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Its time to look @ 2nd tier Finance Stocks befor next results release

+11
BvsB
piras
Nuwan Prasad
karuna
fulltilt
gainonly
Harry82
SLFINANCEWATCH
troy
newone
EquityChamp
15 posters

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EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Guys,
The below is a summary of a forecast for few second tier finance companies. This includes relative valuations compared to sector PE as at yesterday. Seems there are high potential counters for short term gains as well as long term investments. cheers
Stock
4Q Trailing EPS4Q Trailing PEJul-Sep PAT mn (F)EPS (F)PE (F)Discount/(Premium)
 to market
VFIN                        9.7                       7.1 10010.3            6.7 42%
SFIN                        2.6                       9.7 1102.9            8.6 25%
AFSL                        2.5                    15.2 303.0          12.7 -10%
HDFC                        7.9                       9.2 1508.9            8.2 29%
COCR                        7.5                       8.3 6358.0            7.8 32%

newone


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

All are good for buy this level next two or three weeks can get a good profit.

troy

troy
Moderator
Moderator

Out of all HDFC got guaranteed business with zero risk. Gvt sector employee loans and EPF backed loans... So I prefer going with HDFC at this juncture.

SLFINANCEWATCH

SLFINANCEWATCH
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Hdfc is a good choice, when its come to no os shares factor VFIN have only 40 mn issued shares..so the chance for a long run is high..And VFIN EPS of the current year will be more than 11.00.

SLFINANCEWATCH

SLFINANCEWATCH
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

VFIN EPS will be around 11.00 this time..PE well below 6.50 at this share price..Guys you better remember my words..

Harry82

Harry82
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

First select Vfin at this low price level

gainonly


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

VFIN

BLI

LFIN

COCR

SLFINANCEWATCH

SLFINANCEWATCH
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

VFIN, HDFC, RAL, LGL , SIRA, JKH ..WILL BE THE BEST IN COMING MONTHS..

fulltilt


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

One cannot just look at PE multiple for finance companies.. PB multiple more relevant.. Also NPLs and Capital Adrquacy.. Most finance companies and banks will be taking a hit on provisions.. Analyse carefully before investing, I don't think most finance companies will do well..

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Asi killing financial sector so good to collect one by one

Nuwan Prasad


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EquityChamp wrote:Guys,
The below is a summary of a forecast for few second tier finance companies. This includes relative valuations compared to sector PE as at yesterday. Seems there are high potential counters for short term gains as well as long term investments. cheers
   
Stock
4Q Trailing EPS4Q Trailing PEJul-Sep PAT mn (F)EPS (F)PE (F)Discount/(Premium)
 to market
VFIN                        9.7                       7.1 10010.3            6.7 42%
SFIN                        2.6                       9.7 1102.9            8.6 25%
AFSL                        2.5                    15.2 303.0          12.7 -10%
HDFC                        7.9                       9.2 1508.9            8.2 29%
COCR                        7.5                       8.3 6358.0            7.8 32%

Thank you

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

What I want to highlight is the value of these counters. Non of these are speculative and will deliver substantial shareholder returns in coming quarters. I will add another lot soon.

troy

troy
Moderator
Moderator

PLC will pay a Div of .75 in December. if we can collect this below 17, then great considering div yeild. (they pay around .50 in 1Q and yeild is 7.5%)

piras

piras
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

PLC
VFIN
CDB 
are my selection in Fin...

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Today good activity was seen in VFIN & SFIN. Probably next week VFIN can move to 75+ and SFIN can move to 27+. Keep your fingers crossed.

BvsB

BvsB
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EquityChamp wrote:Today good activity was seen in VFIN & SFIN. Probably next week VFIN can move to 75+ and SFIN can move to 27+. Keep your fingers crossed.

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

SLFINANCEWATCH

SLFINANCEWATCH
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Fulltilt, u better study again and comment, here we are not amateurs.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

I have seen silent collection in SFIN, VFIN, HDFC and COCR throughout the last four trading days. Since the stocks are in neutral region its time to accumulate at low levels guys.

Harry82

Harry82
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Sdb Lfin also

troy

troy
Moderator
Moderator

fulltilt wrote:One cannot just look at PE multiple for finance companies.. PB multiple more relevant.. Also NPLs and Capital Adrquacy.. Most finance companies and banks will be taking a hit on provisions.. Analyse carefully before investing, I don't think most finance companies will do well..

finance companies exposed to gold loans will certainly get a hit. But other than that only competition seems to be the problem.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Look at how SFIN has delivered in Q2. Very close to my forecast and it short my forecast due to shortfall in revenue. Any how the share will move up.

anges


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

good calculations

newone


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I saw last week people collect cocr 60-61 levels. It is good price.

otara

otara
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

HDFC is the best and will show its color within next week. Their EPS gonna pass Rs 3.50 for Q3 only. Take my word...

SLFINANCEWATCH

SLFINANCEWATCH
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Equitychamp..

Whats your forcast for VFIN & HDFC 2nd Qtr Profit ?

Acoording to my Calculations VFIN - 110 Mn , HDFC - 146 Mn

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