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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000)

EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000)

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1EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:56 pm

Bargain


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Fair value if is a value stock? Growth potential if it is a growth stock?

-------

https://www.srilankachronicle.com/viewtopic.php?t=59001

2EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:40 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Summary Updates 

INDIA
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
Due to a severe space problem in vessels, rates remain very high.
 
USA
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is an increase in rates
 
INDONESIA
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
 
SINGAPORE/MALAYSIA
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
 
CHINA
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is an increase in rates
Airfreight rates of US/EU/APAC trade lanes remain at peak levels due to high demand.
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is an increase in rates
Rate is expected to surge as demand remains greater than supply. For the route from China to US, cost has increased by almost three times, rate from China to Africa has increased by 100% and to Europe by 50%.
 
Bangladesh
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is an increase in rates
Air freight rates remain on the higher end of the spectrum.
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is an increase in rates
 
PAKISTAN
Air Freight Rate Changes
There is a decrease in rates
Ocean Freight Rate Changes
There is a large increase in rates
Rates to USA continue to remain extremely high due to the implementation of new GRIs and PSS.

Mithooshan likes this post

3EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:06 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
[size=50]Growing Businesses - Transforming Supply Chains.[/size]

4EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:16 pm

Mr. X

Mr. X
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
i guess today it will end with 25

Mithooshan likes this post

5EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:51 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
Expo is in for an exponential rise with great news apart from financial reports are due in near future. Attracts foreign interest based on this surprise!


_________________




The biggest risk in life is not taking any risk at all.

Kipling and Mithooshan like this post

6EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:21 am

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Hope123 wrote:
@EPS wrote:
India’s container shortage could last another three months, as congestion hits Colombo and shippers call for tighter regulation of freight rates.

Worldwide Logistics (India) said the acute space problem over the past few weeks was the result of increased demand, reduced imports and port rotation issues.

“Vessels which were idling during the corona-lockdown were re-routed to more profitable trades on the transpacific, leading to supply and demand gaps for major intra-Asia trading routes,” the forwarder explained.

“Due to lack of containerships calling at Indian ports, many carriers and NVOCCs have cut short their container lease positions, which has created a shortage and led to additional costs and time to reposition boxes.

“The acute shortage of equipment from all shipping lines is expected to continue for the next two to three months.”

Last week, Rakesh Pandit, CEO of Conbox Logistics, told [size=16]The Loadstar freight rates were increasing much faster than usual, with reefer rates to the US approaching $5,000.


Today he added: “Frankly, the situation is getting worse. Shipping lines have increased their freight rates for almost all tradelanes ex-India.”

He said the container shortage was evident across India, especially when multiple boxes were required on a single booking.

“For example, we have pending bookings of 80 20ft containers for Durban, but there is no space until November,” Mr Pandit said. “China to India rates and bookings are also facing delays, with rates almost double pre-Covid levels.

Another challenge this week has been the cyber attack on CMA CGMm delaying the booking process, he said. “Even other lines are checking their systems for updates – Maersk’s system was performing slow and many functions were not available on Monday and Tuesday.”

And now, he added, port congestion in Sri Lanka had further complicated the situation.

“There’s a waiting period of three to four weeks at Colombo for further connectivity of containers, according to MSC, which has resulted in congestion.”

Indian exports have fallen for six months in a row, including a 12.6% year-on-year decrease in August, leaving shippers bemused at the lack of available containers, and many trade associations have approached the government for support.

Yesterday the Engineering Export Promotion Council of India (EEPC) called on the government to set up a regulator to rein-in what it claimed were “monopolistic” practices of shipping lines.

“Such large increases in freight charges is impacting the competitiveness of exporters,” said the EEPC.
[/size]

Due to these sort of ocean freight congestions, EXPO would shine high further in the upcoming days. They would get more and more opportunities from worldwide buyers to ship their products on air using EXPO services. Volumes that they handle from other origins such as Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia are massive.

Was searching Google with the background shared by @EPS On freight charges !

https://theloadstar.com/5000-a-box-from-asia-to-felixstowe-the-idea-is-to-stop-people-booking/

http://www.dailynews.lk/2020/11/04/finance/232865/southern-ports-could-lure-more-msr-ships-little-no-deviation-cost

Seems like Charges are very high in this quarter as well. Further, the capacity has reached for many freight forward companies and they are increasing rates to avoid further orders. This is what i understand from the article. Do correct me if i am wrong !

Eagerly waiting for the F/S to be released next week, most probably by Monday itself based on pattern. Similar to Dipped this can surprise many “Nay sayers” who were continuously nagging about Expo’s share price !

Good Luck Everyone 💚
(Special Note - Dipped report released yesterday and i expect HAYC and HAYL very soon. Do a quick research to get a quick gain 🙂)

vikey, EPS, samaritan, judecroos, Chamal A and KingMaker2020 like this post

7EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:58 am

Hope123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@EPS wrote:
India’s container shortage could last another three months, as congestion hits Colombo and shippers call for tighter regulation of freight rates.

Worldwide Logistics (India) said the acute space problem over the past few weeks was the result of increased demand, reduced imports and port rotation issues.

“Vessels which were idling during the corona-lockdown were re-routed to more profitable trades on the transpacific, leading to supply and demand gaps for major intra-Asia trading routes,” the forwarder explained.

“Due to lack of containerships calling at Indian ports, many carriers and NVOCCs have cut short their container lease positions, which has created a shortage and led to additional costs and time to reposition boxes.

“The acute shortage of equipment from all shipping lines is expected to continue for the next two to three months.”

Last week, Rakesh Pandit, CEO of Conbox Logistics, told [size=16]The Loadstar freight rates were increasing much faster than usual, with reefer rates to the US approaching $5,000.


Today he added: “Frankly, the situation is getting worse. Shipping lines have increased their freight rates for almost all tradelanes ex-India.”

He said the container shortage was evident across India, especially when multiple boxes were required on a single booking.

“For example, we have pending bookings of 80 20ft containers for Durban, but there is no space until November,” Mr Pandit said. “China to India rates and bookings are also facing delays, with rates almost double pre-Covid levels.

Another challenge this week has been the cyber attack on CMA CGMm delaying the booking process, he said. “Even other lines are checking their systems for updates – Maersk’s system was performing slow and many functions were not available on Monday and Tuesday.”

And now, he added, port congestion in Sri Lanka had further complicated the situation.

“There’s a waiting period of three to four weeks at Colombo for further connectivity of containers, according to MSC, which has resulted in congestion.”

Indian exports have fallen for six months in a row, including a 12.6% year-on-year decrease in August, leaving shippers bemused at the lack of available containers, and many trade associations have approached the government for support.

Yesterday the Engineering Export Promotion Council of India (EEPC) called on the government to set up a regulator to rein-in what it claimed were “monopolistic” practices of shipping lines.

“Such large increases in freight charges is impacting the competitiveness of exporters,” said the EEPC.
[/size]

Due to these sort of ocean freight congestions, EXPO would shine high further in the upcoming days. They would get more and more opportunities from worldwide buyers to ship their products on air using EXPO services. Volumes that they handle from other origins such as Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia are massive.

EPS, Mithooshan and judecroos like this post

8EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:29 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

India’s container shortage could last another three months, as congestion hits Colombo and shippers call for tighter regulation of freight rates.

Worldwide Logistics (India) said the acute space problem over the past few weeks was the result of increased demand, reduced imports and port rotation issues.

“Vessels which were idling during the corona-lockdown were re-routed to more profitable trades on the transpacific, leading to supply and demand gaps for major intra-Asia trading routes,” the forwarder explained.

“Due to lack of containerships calling at Indian ports, many carriers and NVOCCs have cut short their container lease positions, which has created a shortage and led to additional costs and time to reposition boxes.

“The acute shortage of equipment from all shipping lines is expected to continue for the next two to three months.”

Last week, Rakesh Pandit, CEO of Conbox Logistics, told [size=16]The Loadstar freight rates were increasing much faster than usual, with reefer rates to the US approaching $5,000.


Today he added: “Frankly, the situation is getting worse. Shipping lines have increased their freight rates for almost all tradelanes ex-India.”

He said the container shortage was evident across India, especially when multiple boxes were required on a single booking.

“For example, we have pending bookings of 80 20ft containers for Durban, but there is no space until November,” Mr Pandit said. “China to India rates and bookings are also facing delays, with rates almost double pre-Covid levels.

Another challenge this week has been the cyber attack on CMA CGMm delaying the booking process, he said. “Even other lines are checking their systems for updates – Maersk’s system was performing slow and many functions were not available on Monday and Tuesday.”

And now, he added, port congestion in Sri Lanka had further complicated the situation.

“There’s a waiting period of three to four weeks at Colombo for further connectivity of containers, according to MSC, which has resulted in congestion.”

Indian exports have fallen for six months in a row, including a 12.6% year-on-year decrease in August, leaving shippers bemused at the lack of available containers, and many trade associations have approached the government for support.

Yesterday the Engineering Export Promotion Council of India (EEPC) called on the government to set up a regulator to rein-in what it claimed were “monopolistic” practices of shipping lines.

“Such large increases in freight charges is impacting the competitiveness of exporters,” said the EEPC.
[/size]



Last edited by EPS on Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:32 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : .)

Mithooshan likes this post

9EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:09 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Cash Cow Example

A cash cow is a company or business unit in a mature slow-growth industry. Cash cows have a large share of the market and require little investment. For example, the iPhone is Apple's (AAPL) cash cow. Its return on assets is far greater than its market growth rate; as a result, Apple can invest the excess cash generated by the iPhone into other projects or products.

Cash cows, such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTL), provide dividends and have the capacity to increase their dividend due to their ample free cash flows calculated as cash flows from operations minus capital expenditures. These companies are mature and do not need as much capital to grow. They are marked by high-profit margins and strong cash flows. Cash cows can also be slow-growth companies or business units with well-established brands in the industry.

10EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:30 am

Mr. X

Mr. X
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@geesura wrote:
@DKbogols wrote:I think its fair to assume that Q2 has been good and perhaps a decent dividend also on the way. Whats important now is to assess the optimum price to sell. Well, this depends on the valuations you attach to the counter. Assuming annualised EPS of 4-5 per share the fair value for EXPO should fall within the range of 40-50 assuming a 10x PER. 10x PER is very conservative since its a growing business with immense future potential. So it is now up to the investor to decide whether to sell at current price levels or wait until it realises the true potential! This will decide if you are an investor or a trader - nothing wrong with either!
EXPO trading @50 means it will be among the Top 3 marketcaps in cse.......?does it have that much potential...
                 and
can any one explain me its future business potential.And the surprising fact that expo is trading with its expected results but other shares already showed good results are trading for peanuts
 
Don't you guys think this as a bubble ?and people trying to justify this bubble..

I say annualized EPS can be around 6 to 7 in worst case scenario but increase the market price by 10 time is unlikely.

11EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:17 am

Mr. X

Mr. X
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
i feel big players might try to drop the price to collect more before Q2 financial comes out.... So whoever missed to buy this share.. use that opportunity.

12EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:17 am

Equityinvestor


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@ONTHEMONEY wrote:Hi all,

It's good to have different perceptives about EXPO.

However, what is important is to analyze the 2Q2020 FINANCIALS which is due in mid NOVEMBER and check the consistency in delivering a SUBSTANTIAL EPS by EXPO. Some say EXPO cannot deliver last Q earnings and some say can.

After observing the results, it will be good to overcome concerns of many investors and build required INVESTOR CONFIDENCE by looking at the level of CONSISTENCY. The EPS can be a SHOCK or a SURPRISE

Please note that this is not a BUY or SELL RECOMMENDATION. Take your decision by evaluating information provided and risk/return

Good Luck

Yes better wait and see this quarter performance.

vikey and Mithooshan like this post

13EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:17 am

ONTHEMONEY


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi all,

It's good to have different perceptives about EXPO.

However, what is important is to analyze the 2Q2020 FINANCIALS which is due in mid NOVEMBER and check the consistency in delivering a SUBSTANTIAL EPS by EXPO. Some say EXPO cannot deliver last Q earnings and some say can.

After observing the results, it will be good to overcome concerns of many investors and build required INVESTOR CONFIDENCE by looking at the level of CONSISTENCY. The EPS can be a SHOCK or a SURPRISE

Please note that this is not a BUY or SELL RECOMMENDATION. Take your decision by evaluating information provided and risk/return

Good Luck

vikey, Mithooshan and C.THARANGA like this post

14EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:51 am

geesura

geesura
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@hiransilva23 wrote:Expo may have a real value,or future potential but I’m really afraid to buy this.this is not a discourage comment and its my personal opinion.(I feel like “anthima kochchi pettiyata bella tiyanwa”wage
what I feel is ,now this train got only 1st class compartments... kinda game that ULTRA rich people play.so retailors specially new comers should play with extra caution IF u think like this"big volumes traded..then surely price should go up" please stop trading...cuz in 2010-11 stock market bubble know one thought dat market gonna collapse. until then people were justifying the bubble.

just think of other shares...JKH,COMB,MELS how many posts have u seen related these shares during past few months in this forum.and hows their earning potential n what they've earned.

vikey, hiransilva23 and judecroos like this post

15EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:31 am

hiransilva23


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Expo may have a real value,or future potential but I’m really afraid to buy this.this is not a discourage comment and its my personal opinion.(I feel like “anthima kochchi pettiyata bella tiyanwa”wage

16EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:54 am

geesura

geesura
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@DKbogols wrote:I think its fair to assume that Q2 has been good and perhaps a decent dividend also on the way. Whats important now is to assess the optimum price to sell. Well, this depends on the valuations you attach to the counter. Assuming annualised EPS of 4-5 per share the fair value for EXPO should fall within the range of 40-50 assuming a 10x PER. 10x PER is very conservative since its a growing business with immense future potential. So it is now up to the investor to decide whether to sell at current price levels or wait until it realises the true potential! This will decide if you are an investor or a trader - nothing wrong with either!
EXPO trading @50 means it will be among the Top 3 marketcaps in cse.......?does it have that much potential...
                 and
can any one explain me its future business potential.And the surprising fact that expo is trading with its expected results but other shares already showed good results are trading for peanuts
 
Don't you guys think this as a bubble ?and people trying to justify this bubble..

kadik, hiransilva23, ADVENTUS and KingMaker2020 like this post

17EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:39 am

DKbogols


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I think its fair to assume that Q2 has been good and perhaps a decent dividend also on the way. Whats important now is to assess the optimum price to sell. Well, this depends on the valuations you attach to the counter. Assuming annualised EPS of 4-5 per share the fair value for EXPO should fall within the range of 40-50 assuming a 10x PER. 10x PER is very conservative since its a growing business with immense future potential. So it is now up to the investor to decide whether to sell at current price levels or wait until it realises the true potential! This will decide if you are an investor or a trader - nothing wrong with either!

18EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:54 pm

geesura

geesura
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
“The trend is your friend until the end when it bends.” – Ed Seykota

Mithooshan likes this post

19EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:42 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@EPS wrote:I dont think they pay Rs.1/- as INTERIM dividend.
having massive 1.9 Bn shares. but, 1.4 Bn having with mother company.
Considering previous dividend pattern, it may be 0.25 between 0.40 cents for interim.
Thinking they will pay dividend during Q4 and not November.
As a FINAL dividend - yes it should more than 1 ???? in next march ????

This time with good EPS i was expecting an interim of Rs.0.50. That is a generous dividend yet will not harm them as well.
@EPS - Do you think it is doable ?

Final Dividend of Rs.1 is very much on the cards if the Management decided to give one.

20EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) on Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:37 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
I dont think they pay Rs.1/- as INTERIM dividend.
having massive 1.9 Bn shares. but, 1.4 Bn having with mother company.
Considering previous dividend pattern, it may be 0.25 between 0.40 cents for interim.
Thinking they will pay dividend during Q4 and not November.
As a FINAL dividend - yes it should more than 1 ???? in next march ????

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