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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS???

GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS???

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1GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS??? Empty GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS??? Fri Oct 23, 2015 11:56 am

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Frequent dippings in poultry center keep the investors tight lipped in commenting the sector seriously. Perhaps many are waiting for the release of financial reports of TAFL & GRAN. Some doubt the unexpected delay in 3rd quarter operations keep the counter value wobbling. Possible improvement in key financial indicators would stimulate the sector again.

Production cost is one of major key factors in this sector as it has become an uncontrollable cost element. As well highlighted in this forum, declining in meat consumption ( particularly beef ) & growing social attitudes to be vegetarians would slow down local demand in the future. Exception is only festive seasons.

Whatever investors observe of this sector, eventually everyone reads unaudited financial statements for the 3rd quarter that should not be forgotten.

2GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS??? Empty Re: GRAN & TAFL FINANCIAL REPORTS??? Sat Oct 24, 2015 1:09 pm

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
I suggest we should study their earnings not only in the coming financial year(it is going to be one of the strongest financial years for poultry group) but also every quarter and next five years then we can get better idea about their performance in good and bad times. Then we can also get idea about top growth company in the group. They are some of the strongest stocks in the market now. Time to time there could be different type of strong stocks in the market.

As I said before main reason for poultry industry turnaround in Sri-Lanka is tourism boom. In addition, some companies like TAFL were able to get some export opportunities in regional markets as well. If I am correct non listed Pussellawa also have some exports to Myanmar.
 
Why do we see strong demand for poultry products locally now?
 
Tourism boom
Increased income
Prices of substitutes (meat and fish) are very high due to increased demand
Still poultry products are much cheaper than other meat and fish
Growing population will create demand for different type of food
 
On top of that grain, oil and other raw materials prices are not going to go up in the near future.
 
What we should look for in companies (stocks)?
 
Lower forward P/E ratio (We always should estimate earnings at least for coming four to eight quarters. Those who have knowledge in their industry have edge over others)
Future earnings and growth
Higher ROE (all poultry companies will have ROE over 20 in the coming financial year)
Attractive valuation

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