HPWR is a GEM

stockback · 1 HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 09, 2015 10:42 am

stockback

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according to current situation HPWR is a attractive share.

Last Two Quarters Earnings = 125 millions / 58 Million Stocks =2.15

December quarter is best quarter for them. we can expect 140 Millions for this quarter.

this amount is after paying Interest for Bank loan also

if its happen =140 / 58 =2.4

for March Quarter we can expect 30 cents minimum

then annualized EPS = 2.15 +2.4 +0.3=4.85

most important thing is they are doing three projects now. they are expecting to finished that projects before 30 June. then next year they can improve EPS also. (4.8 MW- three projects)

How much they are paying for 850 Millions Bank loans = 850 * 9% =76.5

one quarter = 19.1 Millions.

some people scared to buy this stock bcz of Bank loan. but its not a big issue.

this stock value 35-40 now. after repurchase price not move yet

keeper · 2 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 09, 2015 12:39 pm

keeper

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But no players

troy · 3 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 09, 2015 1:00 pm

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keeper wrote:But no players

no need of players... value investors are there till players realize the value.

stockback · 4 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:13 pm

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another solid stock i the Market.

Heavy rain fall during October, November and also December

will update details later..............

stockback · 5 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:17 pm

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low selling pressure and heavy buying pressure.

keep on eye this stock under rainy environment

Chinwi · 6 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:45 pm

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Norochcholai is down.
At the moment 83% of total consumption in Lanka is powered by hydropower.

stockback · 7 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:52 pm

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they have another 3 projects

one is up before 31.03.2016

other two will be up before 30.06.2016

next year is very good year for them. all new three project added 4.8MW.

this is good investment. nearly 100% within one year time

Chinwi · 8 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 4:30 pm

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From where you got info about ongoing projects ? Pl let me know.

I couldn't find. In the financial reports they do not show any work in progress amounts.

Such data are very important in calculating future directions of this share, sell / buy decision making.
The places they build power houses are also worthwhile to know. 'Power factor' of the turbines depends on the places and if we know the places we can find their exposure to inter monsoon patterns. If we guess PF then can predict EPS contribution.

stockback · 9 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 4:47 pm

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Chinwi wrote:From where you got info about ongoing projects ? Pl let me know.

I couldn't find. In the financial reports they do not show any work in progress amounts.

Such data are very important in calculating future directions of this share, sell / buy decision making.
The places they build power houses are also worthwhile to know. 'Power factor' of the turbines depends on the places and if we know the places we can find their exposure to inter monsoon patterns. If we guess PF then can predict EPS contribution.

check 2014 Annual report.

I think plant factor is 0.4 (40%) annualized.

if you can check with them. you can get dates (Project start and end date- should be published)

you can get that info from them. if you are share holder then they has to give details(Project start and end dates) simple data. this info not making any legal problems

Chinwi · 10 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:04 pm

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Thanks a lot.

I have already allocated much of my portfolio without considering these new plants. I may sell some bad sectors at loss and add more of this after doing some calcs.

karuna · 11 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:14 pm

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Everybody like to ask hpwr u know me if I said something it's 95 % right

u remember hexp i said when it's 87 level something uncommon can happen
u remember jkh 4.0 div when it's187 level as what i said.
u remember bli i said when it's 169 level
u remember sfl as what i said when it's 15.5 /25.5
if i am not in here so many people darkness . i helped too much for save they're money.

karuna · 12 Re: HPWR is a GEM Wed Dec 16, 2015 6:55 pm

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this time probability ok . it's interesting 23.5/24.5. other thing they amend dividend next year soon

stockback · 13 Re: HPWR is a GEM Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:05 am

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slowly directors collecting.

HPWR is a GEM Hpwr_d10

fireshelter · 14 Re: HPWR is a GEM Mon Dec 21, 2015 12:17 pm

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really i also strongly believe this should pass at least Rs.30/ with share buy back already

stockback · 15 Re: HPWR is a GEM Thu Dec 31, 2015 11:53 am

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HPWR is attractive under this situation also.

some one collecting very slowly

study and invest

stockback · 16 Re: HPWR is a GEM Mon Jan 04, 2016 11:36 am

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fireshelter wrote:really i also strongly believe this should pass at least Rs.30/ with share buy back already

agree with you.

under bad time also hold stock price at 24 level.

I am expecting strong up for this stock. bcz last quarter heavy rainfall. thats why still vegetable price also up.

definitely my EPS target they will reach.