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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » What will happen to the Chicken run ?

What will happen to the Chicken run ?

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21What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sat Sep 05, 2015 9:33 am

VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert
@peacockman wrote:in my cart....
1. LIOC
2. LGL NOOO & ZOOO
3. OSEA
4. TYRE
5. SIRA
6. VPEL
7. VLL
8. HPWR
9. DIPD
10.LCEM
11.ACL

12.BFL
13.GRAN
    &
14.TAFL

Dear Guys,
any comments...?
Some of above stocks are attractive on valuation and outlook. One or two stocks of above list could have supper run due to strong outlook. We need to do more home work to find out some supper winners in the market. We need further study on stocks which can have strong outlook in their industry to identify opportunities before others.
 
We will see all types of rallies in the remaining stages of current bull market. Just like some  other stocks, poultry stocks also are having rally while having some pause and minor volatility time to time. We should stay bullish on stocks as long as major bull market is intact. It is time to identify variety of stocks having great outlook.

22What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sat Sep 05, 2015 9:47 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thanks Dear V.P!

23What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sat Sep 05, 2015 9:54 am

VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert
We cannot predict top of any stocks until we see end of great bull market. It is normal to break all time high in bull markets. Even in global markets some top analysts are forecasting all time high for some indexes during next t four months.
 
When a company maintain higher ROE, strong earnings and cash flow etc it  will pass all time high in bull markets. I am seeing them in few listed companies  in the CSE. We should identify at least one great winner.

24What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sat Sep 05, 2015 10:32 am

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Good analysis Valuepick and what is your prediction on
LIOC OSEA AND CHICKEN ?

25What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sat Sep 05, 2015 10:51 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@sureshot wrote:THEY  ARE SAFE INSIDE THE FREEZER   :D

NO. CHICKEN IS VERY MUCH ALIVE!

FINDS A WAY OUT OF TRAFFIC:

 What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 2Q==What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Icon_lolWhat will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Icon_lolWhat will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Icon_lol

26What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 9:53 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@ChateauC wrote:Good analysis Valuepick and what is your prediction on
LIOC OSEA AND CHICKEN ?
It is interesting to see that you are following three different types of industries.

LIOC
 
It was one of the early movers in the market and it went up and then had a correction. It is getting investor interests again isn’t it?
 
OSEA
 
It is one of early movers in the current bull market. Sorry, lately I didn’t follow it.
 
Chicken rally
 
They are one of the latest movers in the market due to strong outlook. Just like other stocks they also have an uptrend in this bull market.
 
When we see storing outlook in any industry especially in bull markets their share prices will go up while having short term pause time to time. It is time to prepare for remaining stages of current bull market.  There will be more demand for defensive stocks such as food and health related stocks during latter stage of bull market. Short term political uncertainty is also over. Transfer of power is very smooth in Sri-Lanka. It brings investor confidence.

27What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 1:52 pm

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@valuepick
Thanks very much, and I will add aomething to OSEA
Since OSEA is in real estate business they can expect some good cash flow, Havelock city has not been advertised well yet, good share but not buy at this price , try to buy when it hits low, can gain a good profit.

28What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 7:51 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@ChateauC wrote:@valuepick
Thanks very much, and I will add aomething to OSEA
Since OSEA is in real estate business they can expect some good cash flow, Havelock city has not been advertised well yet, good share but not buy at this price , try to buy when it hits low, can gain a good profit.
No Dear, OCEA :- current level (23.60) is good to enter!
Let us see it's YTD Chart....


What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Big

29What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 9:58 pm

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@peacockman
Hmm pretty ...

30What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 10:05 pm

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@peacockman wrote:
@ChateauC wrote:@valuepick
Thanks very much, and I will add aomething to OSEA
Since OSEA is in real estate business they can expect some good cash flow, Havelock city has not been advertised well yet, good share but not buy at this price , try to buy when it hits low, can gain a good profit.
No Dear, OCEA :- current level (23.60) is good to enter!
Let us see it's YTD Chart....


What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Big
OSEA is leader in real estate sector  and currently undervalued share.Soon it will give good return.

drunken drunken drunken

31What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Sun Sep 06, 2015 10:13 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
3rd quarter financials will be more positive for poultry sector. Who ever buy in these levels are real winners.


_________________




Teller said is said..

32What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 1:02 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@ChateauC wrote:@valuepick
Thanks very much, and I will add aomething to OSEA
Since OSEA is in real estate business they can expect some good cash flow, Havelock city has not been advertised well yet, good share but not buy at this price , try to buy when it hits low, can gain a good profit.
Thank you for your good advice. What are the other stocks in your mind?

33What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 1:12 pm

Hawk Eye

Hawk Eye
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Last 02 Qtrs very promising for Poultry Sector. If they produce similar results for next Qtr, its definitely going to take Poultry sector to new levels.

Lot of factors going to impact positively and negatively on this sector. Will post a detailed report soon. Few factor i keep tab on are the increasing income levels and purchasing power of people and the tourists arrival growth...and lot more to be considered 

September Qtr results will signal to enter or not

34What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 1:48 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
When we take decisions on this sector we have to study some other factors including falling commodity prices, individual strength in each company, their market share here and in regional markets, growth, and future prospects including bigger picture as well. 

35What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 3:14 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Chicken price are around Rs.520/- to 540/- per kg now. With in last 02 - 03 weeks increased by Rs.120/- or 140/-.
Seems massive quarter for BFL.

36What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 10:30 pm

kumarweerarathne

kumarweerarathne
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Chicken run needs market fuel..

37What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 10:44 pm

Invest_Wisely


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
When stocks are attractive, you buy them. Sure, they can go lower. I've bought stocks at $12 that went to $2, but then they later went to $30. You just don't know when you can find the bottom.


Peter Lynch

38What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Mon Sep 07, 2015 10:57 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
collect as much as you can. Super performance in November. NOW BFL will get some benifits as they are doing some exports too. GRAN has little uncertainancy as they import flavour. But BFL will get much benifit in the current scenario...


_________________




Teller said is said..

39What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Tue Sep 08, 2015 12:17 am

dineshfernando


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Teller, What do you think of increasing maize prices in the world market. In July it went up from US$ 166 to US$ 179 a MT. The rupee depreciation also would eat up the profits of BFL.


Does BFL has an export market? I couldn't find out this anywhere? Even from the annual report and BFL website. In the annual report the director mentions about the possibility of export market. But nothing mentioned about BFL exporting.

How will be the September quarter for BFL? The chicken prices are increasing rapidly which is beneficial for BFL. However, packed chicken has a price control of Rs. 380 which is again eating up BFL's profits.

I think BFL is good for the medium term.

40What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Tue Sep 08, 2015 12:49 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dineshfernando wrote:Hi Teller, What do you think of increasing maize prices in the world market. In July it went up from US$ 166 to US$ 179 a MT. The rupee depreciation also would eat up the profits of BFL.


Does BFL has an export market? I couldn't find out this anywhere? Even from the annual report and BFL website. In the annual report the director mentions about the possibility of export market. But nothing mentioned about BFL exporting.

How will be the September quarter for BFL? The chicken prices are increasing rapidly which is beneficial for BFL. However, packed chicken has a price control of Rs. 380 which is again eating up BFL's profits.

I think BFL is good for the medium term.


that is not big issue. compare with last quarter now chicken price is up more than 120. current Maize price is 159 USD

price control is not a issue. Demand is enough.

Maize price level drop more-than 50% from top

41What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Tue Sep 08, 2015 8:54 pm

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Yeah demand is the only way for the greean...

42What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Tue Sep 08, 2015 9:11 pm

bullseye

bullseye
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
end of september what would? mkt will go down further or UP??

43What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Wed Sep 09, 2015 2:43 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Keep your eye on BFL. it has passed its quarterly sales target at the moment. I believe BFL will report good EPS in this quarter as high prices of Chicken prices.


_________________




Teller said is said..

44What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Wed Sep 09, 2015 3:15 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
@Dineshfernando, this is a metric ton price. 13 Usd increasement for 1000 kg. Increasement of Maize prices will effect cents of cost for a 1 kg. Dont worry at all. BFL easily pass 250 levels after releasing of Sep quarter financials.


_________________




Teller said is said..

45What will happen to the Chicken run ? - Page 2 Empty Re: What will happen to the Chicken run ? Tue Sep 15, 2015 8:43 pm

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Best peformer may be BFL ...

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