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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » General Election 2015 - My analysis result

General Election 2015 - My analysis result

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Yahapalanaya


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@stockback wrote:this election result is combination off 2001 and 1989 general election

2001
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sri_Lankan_parliamentary_election,_2001

1989
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sri_Lankan_parliamentary_election,_1989

2015 PE and Provinsal councial elections result cannot compare with new situation

example 1988 PE election ekedi R. Premadasa Mahatha yanthamin 50.43%

1989 Parliment election
UNP 50.71%

habai Mathinige chanda prathishathaya 45% sita 32% watuna

ehenam me chandedi Maindage chanda prathishathaya wishala washayen watenawa.

mage target eke mahinda gani laksa 35 - 40 athara pramanayak Akeng Maithirige 20 laksa adu karanna 
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

Vptilak


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@piyalpy wrote:Smile It is totally mathematical analysis. If you have better analysis, tell me where I went wrong. Otherwise, your opinion/analysis/thoughts is invalid. That can't be a professional analysis but an analysis based on one's fantasies.

Good work. If some one has deference view he/she can come up with facts based on statistics.

EquityChamp


Moderator
Moderator
Public opinion may not be completely mirrored through a statistical analysis performed on a set of historical data. Best way is to conduct opinion surveys. I have shared few of those in my earlier post. Any one can refer to that.

shadow walker


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
are you dreaming...

Jiggysaurus


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@sureshot wrote:affraid  

Colombo..... No chance for Beetle Leaf this time.

May be an error on the mathematical Formula applied.


How about One shot's chances in Katana?

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Aggressive stance & conflict between former president & the incumbent cause to split some votes on the brink of election.

It advocates current balancing factor in election campaign vulnerable while enthusiasm is faltering.

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
එක මනුස්සයෙක් කලින් පැවැත්වූ චන්ද වල අගයයන් මත අනාගතය ගණනය කරනව​.
ඒක හරියට අපි කලින් කාර්තු වල EPS PER අනුව ලබන කන්නය හදාගෙන කොටස් ගන්නද එපාද කියා තීරණය කරනව වගේ. එහි පිලිගත් පදනමක් තියෙනව​.  
කොටස් වලට බලපාන   කාරනා නිසා ලබන කාර්තුව අපි ගණනය කල ප්‍රමාණයට වඩා අඩු වැඩි වෙන්නත් පුලුවන් වගේ මේකෙත් වෙනස් කම් වෙන්න පුලුවන්.

මේ ප්‍රථිපල තමන් ගේ ආසාවට නොගැලපෙන අය කිසිම පදනමක් පෙන්වන්නේ නැතුව වැරදියි කියනව​. .

මේක කරපු මනුස්සයා පුණ පුණා කියනව මේ අගයයන් ගත්තෙ කොහොමද කියල​.
ඉතින් වැරදි නම් තමන් ගණනය කළ ඒව දාන්න​.

පසුගිය ජනපති වරනේදී පවා යූඑන්පීය පැරදුනා ආසන මට්ටමින්. ඒකත් බොරුද ?
සමහර විට මේ සැරේ දිනනව ඇති. තව දින දෙක තුනයි නේ.
කවුරුත් පදනමක් පෙන්වන්නේ නැතුව​ කියන ඒව කියන්නේ  තමන් ගේ ආසාවට අනුව​.

TIRAN712

TIRAN712
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
MR WILL WIN EASILY NO WORRY,,, BUY SOME AEL ,,NEXT WEEK CAN MAKE HUGE PROFIT NO RISK ,,,FRIDAY I GOT SOME MONDAY LAST DAY DON,T WAIT TILL RESULT ,,,,,,  Very Happy

roshana7549


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
MR got a very little chance to win.... anyway AEL is a good counter

thilankad

thilankad
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
117 Seats to UPFA ???????  Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing

http://thilankadinush.blogspot.com/

kumarweerarathne

kumarweerarathne
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
UPFA GET ONLY 85

dmjesua


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Anyway Upfa will get more seats than unp. But not majority as expected 113. M'S is the one have power to get minority support rather than MR. So,  he will demand SLFP to select another person as PM. He can't call unp for government. He won't like SLFP to be powerless. Finally, there will be slfp government without MR with minority support.

fireshelter

fireshelter
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
117 have you gone mad

ara6169


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Tks prediction will be close with real results.

UNP-105
UPFA-89
JVP-16
TNA-14
DP-01

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ara6169 wrote:Tks prediction will be close with real results.

UNP-105
UPFA-89
JVP-16
TNA-14
DP-01
no one get 50%

ara6169


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Nis2010
yes 100% sure.... but now upfa list with my3's hand( i guess 10 members). Soo they will join with unp n upfa gembo rule the country.

Jiggysaurus

Jiggysaurus
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Jiggysaurus wrote:
@sureshot wrote:affraid  

Colombo..... No chance for Beetle Leaf this time.

May be an error on the mathematical Formula applied.


How about One shot's chances in Katana?


How one shot wins Katana and Gampaha

sureshot

sureshot
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
EAST  or West    RANIL  is the best.....
Katana  or Kandana  UNP is first


elephant  U N P  elephant

Jiggysaurus

Jiggysaurus
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@sureshot wrote:EAST  or West    RANIL  is the best.....
Katana  or Kandana  UNP is first


elephant  U N P  elephant



Then your dead ropes can come alive after so many years? Time to start the promotions business?

sureshot

sureshot
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
not only my dead ropes ......
Ranils dead rope also came alive after many years ne ?

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