting Annual EPS  of BFL      =5.93 X 4 ( next 2 quarter possible qarterly eps 10 or higher)
=23.72


Now.. very very discounted PE  10X (this should be nearly 22X)

GRAN will be  =11.20  X10  =  112.00
TAFL will be   =13.40  X 10   =  134.00
BFL will be  =23.72  X 10  =  237.00,    when we compare with the net asset value,BFL has the highest net asset value for a share(Rs.122.26 but Tafl and gran around 50/-) even BFL has a more chance for a capitalization reserve or a share  split too. Finally use your brain and buy BFL as much as you can. GRAN and TAFL appreciated almost 100%  from its bottom level but BFL only 20% appreciated in current market. There is another 80% to expand it to very soon of   200 plus. When it compares with my PV charts it must jump to 184/- levels with highly bullish trend. also dont forget rs.175_185/- levels are the average price for most of the holders.   So its really easy to push the prices with in minutes. BFL Can maintain a good EPS for as only 16mn shares issued. After they completed their  animal
feed production factory
will strengthen the Group
in the poultry sector. Once
the feedmill is completed,
which is expected to be
in the 3rd quarter of the
ensuing year, they will have
almost a totally vertically
integrated poultry production
operation. in that scenario BFL will touch its life time highest before ending of this year. So i hope  intelligent investors will switch their GRAN & TAFL to BFL As its attraction. I expect the  history will be repeated with in soon. Good luck.

I agree with you cent percent Dear Teller!

4BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Mon Aug 03, 2015 12:37 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:GRAN & TAFL almost reached 100% gain from its bottom but BFL Only 20% from its bottom. This time it will pass 180/- definitely before its quarter reports...............

Yeah! I hope so! May be a break out during the next Bull Market!!
If the BFL share holders keep that stock for a short period they may get a good gain!
Same to the GRAN & TAFL share holders also!

5BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Wed Aug 05, 2015 10:24 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
I feel most of the members got some profit even i got 3-4 thanking calls from my friends. So definitely BFL.will reach 185 /- levels in this week and 237/- is not a miracle for them. When BFL trades @ 140, my PV graphs shows its bullish patterns so thats the reason i recommended it. These bullish pattern will continue until it reaches to 185/- and later with financials or foriegn buying ahnoucement can lead this to 225/- easily.


_________________




Teller said is said..

6BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 7:57 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
We have to more bullish  on BFL now.  It has the greatest value than other two poultry stocks. June quarter EPS is 9.02 ,


_________________




Teller said is said..

7BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 8:11 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/452_1439550628444.pdf

BFL is so under value now. Other poultry stock prices should drop compare with BFL earnings. Other wise BFL should reach more than 300/- rupees.
BFL annual EPS can pass Rs.30 rupees. Compare with BFL earnings, GRAN & TAFL looks over value now. Its amazing stage now.


_________________




Teller said is said..

8BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 9:48 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/452_1439550628444.pdf

BFL is so under value now.  Other poultry stock  prices should drop compare  with BFL earnings. Other wise BFL should reach more than 300/- rupees.  
BFL annual EPS can pass Rs.30 rupees.  Compare with BFL earnings, GRAN & TAFL looks over value now. Its amazing stage now.

I am not agree with this "GRAN & TAFL looks over value now"

if you saying BFL value is 300 then TAFL should be over 170, GRAN should be 110

thats the equitation, you used P/E ratio 10, then calculate according other two also. don be selfish this stage. we all promote chicken stocks.

9BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 9:53 pm

sandunj


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Technically all poultry stocks should move. cheers

10BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 10:03 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@sandunj wrote:Technically all poultry stocks should move. cheers
If BFL starts to run, other two counters also will follow it.

11BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 10:04 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/452_1439550628444.pdf

BFL is so under value now.  Other poultry stock  prices should drop compare  with BFL earnings. Other wise BFL should reach more than 300/- rupees.  
BFL annual EPS can pass Rs.30 rupees.  Compare with BFL earnings, GRAN & TAFL looks over value now. Its amazing stage now.


if you think BFL Value 300, then TAFL 170 and GRAN 110

if we invest

BFL 81% returns
TAFL 78% returns
GRAN 66%

its not a meaning TAFL and GRAN over value.

compare with BFL
Net assets Factor 300/129 = 2.32 (PBV of BFL)

GRAN = 52.5*2.32  = 121
TAFL = 54 * 2.32 = 125

TAFL bit week compare with net assets. but Quarter EPS / Net assets

BFL 6.9%
GRAN 4.7%
TAFL  8.3%

and TAFL perform very well during bad time periods compare with BFL and GRAN

these calculations assume BFL =300, TAFL =170, GRAN = 110, and P/E ratio = 10

my idea is these three are good, TAFL and BFL are narrowly equal. GRAn we can expect something around 110. if P/E ratio 10

but chicken P/E ratio going to 20 when they perform well. at that time we can think about all times High



Last edited by stockback on Fri Aug 14, 2015 10:41 pm; edited 1 time in total

12BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 14, 2015 10:08 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Best expansion stock out of BFL, GRAN, TAFL

TAFL bit week compare with net assets. but Quarter EPS / Net assets
BFL 6.9%
GRAN 4.7%
TAFL  8.3%

in this case TAFL is doing well,

13BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Sun Aug 16, 2015 8:04 pm

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
BFL should touch Rs200 levels immediately.

TAFL - Rs120 levels and GRAN Rs80 -90 levels.

14BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 21, 2015 6:02 pm

Nuwan Prasad


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1371440155168_.pdf

15BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 21, 2015 6:33 pm

freebee wills

freebee wills
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
keeyak dunnath...... matanam beha kukullo maranna. pale

16BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 21, 2015 6:42 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Nuwan Prasad wrote:http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1371440155168_.pdf


I think that is not a big Issue. I am on (XXXX) 20 share holder list. if i want sale my stocks i will sale. that is not a meaning of inside info. people has a write to sale or hold there stocks. every thing depend on personal gain or personal needs.

17BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Fri Aug 21, 2015 6:43 pm

SLBOY


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Nuwan Prasad wrote:http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/1371440155168_.pdf
He may hav some financial difficulties. .. lol!

18BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Tue Oct 20, 2015 6:01 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
The person who blamed me will worry too much today as BFL recrded near 9.00 rupees EPS  for september quarter. I kept silent during last one month of time as he blamed critically for my  BFL predictions. Now my dear friend see who is the right at the moment. A good stock we dont want any promotions.... i am holding 48,540 BFL Shares at the moment. Itrust my self,my knowledge,...


_________________




Teller said is said..

19BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Tue Oct 20, 2015 6:13 pm

kumarweerarathne

kumarweerarathne
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Well done U R dead correct on BLF.. May ur BLI prediction also da same.

20BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Empty Re: BFL Has more potential to reach 237 Tue Oct 20, 2015 6:17 pm

AUS79


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Teller predicted about BFL well in advance with good analysis....I really took the point......Great work Teller, Thanks a lot.....BFL all the way to 300+.......GL

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