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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Is it time to go behind some emerging and frontier markets like India and Sri-Lanka?

Is it time to go behind some emerging and frontier markets like India and Sri-Lanka?

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VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
I consider the defensives, consumer-oriented companies and healthcare sectors are some of the promising areas in South Asian emerging and frontier markets such as India, Sri-Lanka, Sri-Lanka, Pakistan and Bangladesh. This region is standing out from the rest of Asia now and is in a stronger position than most of the other Asian markets.
 
Fed decision can emerge some stability in the overall liquidity situation in emerging markets. Inflation is down significantly due to low commodity inflation. Commodity prices have crashed. There will be some prospects for exporters in China, India, Mexico, Korea, Chile, Sri-Lanka and Bangladesh etc.
 
I expect currency weakness to level off sooner than later in emerging markets, making their local-currency bonds attractive after the recent selloff. Even dollar debt of export oriented companies in Brazil and Russia is also attractive. Emerging markets have capitulated six times in the past five years. But in each case they bounced back, with an average return of about 25%.

There are oversold stocks and bonds in the developing world.
 
Even in China, there is a tremendous amount of activity in the consumer market. However they have over invested in sectors like manufacturing and housing etc. India and other south Asian countries are in a better shape in that sense. India had some monetary easing policies. We can expect further monetary easing in India.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
South Asia has one of the lowest inflation in the world as well.

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/pakistan-cuts-interest/2122732.html

Pakistan cuts interest rates to 42-year low

Pakistan's central bank on Saturday (Sep 12) reduced interest rates to a 42-year-low of six per cent, after inflation fell dramatically.

Is it time to go behind some emerging and frontier markets like India and Sri-Lanka? Pakistan-withdraw-money This photograph taken on Mar 6, 2015 shows a Pakistani resident withdrawing currency from an ATM in Islamabad. (Photo: AFP/Aamir Qureshi)



[ltr]KARACHI: Pakistan's central bank on Saturday (Sep 12) reduced interest rates to a 42-year-low of six per cent, after inflation fell dramatically.[/ltr]
[ltr]

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced it had cut rates to six per cent from 6.5 per cent.

Inflation came down to 3.6 per cent in July-August from 8.4 per cent in the same period last year due to falling fuel and food prices.


The SBP added the Pakistan economy would receive a boost from infrastructure projects such as the planned China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).


"Therefore, there is anticipation of higher economic activity in (fiscal year) FY2015-16 which is expected to boost credit uptake," the bank said.


The Pakistan fiscal year begins in July.


The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is an ambitious US$46 billion investment plan linking western China to the Arabian Sea in Pakistan with infrastructure, energy and transport projects.


Pakistan is set to sign a 40-year-lease with a Chinese company to develop a massive special economic zone in the deep sea port of Gwadar as part of the scheme.


Pakistan's economy grew at 4.24 per cent during the 2014-2015 fiscal year with per capita income rising a significant 9.25 per cent, markers that come as investor confidence in the long-underperforming South Asian country have also increased.


Pakistan is currently in a US$6.6 billion loan programme with the International Monetary Fund, which was granted on condition that Islamabad carried out extensive economic reforms, particularly in the energy and taxation sectors.
[/ltr]

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
https://www.zawya.com/story/Egypt_rises_on_foreign_inflows-TR20150922nL5N11S1HNX2/

MIDEAST STOCKS-Egypt rises on foreign inflows

piras

piras
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thanks VP. Appreciate your non stopping effort.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
After weeks of struggling and volatility, Asian valuations once again attractive relative to other regions. In addition to Asian frontier markets, selected emerging Asian markets, there are some potential opportunities in Japanese market as well. The QE program is likely to support Japanese equities in 2015 and beyond. Asian countries are major commodity importers in the world. Lower commodity prices means lower inflation and better current account for them.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=132398

Japanese ambassador says strong investor interest in SL
Businessmen "thinking about something"
September 26, 2015, 7:27 pm 


Is it time to go behind some emerging and frontier markets like India and Sri-Lanka? 1323989786BS--P01-27-9-tas-3
Mr. Kenichi Suganuma,
Japanese Ambassador


Many Japanese companies have visited Japanese Ambassador Kenichi Suganuma in Colombo recently asking "how is it now Excellency, how is the new government going to do?," the ambassador last week told a luncheon meeting of the Colombo Club.

Saying that he is sure more such businessmen are also talking to JETRO, the ambassador said "they are thinking about something."

He said in his speech that Japan was trying to expand the Japanese business presence in South India in the Tamil Nadu area where there are many Japanese factories. When these businessmen visit Sri Lanka, they say it’s easier to live here so some should be thinking of setting up their headquarters here rather than in India.

"As the hub of this region, Sri Lanka has an advantage and it also has the advantage of being in the middle of the sea route between the Middle East and Japan," he said.

He stressed that the new government must of course have "transparent, stable economic policy to enable not only Japanese but other investments to increase."

"For instance, Japanese companies here in Sri Lanka are raising several points that needs to be improved, such as the issue of labour market, electricity charges, the duration of various procedures and red tapes, and the introduction of more transparent business related laws and policies," he said.

"The fact that the new government is willing to and determined to change these issues is another reason to be optimistic. And of course, we are also trying to help the new government to implement these changes."

He said he saw a wider possibility of private business relations to grow between the two countries that has long had steady trade relations that had grown reasonably with a total trade volume of Rs. 98 billion in 2012. Sri Lanka mainly imported vehicles from Japan and exported tea and marine products.

Japan had USD 26 million direct investment here and was the country’s 11th largest investor in 2012. They had a lot of bigger investments here about 20 years ago and companies like Noritake, Tokyo Cement and YKK are still here.

"But now I say there is renewed interest from Japanese companies not only because Sri Lanka is an interesting market with a 20 million population and income already as high as USD 3,500 per capita, but also there is the prospect of the Indian market growing and the whole region is growing collectively," he said.

"Sri Lanka is a key location, key centre, for growth of this area."

The ambassador noted that with the historical friendship between the two countries, continued Japanese assistance, the effort of the new cabinet and with renewed interest from the private sector, he thought the relations between our two countries is very bright.

"And I also think that a renewed economic growth and dynamism of Sri Lanka is really coming soon," he concluded.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
http://www.nasdaq.com/article/frontier-markets-romania-doing-all-the-right-things-cm533216

Frontier Markets: Romania, Doing All the Right Things

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